Retirement age could change as Social Security faces long-term funding gap


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Summary

Social Security

Social Security’s retirement and survivor funds may cover full benefits until 2033, with partial payments afterward.

Medicare also impacted

Disability Insurance remains solvent through at least 2099, while Medicare’s Hospital Insurance could pay only 89% of benefits by 2033.

Funding challenges

Legislative changes, lower fertility assumptions and economic shifts are driving long-term funding challenges.


With Social Security’s trust funds projected to run dry within the next decade, the Trump administration is weighing changes to keep the program solvent. One option under discussion is raising the retirement age, a move that could set different rules for younger generations.

Social Security Commissioner Frank Bisignano said during an appearance on “Mornings with Maria” on FOX Business Network that no ideas are off the table.

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“Remember, most people told you and me Social Security wasn’t going to be around,” he said Thursday. “And so the generations that are coming in will probably have a different set of rules than we had.” 

Trustees report mixed outlook

A 2025 report from the trustees of Social Security and Medicare warns that both programs face mounting financial pressure. The findings paint a mixed picture: steady funding in some areas but looming shortfalls in others.

The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance fund, which pays retirement and survivor benefits, is projected to cover full payments until 2033. After that, reserves would be depleted, and payroll taxes would only cover about 77% of scheduled benefits.

The Disability Insurance fund, by contrast, is on far firmer ground. It is expected to meet all obligations through at least 2099, a slight improvement from last year’s outlook.

Looking at the two Social Security funds together, a common measure of solvency, the combined reserves would last until 2034, one year earlier than previously reported. Once the reserves run dry, incoming revenue would pay roughly 81% of benefits. While the funds cannot legally be merged without congressional action, analysts often use the combined figure to assess overall stability.

The trustees also reported that Medicare’s Hospital Insurance fund, which covers inpatient care, is projected to run short of money by 2033. At that point, it could pay about 89% of promised benefits.

Saving money, long-term fix

During his interview, Bisignano said the effort is about saving money and will take both time and hard work to achieve.

“It needs, really, to be the trustees, which are the four of us — myself, the Treasury secretary, the labor secretary, the HHS secretary — the White House, which is completely committed to protect and preserve Social Security, and then Congress,” he said.

Several factors contributed to this year’s weaker Social Security outlook. In early 2025, Congress repealed the Windfall Elimination and Government Pension Offset rules, which had reduced benefits for millions of workers with pensions from jobs not covered by Social Security. 

The Social Security Fairness Act restores and increases benefits for certain groups. The groups include teachers, firefighters, police officers in many states, some federal employees, and workers whose jobs were covered by foreign social security systems.

Trustees also assumed that today’s lower fertility rates will last longer than previously expected and lowered estimates of how much of the economy will go to worker wages.

History of lawmakers working to stabilize Social Security 

For decades, Congress has stepped in with reforms when Social Security faced shortfalls. In 1939, lawmakers expanded benefits to survivors and dependents. Amendments in 1950 introduced cost-of-living increases, and in 1972 Congress added automatic inflation adjustments and other changes to shore up funding. 

The most sweeping fix came in 1983, when lawmakers raised the retirement age, increased payroll taxes and extended coverage to federal workers to keep the program solvent.

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Why this story matters

Social Security and Medicare face projected funding shortfalls in the next decade, prompting discussions about policy changes that could affect retirement age and benefit rules for future recipients. The outcome of these discussions will impact millions of Americans' financial and healthcare security.

Program solvency

Ensuring Social Security and Medicare remain financially stable is crucial, as their reserves are projected to run out within the next decade, affecting the benefits available to retirees and other recipients.

Policy changes

Potential reforms, such as raising the retirement age or revising benefit rules, could alter how future generations access and benefit from these programs, influencing retirement planning nationwide.

Legislative action

Ongoing and historical efforts by Congress and federal agencies to address funding gaps highlight the ongoing role of government decisions in shaping the future of entitlement programs relied upon by millions.

Straight Arrow
Fear No Fact.

Don't just take our word for it.


Center-rated reporting

According to media bias experts at AllSides

AllSides Center-rated reporting May 2026

Transparent and credible

Awarded a perfect reliability rating from NewsGuard

100/100

Welcome back to trustworthy journalism.

Find out more