Rising flu cases: The context behind the numbers


Summary

Flu cases continue to rise

The CDC estimated there have been 7.5 million flu cases, 80,000 hospitalizations and more than 3,000 deaths so far this season.

Low severity

Some media outlets have dubbed this year’s virus the “superflu.” This is not a scientific term and may be misleading. There is no indication this year’s dominant flu strain causes more severe illness than last year.

Low vaccination rates

Vaccination rates are on track to be lower this flu season than last, continuing a decline since the COVID-19 pandemic.


The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported Monday that there have been at least 7.5 million flu cases this season. Overall, the public health agency said the current flu season is not severe.

Some media outlets have referred to this year’s virus as the “superflu.” This is not a scientific term and may be misleading. While the tally of cases is rising faster than at this time last year — when the CDC estimated 3.1 million cases — there is no indication that the virus is more severe.

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This flu season saw just over 80,000 hospitalizations, and more than 3,000 people have died, the CDC reported in its latest update. Last year, about 37,000 patients were hospitalized, and 1,500 people died.

Ali Caldwell

Fewer than 1.1% of flu patients have been hospitalized this year, and 0.4% have died. Both rates are slightly lower than last year, when the hospitalization rate was about 1.2% and the mortality rate was about 0.5%.

Last week, five children died from the flu, bringing the 2025 season’s total to eight pediatric deaths. By the end of December 2024, the CDC had recorded nine pediatric deaths.

Is the flu vaccine effective?

A new subgroup of the flu virus — H3N2 subclade K — emerged this summer after U.S. health officials and vaccine makers finalized this year’s flu vaccine formula.

When new strains or subgroups emerge, vaccines may be less effective, or the virus may be sufficiently different from prior versions that it bypasses existing immunity from previous infections or vaccines. So far, there is no evidence that subclade K is doing this. 

Researchers from the U.K. suggested that subclade K may spread more easily than previous versions; however, other scientists have refuted that it is more contagious than previous years.

The CDC has not yet commented on the effectiveness of this year’s flu vaccine in the U.S.; however, vaccination rates are on track to be lower this flu season than last, continuing a decline since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

For a deep dive into subclade K and what to expect this flu season, read our Flu FAQ here.

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Why this story matters

The CDC reports higher flu case numbers this season with slightly lower hospitalization and mortality rates, raising questions about the impact of emerging virus strains and declining vaccination rates on public health.

Flu season trends

According to the CDC, flu cases, hospitalizations and deaths have increased compared to last year, though severity rates are marginally lower, offering context for ongoing monitoring of seasonal influenza.

Vaccine effectiveness

Emergence of the H3N2 subclade K raises concerns about potential impacts on vaccine efficacy, though the CDC and researchers note there is currently no evidence the new strain is evading vaccine protection.

Misinformation and communication

Media references to a "superflu" are not grounded in scientific terminology, which may contribute to public misunderstanding of the actual severity and nature of this year's flu season.

Straight Arrow
Fear No Fact.

Don't just take our word for it.


Center-rated reporting

According to media bias experts at AllSides

AllSides Center-rated reporting May 2026

Transparent and credible

Awarded a perfect reliability rating from NewsGuard

100/100

Welcome back to trustworthy journalism.

Find out more

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