Missouri, Indiana could be the next Republican states to redistrict


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Summary

Pressure from above

The White House is adding pressure to Republicans in Missouri and Indiana to redraw their congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms.

A visit from Vance

Vice President JD Vance is flying to Indiana in an effort to convince Gov. Mike Braun to call a special legislative session.

California

As Republicans seek to expand their House majority, California is looking to draw five new Democratic seats to cancel out GOP gains.


As Texas Republicans work to approve a more favorable congressional map, pressure is growing on other red states to follow suit. The White House is leading the effort to gerrymander in an attempt to expand the Republican Party’s slim House majority in the 2026 midterm elections.

Here’s a look at the states that may try to redraw their congressional maps after Texas. 

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Missouri: 

Missouri Gov. Mike Kehoe, R, is considering a mid-decade redistricting, although sources told Bloomberg it would take a big push from President Donald Trump to overcome inertia from lawmakers. 

“Kehoe wants to be sure Missouri’s representation matches Missouri’s Christian conservative majority,” state Sen. Cindy O’Laughlin, R, told Bloomberg. “If he calls a special session to address this, we will of course take it up.”

It’s not clear how many new Republican seats the legislature would try to draw. Republicans already hold six out of the state’s eight seats in the House of Representatives. Reports indicate they may try to get one more, making it 7-1. 

Indiana:

The White House is so eager to get a redrawn map in Indiana that Vice President JD Vance will meet with Gov. Mike Braun, R, in Indianapolis on Thursday while he’s in town for an RNC fundraiser. 

Politico reported that state lawmakers do not want to call a special session as they face a budget crisis in the middle of Braun’s first year in office. 

According to Punchbowl News, Republicans could draw Rep. Frank Mrvan, D, out of his district that covers the northwest corner of the state, including Gary, Indiana. That would give Republicans eight out of the Hoosier state’s nine seats in the House of Representatives. 

There are some Republicans who believe they could draw both Mrvan and Rep. Andre Carson, D, out to give the GOP all nine seats. Although others believe that’s a stretch. 

California: 

Punchbowl also reported that California lawmakers are trying to counter Texas’ new maps by drawing five new Democratic seats in the Golden State. 

If California’s Democratic governor and legislature can find a way to legally redraw the map, they would target Reps. Ken Calvert, Darrell Issa, David Valadao, Doug LaMalfa and Kevin Kiley. 

Democrats currently hold 43 of the state’s 52 seats in the House of Representatives. 

It will be difficult for California to move forward because state law requires maps to be drawn by an independent commission, which was created in 2008.

It’s a big gamble for Gov. Gavin Newsom, D. Political experts say if he calls a vote to redistrict through the legislature and it fails, it would not only embarrass him in his home state, but also hurt his chances of being the Democrats’ presidential nominee in 2028. 

New York and Maryland: 

New York and Maryland are both places Democrats hope to make gains if Texas approves its new map, but it’s doubtful that either would be successful. 

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul, D, said due to restrictions, it’s unlikely a new map could be approved until 2027, after the 2026 midterms. 

Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, D, also said he’s evaluating all options. But Republicans hold only one of the state’s eight House seats and a judge already blocked an attempt by the state’s Democratic-controlled legislature to draw out the lone Republican in 2022.

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Why this story matters

Several states are considering redrawing congressional districts, which could affect the balance of power in the U.S. House of Representatives and influence upcoming elections and national politics.

Redistricting efforts

Efforts by both Republican and Democratic leaders to redraw congressional maps highlight ongoing attempts to shape political representation and outcomes ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

Political strategy

According to multiple sources cited in the article, both parties are developing strategic plans to maximize their advantage, demonstrating the highly competitive and tactical nature of modern electoral politics.

Legal and procedural obstacles

State laws, independent commissions, and judicial rulings limit the ability of lawmakers to gerrymander districts, affecting the success and timing of proposed redistricting efforts in states like California, Maryland and New York.

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Synthesized coverage insights across 28 media outlets

Behind the numbers

Republicans currently hold 25 of Texas' 38 US House seats and seek to increase to 30 seats. In California, Democrats hold 43 of 52 seats and aim for up to 48. Democrats can take the majority in the 435-seat House if just a few seats change hands.

Context corner

Redistricting in the US usually occurs every ten years after the census, but mid-decade efforts, though rare, are not illegal. Gerrymandering — redrawing districts for political gain — has a long history but is more precise today due to detailed voter data and mapping technology.

History lesson

Past attempts at mid-decade redistricting, such as in Texas in 2003, led to prolonged political standoffs and court challenges. Walkouts to prevent legislative action also occurred previously in Texas, notably in 2021 over voting laws.

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Center-rated reporting

According to media bias experts at AllSides

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Bias comparison

  • Media outlets on the left frame Texas Republicans’ mid-decade redistricting as a “scheme” and “rigging” designed to disenfranchise Black and brown voters, emphasizing racial voter suppression and portraying Democrats’ flight as a principled protest against “weaponizing” the FBI.
  • Not enough unique coverage from media outlets in the center to provide a bias comparison.
  • Media outlets on the right underscore the legality and necessity of the redistricting, labeling Democratic lawmakers’ departure as “abandoning” their seats and justifying law enforcement involvement to restore quorum, adopting a tone of enforcing order rather than protest legitimacy.

Media landscape

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28 total sources

Key points from the Left

  • Texas House Representative Jolanda Jones has vowed to resist President Donald Trump's efforts to redraw congressional districts, stating she will fight "however long" necessary.
  • Texas lawmakers have threatened to arrest dissenting Democratic lawmakers who have fled the state to block a redistricting special session.
  • Trump has urged Texas Republicans to propose new districts to shift five Democrat-held seats, igniting a national redistricting race.
  • Democratic governors, including Gavin Newsom of California, are considering retaliatory measures against Republican redistricting efforts.

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Key points from the Center

  • On Monday, Aug. 4, Texas House Democrats denied quorum, halting a vote on a GOP replacement map aimed at boosting Republicans to 30 seats and reducing Democrats to eight.
  • At Trump's urging, Texas Republicans proposed districts to flip five Democrat-held seats in next year’s midterm elections, emphasizing his influence on redistricting efforts.
  • The proposal by California Democrats, circulated by Gavin Newsom, aims to boost the Democratic margin to 48 of 52 seats, potentially slashing five Republican-held House districts.
  • Dozens of Texas Democrats are hosted by Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker and New York Governor Kathy Hochul, who pledged to redraw districts to counter GOP efforts.
  • The fight has spread to other states, with Ohio Republicans planning to redraw maps later this month, as the U.S. parties vie to frame their redistricting approaches as fair.

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Key points from the Right

  • Texas Republicans proposed new congressional districts to flip five Democrat-held U.S. House seats, urged by President Donald Trump, aiming to influence the midterm elections.
  • Gavin Newsom, the governor of California, and other Democratic governors threaten retaliatory redistricting efforts in response to Texas's proposal.
  • Democrats need to flip three Republican-held seats to regain the House majority, making redistricting efforts crucial for both parties.
  • Mapmakers use advanced software to manipulate district lines, making partisan gerrymandering more effective than before.

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