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Dollar General sees sales jump as wealthier shoppers tighten their belts


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Summary

Sales growth

Dollar General reported $10.44 billion in sales for the quarter ending May 2, an increase from $9.91 billion in the same quarter last year. According to the company's statements during its earnings call, same-store sales rose by 2.4% in Q1, surpassing the 1.5% projected by analysts as reported by the Wall Street Journal.

Changing customer base

Dollar General CEO Todd Vasos stated during an earnings call that the company has seen increased growth from both middle- and higher-income customers. Vasos is quoted as saying, “We have seen increased growth from both middle and higher income customers. Our data shows that new customers this year are making more trips and spending more with us compared to new customers from last year.”

Tariffs and outlook

Dollar General addressed the impact of President Trump’s new tariffs, including a 50% rate on imported steel and aluminum, stating these are already affecting retailers. The company updated its sales forecast to expect growth of up to 4.7% by early 2026 but also cautioned that tariffs could force price increases on certain goods. Vasos told CNN that higher prices would be 'a last resort' and emphasized efforts to minimize the impact.


Full story

Discount retailer Dollar General beat expectations this quarter, reporting $10.44 billion in sales for the period ending May 2, up from $9.91 billion in the same quarter last year. The increase came amid economic uncertainty, which is driving even more affluent shoppers toward discount chains.

What is Dollar General seeing when it comes to new shoppers?

During an earnings call Tuesday, June 3, CEO Todd Vasos told analysts the quarter’s growth could be attributed to wealthy shoppers.

“We have seen increased growth from both middle and higher income customers,” Vasos said. “Our data shows that new customers this year are making more trips and spending more with us compared to new customers from last year.“

Who is the typical Dollar General shopper?

Dollar General’s core customer base historically earns less than $40,000 annually, according to CNN. The company operates more than 20,000 stores across the U.S., and has long been considered an indicator for lower- and middle-income consumer behavior.

In addition to new, more affluent customers, Dollar General says sales also improved among its traditional base of low-income shoppers seeking value amid inflation. 

Why is this important?

In March, Vasos said shoppers were cutting back to basic needs due to higher prices, noting many reported their financial situations had worsened over the previous year. 

Now, same-store sales, a key retail metric, rose 2.4% in Q1, beating projections of 1.5% according to The Wall Street Journal. The company expects this momentum to continue, even while bracing for possible price hikes tied to new tariffs.

How are Trump’s tariffs factoring into this?

President Donald Trump’s new tariffs, including an additional 50% rate on imported steel and aluminum, are already weighing on retailers. Dollar General said its revised sales forecast now expects growth of up to 4.7% by early 2026, higher than its previous range of 3.4% to 4.4%. Still, the chain warned that tariffs could force price increases on certain goods.

Vasos told CNN that tariffs might raise prices “as a last resort,” but noted that the company is working to minimize any impact.

The company’s outlook assumes the current tariff rates remain unchanged through at least mid-August but said it is prepared to adjust if trade tensions escalate further.

How are shoppers feeling about the economy?

Consumer confidence rose in May for the first time in six months, according to The Conference Board, following the May 12 U.S.-China trade deal, which reduced tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% and set a 90-day negotiation window.

However, those talks have since stalled. On Wednesday, Trump took to Truth Social and wrote that China’s President Xi Jinping is “very tough” and “extremely hard to make a deal with.”

Jason Morrell (Morning Managing Editor), Jack Henry (Video Editor), and Lawrence Banton (Digital Producer) contributed to this report.
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Why this story matters

Dollar General's sales increase, driven by both traditional low-income shoppers and a growing number of more affluent customers amid economic uncertainty and tariff pressures, highlights shifting consumer behaviors and economic confidence in the broader retail landscape.

Changing customer demographics

According to CEO Todd Vasos, more affluent customers are increasingly shopping at Dollar General, indicating a shift in who seeks value purchases as economic pressures impact wider segments of the population.

Economic uncertainty and inflation

The company notes that both traditional and new shoppers are responding to ongoing inflation and uncertainty by prioritizing value, reflecting broader trends in consumer sentiment and financial strain.

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Context corner

Discount retailers like Dollar General often see increased sales during economic downturns. Historically, periods of financial strain lead shoppers to trade down from traditional stores to discounters, making these retailers a barometer for broader economic stress. The current uptick continues this trend, reflecting inflationary pressures and tariff uncertainties impacting consumer behavior.

Policy impact

Trade policies, particularly tariffs on imports, have direct effects on pricing and product sourcing for retailers like Dollar General. Company leadership notes in earnings calls that while they aim to limit price increases, uncertainty around future tariffs may eventually force the company to raise prices or adjust the product mix.

Solution spotlight

Dollar General has responded to trade and inflation challenges by negotiating with suppliers, shifting manufacturing, and introducing smaller package sizes to maintain low price points. Additionally, the company has expanded delivery offerings and remodeled stores, aiming to attract new customer groups and improve the overall shopping experience.

Bias comparison

  • Media outlets on the left framed Dollar General’s record sales primarily as a symptom of economic anxiety and inequality, emphasizing consumers “tightening their budgets” and the negative impact of tariffs “squeezing Americans,” thereby highlighting broader financial distress.
  • Media outlets in the center acknowledged Dollar General’s robust sales and raised profit outlook amid economic uncertainty, and recognized the company’s financial performance within the broader ideological debate over economic conditions and policy impacts.
  • Media outlets on the right have typically celebrated strong earnings and job creation as wins, often minimizing economic hardship.

Media landscape

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Key points from the Left

  • Dollar General set a quarterly sales record of $10.44 billion, up 5% from $9.91 billion, due to Americans tightening their budgets.
  • Dollar General earned $391.9 million, or $1.78 per share, which exceeded Wall Street's expectation of $1.47 per share.
  • Dollar General expressed uncertainty about tariffs impacting business and customers for the year.
  • Dollar General raised its annual profit outlook amid economic uncertainty.

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Key points from the Center

  • In early 2025, Dollar General achieved its highest-ever quarterly sales, reaching $10.44 billion and exceeding expectations in the U.S. Market.
  • The company’s robust sales increase followed a 0.2% contraction in the U.S. Economy during the first quarter, marking the initial economic decline in three years.
  • Dollar General increased its full-year earnings and revenue forecasts following a 2.4% rise in same-store sales and a 5% increase in overall sales through May 2.
  • The company earned $391.9 million for the quarter and projects 2025 earnings between $5.20 and $5.80 per share, exceeding analysts’ $5.61 estimate.
  • Despite economic uncertainty and tariff pressures, Dollar General gained market share by attracting budget-conscious shoppers facing financial strain.

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