College Football Playoff’s new seeding rules: Who will benefit most?


Summary

New seeding model for CFP

The College Football Playoff will seed teams based on the committee's final rankings in 2025-26, as opposed to using conference champions as the top seeds.

No more uneven brackets

The change comes after criticism last year when ninth-ranked Boise State, the Mountain West champion, earned the third seed and 12th-ranked Arizona State, Big 12 champs, were seeded fourth.

Will the playoff expand?

There are still ongoing discussions as to whether the CFP will expand from a 12-team format to 16 teams for the 2026-27 season.


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College Football’s 12-team playoff will have a different look in its second year. CFP executives announced Thursday, May 22, that they will move to a straight seeding model when the tournament kicks off in December 2025.

Why did the commissioners change the seeding format?

In a unanimous vote, the 10 FBS commissioners and Notre Dame Athletic Director Pete Bevacqua decided to seed teams based on the selection committee’s final rankings instead of using conference champions as the top seeds. 

In the 2024 season, the top four seeds went to the highest-ranked conference champions, and all of those teams earned first-round byes. Arizona State, Oregon, Boise State and Georgia all lost their first games after having a bye week leading into the playoff quarterfinals. 

Under the new format, the top four teams in the CFP poll will earn the top four seeds and get the first-round byes. Notre Dame will now have a chance at a top-four seed, whereas last year, because they are not affiliated with a conference, they were not eligible.

Will conference champions still make the field?

Unbiased. Straight Facts.TM

Under the College Football Playoff’s new seeding format, the poll’s No. 3 Texas and No. 4 Penn State would have received first-round byes instead of No. 9 Boise State and No. 12 Arizona State in the 2024 tournament.

If a team is not ranked in the top 12 but is still one of the five highest-ranked conference champions, they’ll still be guaranteed a spot in the field, as was the case last year when ACC champion-Clemson was ranked 16th but seeded 12th.

“After evaluating the first year of the 12-team Playoff, the CFP management committee felt it was in the best interest of the game to make this adjustment,” CFP Executive Director Rich Clark said. “This change will continue to allow guaranteed access to the Playoff by rewarding teams for winning their conference championship, but it will also allow us to construct a postseason bracket that recognizes the best performance on the field during the entire regular season.” 

The committee debated the change for months after the inaugural bracket drew criticism from fans, media members and some coaches. The biggest perceived discrepancies involved ninth-ranked Boise State, the Mountain West champion, earning the third seed, and 12th-ranked Arizona State, the Big 12 champion, being seeded fourth.

Are there bigger changes coming to the playoff?

Now that the committee has seemingly solved one issue, there’s a bigger change on the horizon, one that could render the new seeding model obsolete after just one season.

Officials from the SEC and the Big Ten, the two largest and most powerful conferences, are pushing for expansion to a 16-team format for the 2026 season. Their proposal would feature four automatic qualifiers for the four major conferences, the SEC, Big Ten, Big 12 and ACC. That format would leave four additional at-large bids to the tournament.

It’s one of several expansion ideas being floated. A 16-team tournament would also require a change to the playoff schedule. Games would start as early as the second weekend in December.

Expansion will also affect how much money each conference and team earns for being a part of the playoff. That’s just one of several sticking points, most notably for those conferences who feel they’d be on the outside looking in, Clark said in an interview with ESPN.

“There’s still lots of discussion,” Clark said. “The commissioners are really putting everything on the table so that everybody knows where each other is coming from, but they’re still in discussions.” 

Ally Heath (Senior Digital Producer) contributed to this report.
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Why this story matters

Adjustments to the College Football Playoff seeding and potential future expansion reflect efforts to balance competitive fairness, address stakeholder concerns and adapt to changing dynamics in college athletics.

Seeding format change

Switching to a straight seeding model based on committee rankings aims to reward overall performance and address criticisms about the previous system's perceived discrepancies, as noted by CFP Executive Director Rich Clark.

Stakeholder influence

Feedback from fans, media, coaches and university officials played a significant role in prompting the format change to the playoff system.

Potential expansion

Discussions about expanding the playoff to 16 teams could further reshape the structure and economics of college football, with implications for conference participation and financial distribution.

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Behind the numbers

The change to straight seeding maintains the $8 million payout for each of the top four conference champions, with $4 million for participating and another $4 million for reaching the quarterfinals. This ensures financial stability for these conferences, even if their teams are not among the top four seeds, balancing competitiveness and fiscal considerations.

Bias comparison

  • Media outlets on the left frame the College Football Playoff seeding change as a “power play” by dominant conferences like the Big Ten and SEC, emphasizing the marginalization of smaller conferences and the diminished value of conference championships.
  • Media outlets in the center prioritize the fairness and integrity of “true power rating” seeding, framing changes as broadly consensual and in the “best interest of the sport.”
  • Media outlets on the right tend to focus on the disruption implied by terms like “major shakeup” without deep partisan framing.

Media landscape

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23 total sources

Key points from the Left

  • The College Football Playoff will use a straight seeding model for the upcoming season, ranking teams based on performance instead of conference champions, as decided by the CFP Management Committee members including Executive Director Rich Clark.
  • The change follows complaints regarding last season's bracket, which led to mismatched matchups and inconsistent seeding, according to various sources.
  • New rules will allow the top four teams to earn byes in the first round and guarantee spots to the five highest-ranked champions, as stated by CFP Executive Director Rich Clark.
  • This adjustment reflects a response to the first year's challenges and aims to recognize performance accurately, ensuring a better playoff structure going forward.

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Key points from the Center

  • Ten conference commissioners and Notre Dame's athletic director unanimously agreed on Thursday to adopt a straight-seeding model for the 2025 College Football Playoff.
  • The change responds to last season's complaints when the Big 12 and Mountain West champions, ranked ninth and 12th respectively, received automatic byes despite lower rankings.
  • Under the new system, twelve teams will be seeded strictly by their final committee rankings, with the top four seeds receiving first-round byes regardless of conference championships.
  • Rich Clark, CFP executive director, stated this adjustment balances guaranteeing access for champions while prioritizing overall regular-season performance in postseason bracket construction.
  • This revision aims to improve fairness and clarity in seeding but may create tensions as the SEC and Big Ten hold significant influence in upcoming negotiations, potentially including playoff expansion.

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Key points from the Right

No summary available because of a lack of coverage.

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