President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on foreign-made autos, which began in April, are hitting two major Japanese automakers hard. Honda Motor Co. forecast a $4.4 billion drop in profits this fiscal year, while Nissan said it expects tariffs will cost the company at least $3 billion.
The Wall Street Journal reported that both automakers released their guidance for the coming months on Tuesday, May 13. The downturn could rattle Japan’s economy, as automaking is one of Japan’s most important industries. Car exports make up about one-third of all products that the country sends to the United States.
What did companies predict?
Honda officials anticipated that profit would drop by 70% for the year ending in March 2026. Nissan did not forecast for the entire year but said it is planning a multibillion-dollar loss for the second quarter ending in June, on top of a $4.5 billion loss in the first three months of 2025.
At a news conference, Honda CEO Toshihiro Mibe revealed that Honda is looking for ways to boost production in the United States.
In March, the company decided to make its Civic hybrid model in Indiana starting in 2028, instead of Mexico in 2027, following Trump’s tariff announcement, according to Reuters.
In addition, Mibe said Honda increased inventory in the U.S. in the first quarter of 2025 specifically to avoid tariffs.
“We believe that conducting business under a free-trade environment is the best solution, not only for Mexico and Canada, but also for the American automotive industry,” Mibe said. “Many Honda cars sold in the U.S. are imported from Mexico and Canada, which are also subject to the 25% Trump tariffs.”
How will tariffs impact workers?
The Wall Street Journal said Nissan estimated that the tariffs will affect 300,000 vehicles produced in Mexico and 120,000 made in Japan.
In November 2024, Nissan announced it would slash 9,000 jobs under a restructuring plan. To deal with diminishing sales, it also now increased that original number to 20,000. Shares of Nissan stock have lost more than a quarter of their value this year because of falling sales and worries about the effects of American tariffs.
Toyota recently revealed that the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration will cost it at least $1.25 billion in April and May. Toyota reported that profits for the first three months of 2025 fell by 33% compared to 2024.