Media predicts recession or boom amid tariffs, stock volatility: Bias Breakdown


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  • The stock market responded to Trump’s tariff announcement with a sharp decline. Over three days, the stock market lost roughly $10 trillion in value.
  • Right-leaning media predict the U.S. will eventually see a market boom because of Trump’s economic strategy, while left-leaning outlets warned of a recession, citing Trump’s tariffs as a major risk indicator.
  • Media outlets across the political spectrum used selective data and talking points to support narratives that align with their political leanings.

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Since President Donald Trump announced a sweeping set of tariffs, including a 25% tax on foreign cars and auto parts, the U.S. stock market has experienced significant volatility. News outlets across the political spectrum are reacting — some warning of an imminent recession, others predicting an economic boom.

What are the tariffs Trump enacted?

On Wednesday, April 2, Trump declared the new tariffs. Countries with high tariffs or trade barriers on U.S. goods now face an added U.S. tariff of at least 10%, with even steeper rates for top offenders. For example, China, which imposes a 67% tariff on American products, now faces a 34% tariff on top of a 20% penalty previously enacted over fentanyl — and because of retaliatory measures, China will now see an additional 50% tariff, totaling up to 104%.

Other countries affected include Vietnam (46%), Taiwan (32%), India (26%) and the European Union (20%). These rates are roughly half of what those same countries charge the U.S. to export goods.

Contrasting media narratives

Trump’s announcement was met with starkly different reactions from the media. Fox News celebrated “Liberation Day,” hailing Trump’s actions as a long-overdue economic shift. Commentators described the tariffs as a necessary operation to restore balance and praised the administration’s move.

“Donald Trump fundamentally changed the country as we know it. This is the biggest shift in economic policy since World War II when we liberated Europe and Asia. 47 (Trump) says we’re now liberating ourselves from globalization.”

Jesse Watters, Fox News

Meanwhile, MSNBC and CNN raised alarms, labeling the move as harmful to economic growth and overall stability. Critics framed the policy as economic sabotage, with one segment describing the tariff plan as a “detonation” in the heart of the U.S. economy.

“24 hours after Trump detonated a bomb in the heart of the most resilient economy on the planet – the sights and sounds of his failure to protect the American people’s pocketbooks are everywhere.”

Nicolle Wallace, MSNBC

These opposing clips aired on top-rated programs with millions of viewers, underscoring the media’s role in framing public perception through partisan lenses.

Market fallout

The tariffs had an immediate impact on Wall Street. On Thursday, April 3, the day after Trump’s announcement, the Nasdaq dropped 5.9%, the S&P 500 fell 4.8% and the Dow declined 3.9% — marking the worst day for stocks since June 2020.

Friday, April 4, mirrored Thursday’s downturn. The Nasdaq lost another 5.82%, the S&P 500 fell 5.97% and the Dow slid 5.5%. By Monday, April 7 the third trading day after the announcement, markets showed signs of stabilizing, with only modest changes all under 1%.

Despite the steep plunge — among the most severe in the past decade — the Trump administration said such market movement was expected. Trump compared the economic impact to a necessary operation, promising markets and the country would “boom” in time.

“It was an operation — like when a patient gets operated on. It’s a big thing. I said this would be exactly the way it is. The market is gonna boom, the stocks are gonna boom, the country’s gonna boom.”

President Donald Trump on Thursday, April 3

Trump urges patience, not panic

On his social media platform Truth Social, Trump told supporters not to be “panicans,” encouraging Americans to remain strong and patient. He claimed the current pain is part of a long-overdue correction in global trade.

Recession or Resilience?

Right-leaning outlets supported Trump’s optimism, pointing to low oil prices, reduced inflation and a strong jobs report as signs of underlying economic health. Fox News hosts cited bear markets and corrections as routine.

“What’s not being talked about is that oil was $76 a barrel and is now down to $65. Gasoline prices are going to plummet. Any other time, that would be the number one story. If you went to the polls, what would get you elected—much cheaper gasoline or Wall Street crying? I’m just being honest. Yes, people have stocks and 401(k)s, and guess what: there’s a correction on average every year. There’s a bear market every couple of years. People are accustomed to that.”

Charles Payne, Fox News Business

Left-leaning media focused on the potential long-term damage. Economists, billionaires and major financial institutions — like J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs — raised the likelihood of a recession. Some analysts referenced 2008-level impacts if the tariffs remain in place long-term.

MSNBC and CNN spotlighted figures like BlackRock’s Larry Fink and entrepreneur Mark Cuban, both of whom expressed concern about the economic direction under Trump’s policy.

“The worst could still be yet to come. The tariff failure is risking a full-blown recession. The dumping of so many American stocks reflects what I mentioned earlier: the combined views of many investors rejecting Trump’s economic actions. Even some typically pro-Republican CEOs are now warning this could be the “Trump recession.”

Ari Melber, MSNBC Host

What comes next?

$10 trillion in global market value had been wiped out over three days. The Nasdaq at one point had entered a bear market, falling more than 20% from its recent peak, while the S&P 500 had dropped as much as 17%, with analysts suggesting it was close to a bear market.

At the same time, several countries — including the European Union, Vietnam, Zimbabwe, Taiwan and Israel — signaled a willingness to negotiate zero-for-zero tariffs. Trump officials claimed as many as 70 countries had reached out, with Israel visiting and South Korea sending delegates.

However, it’s still unclear if or when Trump will accept any deals or rescind any tariffs.

Two political spins on one economic story

Right-leaning media have emphasized economic optimism, backing Trump’s narrative that a boom is coming. Left-leaning media have largely warned of recession, citing expert analysis and increasing economic risk.

Viewers are likely to align with one outlook or the other based on personal political beliefs. Bias Breakdown aims to highlight the media framing behind such major stories, breaking down biases while emphasizing the facts beneath the political narratives.

For more episodes of Bias Breakdown, click here.

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SAN provides
Unbiased. Straight Facts.

Don't just take our word for it.


Certified balanced reporting

According to media bias experts at AllSides

AllSides Certified Balanced May 2025

Transparent and credible

Awarded a perfect reliability rating from NewsGuard

100/100

Welcome back to trustworthy journalism.

Find out more