Why blue state Republicans say they’re willing to sink Trump’s agenda


Summary

Trump's budget and tax bill

Republicans are trying to pass the president's budget and tax bill by Memorial Day. It will make the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent.

Blue state GOP use their leverage

For the bill to pass, Republicans need their entire party to get on board. Blue state Republicans are demanding the state and local tax deduction be reinstated. They say they won't support the bill without it.

What is SALT?

The state and local deduction, or SALT, allows individuals to write off local taxes on their federal return. The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced the deduction from $25,000 to $10,000. New York Republicans want the cap eliminated entirely. 


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Summary

Trump's budget and tax bill

Republicans are trying to pass the president's budget and tax bill by Memorial Day. It will make the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent.

Blue state GOP use their leverage

For the bill to pass, Republicans need their entire party to get on board. Blue state Republicans are demanding the state and local tax deduction be reinstated. They say they won't support the bill without it.

What is SALT?

The state and local deduction, or SALT, allows individuals to write off local taxes on their federal return. The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced the deduction from $25,000 to $10,000. New York Republicans want the cap eliminated entirely. 


Full story

New York Republicans say they will vote against President Donald Trump’s tax cuts and budget bill unless it includes a state and local tax deduction. The lawmakers have significant leverage given House Republicans can only lose three votes to get the bill approved. 

“The fact is that they need to address the cap on SALT as part of this bill, or there won’t be a bill,” Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., told Straight Arrow News.  

What is SALT?

The state and local deduction, or SALT, allows individuals to write off local taxes on their federal return. It’s particularly important to those in high tax states like New York, New Jersey and California. The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced the deduction from $25,000 to $10,000. New York Republicans now say they want the cap eliminated. 

“There needs to be an adjustment to SALT. It is the right thing to do for middle-class families in New York and California and other states. They were shortchanged in the last bill when SALT was reduced to $10,000,” Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, R-N.Y., explained to SAN. “It needs to be adjusted, but it needs to be adjusted in a reasonable manner where it’s targeted to the middle class.”

The final numbers are still being negotiated. Malliotakis said they have to find a compromise that will allow those making less than $400,000-$500,000 to claim the deduction. 

President Trump, a native New Yorker, has repeatedly said he supports SALT. 

Why are some opposed to a tax deduction?

Republicans who oppose the write-off contend it’s essentially a federal subsidy. They say high tax states should find a way to lower their taxes, not rely on a deduction for relief.

“That’s their deal. They want to talk tough. But the reality is, Tennessee should not be supplementing their bad decisions,” Rep. Tim Burchett, R-Tenn., told SAN. 

What are donor states?

Blue state Republicans counter by pointing out that their states are what are known as donor states. In other words, their states’ taxpayers send more money to the federal government each year than they receive.

For instance, in 2023, New York paid about $375 billion to the federal government but only received $286 billion in federal assistance — a difference of $89 billion. Alabama, on the other hand, receives $41 billion more from the federal government than it sends. 

Approximately 31 states, plus Washington, D.C., are recipients, while 19 states are donors. 

“This is an issue of double taxation. It’s an issue of fairness for my colleagues that talk about bad blue state policies,” Lawler. “The fact is, New York is a donor state. Many of my colleagues from red states actually get more money from the federal government than tax revenue that is sent to the federal government.”

There are 19 Republicans who represent districts in New York, New Jersey and California. It’s unclear exactly how many are willing to vote against the tax bill if SALT isn’t included, but it will only take three Republican “no’s” to sink it.

Snorre Wik (Director of Photography) contributed to this report.
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Why this story matters

This story matters as it highlights the contentious issue of state and local tax (SALT) deductions, a critical factor not only for tax policy but also for political negotiations within the U.S. government.

Tax policy

The SALT deductions are crucial for taxpayers in high-tax states and play a significant role in federal tax legislation.

Political leverage

New York Republicans are leveraging their votes to demand changes in the SALT provisions, illustrating the intricate power dynamics in congressional decision-making.

Get the big picture

Synthesized coverage insights across 7 media outlets

Do the math

Representatives from high tax states say the deduction is crucial for those making less than $400,000 a year. It needs to be targeted because allowing a universal SALT deduction with no cap would add $1.2 trillion to the deficit over ten years.

Oppo research

Opponents of raising the SALT cap argue that it primarily benefits wealthier individuals in blue states at the expense of federal funding for essential services elsewhere. They highlight concerns about fiscal responsibility and the potential for exacerbating inequality in tax benefits among states with differing economic conditions.

Media landscape

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Key points from the Left

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Key points from the Center

  • Republican House leaders and members from high-tax states met on April 30, in Washington, D.C., to negotiate the SALT deduction in a tax package.
  • The negotiation follows the 2017 GOP law that imposed a $10,000 SALT cap, which has been unpopular in districts like Nick LaLota’s on Long Island, creating pressure to raise it.
  • Lawmakers discussed various cap proposals ranging from $30,000 to $100,000 per filer, with some Republicans wanting income limits and offsets to limit costs and address the marriage penalty.
  • Rep. Nick LaLota said, “I'm all in on the SALT provision,” while others like lobbyist Liam Donovan warned acceptance is necessary to avoid attacks, showing divergent views within the party.
  • The unresolved SALT issue complicates passing the multi-trillion-dollar package by Memorial Day and signals the GOP must balance red-state opposition with securing votes from swing districts in high-tax states.

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Key points from the Right

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