Trump predicts Democrats will impeach him if they win House in midterms


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Summary

Trump warning

President Donald Trump warned House Republicans that losing the midterms could open the door to another impeachment.

Slim majority

Republicans currently hold a slim 218-213 majority, with four vacancies.

Special elections

Special elections are scheduled for three of those seats in the coming months.


Full story

President Donald Trump predicted Democrats would move to impeach him if they regain control of the House in the November midterm elections. Trump made the comments Tuesday while addressing House Republicans at what was billed as a retreat.

During the retreat, the president urged party unity, warning that holding the majority is critical to blocking Democratic efforts against him.

“You gotta win the midterms ’cause, if we don’t win the midterms, it’s just gonna be — I mean, they’ll find a reason to impeach me,” Trump told lawmakers. “I’ll get impeached.”

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Midterms loom large

Trump urged Republicans to focus on issues such as election integrity, gender policy and health care, while acknowledging the political headwinds that often follow a presidential win.

“They say that when you win the presidency, you lose the midterm,” Trump said, before predicting Republicans would instead notch an “epic midterm victory.”

All 435 House seats will be up for election in November.

Trump’s impeachment history

The House impeached Trump twice during his first term in office.

The Democratic-led House first impeached him in December 2019 on charges of abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, largely tied to a phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. He was impeached again in January 2021 following the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, on a charge of inciting an insurrection.

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All 435 House seats are up for election in November 2026, and Democrats need only three pickups to regain control of the lawmaking body.

In both cases, the Senate acquitted him. Trump has repeatedly argued the impeachments were politically motivated.

A razor-thin House majority

Republicans currently hold a 218-213 edge in the House, a margin that has tightened further in recent days. 

The majority shrank after Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., resigned and Rep. Doug LaMalfa, R-Calif., died. The Wall Street Journal also reported that Rep. Jim Baird, R-Ind., was hospitalized following a car accident. 

With the current numbers, House Speaker Mike Johnson can afford to lose no more than two Republican votes on party-line legislation, assuming full attendance and unified Democratic opposition. That margin is further complicated by frequent dissent from Republicans, including Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky.

Vacancies and special elections ahead

Republicans are expected to pick up a seat in Georgia, where a March 10 special election will fill Greene’s vacancy. The heavily Republican district has more than 20 candidates, most of them GOP contenders.

Democrats, however, are expected to win two seats in the upcoming special elections. In Texas, a runoff later this month is expected to keep the seat formerly held by Rep. Sylvester Turner, who died last year, in Democratic hands. And on April 16, voters in New Jersey will elect a replacement for former Rep. Mikie Sherill, who left Congress to become the state’s governor.

If Democrats hold both seats, the Republican majority would narrow to 219-215.

A special election for LaMalfa’s California seat cannot be held for at least four months under state law.

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Why this story matters

The close balance of power in the House and President Donald Trump's comments about the potential for impeachment highlight how the upcoming midterm elections could shape legislative control and national political dynamics.

House majority

A slim Republican margin in the House increases the stakes of special elections and party unity, affecting the passage of legislation and overall political strategy.

Impeachment concerns

Trump warned that a Democratic-controlled House may seek to impeach him, underscoring ongoing partisan tensions and the lasting impact of previous impeachment proceedings.

Midterm elections

All 435 House seats will be contested, making the midterms a pivotal moment in determining the direction of U.S. policy and leadership over the next two years.

SAN provides
Unbiased. Straight Facts.

Don’t just take our word for it.


Certified balanced reporting

According to media bias experts at AllSides

AllSides Certified Balanced May 2025

Transparent and credible

Awarded a perfect reliability rating from NewsGuard

100/100

Welcome back to trustworthy journalism.

Find out more

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