Hurricane experts express concern over satellite data loss impacting forecasts


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Summary

The importance of satellite data

Meteorologists rely on satellite tools, especially at night, to monitor and predict tropical cyclones and hurricanes.

Concerns over data loss

The termination of data processing from the Defense Meteorological Satellite program will impact hurricane research and forecasting accuracy.

Legislative response

A bill introduced in June aims to hire meteorological experts within NOAA to address the data loss issue.


Full story

A hurricane-tracking satellite that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration calls “vital” will shut down permanently on Monday.  Last week, the agency announced the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) will cease operations due to budget cuts.

A hurricane specialist in Florida expressed his concern to the New York Times. “This is an incredibly big hit for hurricane forecasts, and for the tens of millions of Americans who live in hurricane-prone areas,” Michael Lowry said.

DMSP is a Department of Defense program. It is responsible for designing, building, launching and maintaining the satellites that monitor meteorological, oceanographic and solar-terrestrial physics environments.

Forecasters said they still rely on satellite tools to monitor and predict tropical cyclones and hurricanes. During the day, observations of cloud tops and precipitation bands help them track a storm’s movement and spread. However, at night, microwave observation satellites are a necessary tool.

“The nightmare scenario is going to bed with a tropical storm and waking up to a hurricane,” Lowry said.

Lowry also worries about the loss of data and its effect on research. This particular family of satellites has reportedly been collecting data since 1987.

“Our understanding of hurricanes is greatly improved because of that,” Lowry told The Times. Going without that data “eliminates the potential for research that could keep improving our forecasting.”

Retired meteorologist, James Franklin said he expects about half the microwave images will be lost.

“Forecasters will see hourslong delays in the National Hurricane Center recognizing that a storm has begun to strengthen abruptly,” Franklin, who previously ran the National Hurricane Center, said.

What happens to the satellites?

According to the New York Post, the satellites will remain in orbit.

However, the federal government will no longer process the data from them.

Bill introduced to protect NOAA

In early June, a bipartisan coalition introduced a bill aimed at hiring within another branch of NOAA, the National Weather Service.  The bill grants the power to directly hire meteorologists, general physical scientists, hydrologists, computer specialists and electronic technicians.

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Why this story matters

The shutdown of the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program, described by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration as "vital," could negatively affect hurricane forecasting and research, impacting the safety and preparedness of people in hurricane-prone regions.

Hurricane forecasting

Experts cited by the New York Times and former National Hurricane Center officials express concern that losing access to key satellite data may lead to reduced accuracy and delayed detection of hurricane intensification.

Budget cuts and government response

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the termination is due to budget constraints, and lawmakers have responded by introducing legislation to bolster hiring within the National Weather Service.

Research and long-term data loss

As stated by hurricane specialist Michael Lowry, the satellite family has provided data since 1987, and its loss could hinder ongoing hurricane research and future improvements in forecasting.