Iowa Democrats flip district that Trump swept 3 times, defeating supermajority


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Summary

Drey vs. Prosch

Democrat Catelin Drey won the Iowa state Senate seat with 55% of the vote. Republican Chris Prosch received 45%.

Former senator died

The special election for the 1st District in Iowa’s state Senate filled a seat vacated by Sen. Rocky De Witt, a Republican who died in June.

Democratic momentum

According to Downballot, Democrats have been on a roll in 2025, winning 37 of 38 special elections around the country.


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Democrats flipped an Iowa state legislative seat in Sioux City on Tuesday when Catelin Drey won 55% of the votes cast in a low-turnout race, according to results from the Iowa Secretary of State. Drey’s performance represented a more than 20-point swing from Donald Trump’s majority in the district in 2024, and her victory broke a Republican supermajority in the Iowa Senate for the first time since 2022.

Many Democrats celebrated Drey’s win over Republican Chris Prosch as a major victory, noting the party also won in three other special elections in Iowa. State chair Rita Hart said in a statement that Drey won partly because Democrats in Iowa worked to “give money, knock doors and write postcards.”

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Drey, a 37-year-old marketing executive, will replace former Sen. Rocky De Witt, a Republican who died in June. 

The state Senate now has 33 Republicans and 17 Democrats, according to the Iowa Legislature, leaving Republicans one vote short of a supermajority. Republicans will no longer be able to approve appointments by GOP Gov. Kim Reynolds on a party-line vote.

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Catelin Drey, a Democrat, beat Christopher Prosch, a Republican, for the Iowa state Senate District 1 vacant seat, which covers Sioux City.

The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee said Drey’s win boosted the party’s momentum as its candidates have “overperformed by over 10 points on average” in special elections. Some of those wins, like Drey’s, happened in districts President Donald Trump won easily in November.

“Democrats’ special election wins should send a flashing warning to the GOP: voters are rejecting the failing MAGA agenda and leaving Republican candidates in the dust,” DLCC President Heather Williams said in a statement. 

Iowa GOP Chairman Jeff Kaufmann wrote on Facebook that Democrats were “desperate for a win” and flooded the election with 30,000 volunteers and funding to help Drey win the seat. 

“If the Democrats think things are suddenly so great again for them in Iowa, they will bring back the caucuses,” he wrote.

Winning in Trump stronghold

Trump carried the Senate district by 11 points last year against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris. He also carried the district in 2016 and 2020.

In Iowa, Trump’s approval rating since his election dropped two percentage points from November 2024 to August 2025, according to Civiqs.

The Democratic National Committee said on Tuesday that the party had aggressive get-out-the-vote and phone-banking campaigns to encourage Iowans to vote. Slightly fewer than one in four registered voters cast ballots.

The party noted it has won 37 out of 38 special elections since the 2024 General Election. According to election analysis site The Downballot, Democrats flipped three seats: two in Iowa and one in Pennsylvania. The Downballot focuses on local and congressional elections, providing data to the public and for use by the left-wing news site the Daily Kos.

DNC Chair Ken Martin said in a statement that the election showed Iowans aren’t happy with their Republican lawmakers and are successfully replacing them with Democratic ones. 

“That’s why all year long, Iowans have been electing Democrats ready to fight for working Iowans,” he said. “Make no mistake: when Democrats organize everywhere, we win everywhere, and today is no exception.”

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Why this story matters

The Democratic victory in an Iowa state Senate special election broke the Republican supermajority, reducing unilateral power and signaling potential shifts in voter sentiment ahead of future state and national elections.

Partisan balance

With the Republican supermajority now eliminated in the Iowa Senate, Democrats can influence legislative decisions, notably by having the ability to block gubernatorial appointments that require a two-thirds vote.

Special election trends

According to multiple news sources, Democrats have overperformed in several Iowa special elections this year, including flipping districts previously won by President Donald Trump, suggesting changing political dynamics in the state.

Voter engagement

The low voter turnout and the role of extensive volunteer mobilization, as reported by both parties, highlight the challenges and opportunities in motivating the electorate, which could influence future elections' outcomes.

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Context corner

Iowa has become increasingly Republican over the last decade, with the GOP previously holding a supermajority. Special elections, historically low-turnout and unpredictable, have often served as indicators of shifting voter enthusiasm.

Diverging views

Left-leaning sources present the win as a sign of growing Democratic momentum and a rejection of Republican policies while right-leaning sources emphasize low turnout and external resources, suggesting the result might not indicate a larger electoral shift.

Policy impact

The end of the Republican supermajority means Democrats can now block the governor’s appointments requiring a two-thirds Senate vote, reducing the governor’s unilateral power and increasing the influence of both parties in legislative decisions.

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Awarded a perfect reliability rating from NewsGuard

100/100

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Media landscape

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Key points from the Left

  • Democrat Catelin Drey won a special election in Iowa, flipping a seat from Republican to Democratic control with 55% of the vote against Christopher Prosch's 44%.
  • Drey's victory eliminates the GOP's supermajority in the Iowa Senate, now holding 17 seats to 33 for Republicans.
  • The election was called following the death of Republican Sen. Rocky De Witt in June, marking a Democratic flip in a Republican stronghold.
  • National Democratic officials have noted that Drey's win is part of a trend of Democrats performing well in special elections recently, signaling voter discontent with the GOP's agenda.

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Key points from the Center

  • On Tuesday, Democrat Catelin Drey defeated Republican Christopher Prosch in the special election for Iowa Senate District 1 , flipping the previously Republican-held seat.
  • After Sen. Rocky De Witt's death, Governor Kim Reynolds called a special election and national and state parties, including the Democratic National Committee, mobilized volunteers and funding.
  • Campaign filings show Catelin Drey raised $165,385 and received $94,969 in-kind support, while Christopher Prosch raised $20,020 with over $160,000 in-kind support; 24% turnout included 2,900 early voters.
  • With the new composition, Republicans no longer hold a two-thirds supermajority in the Iowa Senate, requiring at least one Democrat's support to meet the 34-vote confirmation threshold for Governor Kim Reynolds' nominees.
  • Following other special-election wins this year, the Democratic National Committee said organizers helped build momentum toward the 2026 midterm elections, viewing Sen. Mike Zimmer's January flip as a model.

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Key points from the Right

  • Democrat Catelin Drey won a special election in Iowa, defeating Republican Christopher Prosch with 55% of the vote to replace the late Republican state Senator Rocky De Witt, who died in June.
  • Drey's victory ends the Republican supermajority in the Iowa state Senate, shifting the balance to 33 Republicans and 17 Democrats.
  • The Democratic National Committee mobilized 30,000 volunteers to support Drey's campaign, reflecting party efforts to counter Republican dominance in Iowa.
  • DNC Chairman Ken Martin stated that Iowans are ready for change, rejecting what he calls the disastrous agenda of President Donald Trump.

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