House Republicans lack votes to pass Trump’s budget bill


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Summary

Close but no cigar

House Republicans don’t have enough votes to pass President Trump’s budget package as they approach the self-imposed July 4 deadline.

The holdouts concerns

Holdouts are concerned about the bill’s impacts on the national debt, Medicaid and provisions that were removed in the Senate.

A flawed bill

Many Republicans admit the bill is flawed but believe doing nothing is worse than passing it. There is enormous pressure not to vote against the president.


Full story

House Republicans do not have the votes to pass President Donald Trump’s tax and budget package, and leadership is doing everything they can to win over the final holdouts. Members were called back to Washington as leadership tried to get it approved before a self-imposed July 4 deadline.

The pressure to vote “yes” is enormous.

“I wouldn’t want to do a no vote and vote against President Trump. That’s for sure. Clearly, this is his agenda. Clearly, this is his legacy,” Rep. Lisa McClain, R-Mich., said.

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The president hosted members at the White House on Wednesday, July 2. According to those in the room, he spent hours trying to reassure holdouts that the bill would be a boon.

Rep. Dusty Johnson, R-S.D., went to the meeting and said three main groups currently won’t support the legislation:

  • Fiscal hawks concerned about the national debt.
  • Swing seat members concerned about changes to Medicaid.
  • Freedom caucus members who want to reinstate provisions removed by the Senate parliamentarian.

Trump’s pro-growth bill

Johnson also said the president countered the Congressional Budget Office’s assessment that the bill will add $3.3 trillion to the national debt over the next decade.

“President Trump made it clear this is a pro-growth bill,” Johnson told Straight Arrow News. “There’s tariff revenue coming in. We have not been accounting for that in quite the way as he would like, but it’s substantial. And also we’re going to have some substantial growth.”

“We know that there are still some deficit hawks like myself who wish that even more could have been cut. But politics of the art of the possible, a bill that was conservative enough to make dusty Johnson jump for joy simply could not get 218 votes in the House,” Johnson continued.

The president also had Medicare and Medicaid Services Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz explain the new Medicaid state-federal cost-sharing system, which will reduce a key tax states charge to fund their programs. The provider tax reduction from 6% to 3.5% was one of the reasons they added a $50 billion rural healthcare fund.

“I love the Senate changes on Medicaid. It clearly moved the bill more conservative in that way. It made me more excited about the bill,” Johnson said. “But yes, there are a number of members who are less conservative, who have real problems with the Medicaid changes that being said, as they learn more about the impacts of the Senate bill, they are getting more comfortable.”

Republicans struggle with ‘flawed bill’

Many Republicans admit the bill is flawed, but say failing to pass it will have worse consequences than doing nothing.

“Full disclosure? I wish we would, we would amend this bill and send it back to the Senate and then let them vote on it,” Rep. Troy Nehls, R-Texas, told reporters.

Democrats are uniformly opposed to the bill and say it will cut healthcare, jobs and harm the economy.

“I am struck by the appalling ability of the members of the other side who are so afraid of this president,” Rep. Julie Johnson, D-Texas, said during debate on the House floor. “They are willing to lie to the American people because they fear the tweet of the president more than they fear the wrath of the voters at the ballot box.” 

Republican leadership wants to pass the bill exactly as is. If they make any changes, it has to go back to the Senate before it can be signed into law.

Snorre Wik (Director of Photography/Non-Linear Editor), Alex Delia (Managing Editor), and Lawrence Banton (Digital Producer) contributed to this report.
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Why this story matters

House Republicans are facing internal divisions and intense political pressure as they attempt to pass President Donald Trump's major tax and spending bill, which has broad implications for the federal budget, social programs, and the direction of US policy.

Partisan divisions

Sharp differences both within the Republican Party and between parties are shaping the legislative prospects and content of the bill, with several Republicans and all Democrats expressing strong objections to key provisions.

Social program changes

Significant proposed cuts to Medicaid, food assistance, and other social programs could affect millions of Americans, making the bill a major point of debate over the future of the US social safety net.

Get the big picture

Synthesized coverage insights across 167 media outlets

Context corner

Historically, large-scale reforms that combine tax cuts with cuts to social safety net programs have led to polarized debates in Congress. The pursuit of budget reconciliation has frequently been used to bypass filibuster rules, as seen in past tax reform and health care legislation, leading to internal party factionalism and public scrutiny over the process’s speed and inclusivity.

Do the math

Specific figures from the CBO estimate the bill involves about $4.5 trillion in tax cuts over a decade and $350 billion in defense and immigration spending. Medicaid cuts amount to around $1 trillion, with nearly $3.3 trillion projected to be added to the federal deficit. Experts state tax changes would grant a $10,950 cut to the top income quintile and $150 to the bottom.

History lesson

The combination of tax reductions and social spending cuts mirrors the 1980s “Reaganomics” and the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Both periods saw short-term economic growth but increased the national deficit and generated debate over long-term impacts to inequality and government debt. Similar attempts have typically led to contested legislative processes.

Bias comparison

  • Media outlets on the left frame the tax and spending bill as a “catastrophe,” emphasizing Medicaid cuts and SNAP reductions that threaten millions’ health and exacerbate inequality, using emotionally charged terms like “gutting” and “rushing” to depict Republican haste and disregard for vulnerable populations.
  • Media outlets in the center present a measured narrative focused on compromise and political realities, de-emphasizing partisan rhetoric.
  • Media outlets on the right celebrate the “big, beautiful bill” as a fulfillment of Trump’s promises, lauding “historic spending cuts” and portraying dissenting GOP members as “grandstanders” obstructing progress, with a confident, assertive tone embracing fiscal conservatism and patriotism.

Media landscape

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