Surging energy prices drive inflation to 3% for first time in 8 months


Summary

Energy prices

Gas and electric utilities saw the largest price increases for consumers over the previous 12 months.

Aging infrastructure

The cost of replacing power lines and gas pipelines is a major driver of higher customer bills.

Electricity markets

Data centers are reshaping electricity markets with recent data showing billions in costs to keep the grid stable.


Full story

Inflation is up 3% from a year ago, and energy costs are the main driver for rising prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released on Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that electric and gas utility costs rose 6.4% in September compared to a year earlier.

The cost of electricity has risen by 5.1% since September 2024, while the cost of natural gas utilities is up by 11.7% — the largest increase on any item tracked in the CPI report. Used car prices also increased by 5.1%. The cost of health care rose by 3.9% while food costs were up 3.1% overall. Gasoline prices, which recently hit a 10-month low for drivers at the pump, declined by half a percentage point — the largest decrease of any item in the report.

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The September CPI report was based on data gathered before the start of a government shutdown that began Oct. 1, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said.

The consumer price data reflects changes on the U.S. power grid and a push to update aging infrastructure. Electricity prices are rising because of a surge in demand, driven in large part by the growth of artificial intelligence data centers. At the same time, utility companies are working to replace old and damaged power lines and gas pipelines, typically passing some of the associated costs to consumers.

What’s happening in electricity markets? 

Increasing electricity costs since 2019 stem primarily from aging infrastructure that requires replacement and costly upgrades to transmission and distribution systems, according to a recent analysis by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and The Brattle Group. The analysis found capital costs rose 35% in real terms as utilities worked to replace equipment and harden systems against extreme weather.

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The cost of electric utilities increased by 5.1% since September 2024, according to the Consumer Price Index.

In addition to upgrading old infrastructure, electricity markets have responded to shifting demand and the rise of data centers. An independent market monitor’s report on America’s largest regional electric grid, PJM, which stretches from New Jersey to Chicago, found that data centers in the load forecast for 2026 caused a $7.3 billion spike in the grid’s latest auction for long-term power contracts.

Utilities are building new transmission lines to accommodate Big Tech customers that can require 100 to 1,000 megawatts of power. In 2024 alone, utilities in seven states passed more than $4.3 billion in grid connection costs on to all customers to serve data centers, according to the Union of Concerned Scientists.

Why are gas utility costs spiking? 

The global price of natural gas has increased more than 40% since September 2024. But the increase in gas utility costs is also driven by the cost of upgrading infrastructure, according to reporting in NPR

Gas utilities increased construction spending 50% from 2022 to 2023, reaching $49.1 billion. 

Gas companies need to make repairs to satisfy safety concerns, but NPR reports that they typically choose the most expensive option — full-line replacement — because of how they make money. Gas companies typically don’t profit from selling gas itself, passing wholesale prices directly to customers. Instead, they earn returns by building infrastructure. State regulators then allow companies to recover those costs, plus profits, through customer bills.

Mathew Grisham (Digital Producer) contributed to this report.
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Why this story matters

Rising utility costs are driving U.S. inflation, affecting consumers’ budgets and reflecting wider changes in infrastructure, technology and market mechanics.

Gas and electric costs

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, electricity and gas utility costs are up significantly, with natural gas rising by 11.7%, highlighting the immediate financial impact on households.

Demand from technology

Data centers requiring large amounts of electricity are driving up demand on power grids, with the Union of Concerned Scientists reporting over $4.3 billion in grid connection costs to accommodate technology companies.

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Behind the numbers

Headline inflation in September was 3%, up from 2.9% in August, with monthly prices rising 0.3%. This means a typical household is spending around $208 more per month than a year ago, according to Moody's Analytics.

Community reaction

Many Americans remain stressed about grocery and living costs. According to an Associated Press-NORC poll, about half of respondents say groceries are a major source of stress and Social Security recipients pay close attention to cost-of-living adjustments.

Debunking

While some predicted that new tariffs would cause runaway price surges, analysts widely acknowledge that companies are absorbing some costs and the inflation increase has so far been smaller than forecast.

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Unbiased. Straight Facts.

Don’t just take our word for it.


Certified balanced reporting

According to media bias experts at AllSides

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Awarded a perfect reliability rating from NewsGuard

100/100

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Bias comparison

  • Media outlets on the left emphasize the sub-forecast angle — highlighting "below expected" and framing 3.0% as momentum toward Fed rate cuts and muted tariff effects, using terms like "belated/long-awaited" to criticize delays.
  • Not enough unique coverage from media outlets in the center to provide a bias comparison.
  • Media outlets on the right spotlight acceleration and risk, stressing "well above" target, "overheating," and phrases like "smashes" to cast doubt on easing policy.

Media landscape

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123 total sources

Key points from the Left

  • In September, the U.S. inflation rate increased to 3.0% from 2.9% in August, according to the Labor Department's Consumer Price Index.
  • Monthly costs rose by 0.3%, driven by increases in gasoline and energy prices.
  • Core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose 0.2%, maintaining a 3% annual rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
  • The ongoing government shutdown hampers data collection, impacting economic assessment and possibly leading to interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

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Key points from the Center

  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the CPI on Friday, reporting year-over-year inflation rose to 3.0% in September, slightly below economists' 3.1% forecast.
  • The BLS had intended to publish on Oct. 15, but the U.S. government shutdown beginning Oct. 1 delayed the release, affecting many federal workers and agency operations.
  • The Federal Reserve meets on Oct. 28 and Oct. 29 to consider rates, and with other official data missing, today's CPI gives Fed members some insight despite murky job-market details.
  • The Social Security Administration will use the fresh inflation figures to calculate the annual cost-of-living adjustment, while large companies and small businesses weigh price and staffing decisions.

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Key points from the Right

  • The annualized inflation rate in the U.S. was 3% in September, according to the federal government's Consumer Price Index report released on Tuesday.
  • This inflation rate was lower than the Dow Jones consensus estimate of 3.1%, as reported by CNBC.
  • Gas prices increased by 4.1% in September, significantly impacting inflation, while rents and some services saw decreased costs.

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Other (sources without bias rating):

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