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Gamblers say โ€˜Big, Beautiful Billโ€™ may force them to fold


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Summary

Change in tax code

The Senate version of President Donald Trumpโ€™s spending plan decreases the amount of gambling losses Americans can write off from their income taxes.

Gamblers call foul

Professional gamblers say the change could force them to pay taxes on amounts greater than their actual earnings.

Big business

Americans placed $72 billion in commercial bets last year, and analysts fear the tax-code change could stifle the growing industry.


Full story

Professional gamblers say President Donald Trumpโ€™s โ€œBig, Beautiful Billโ€ is a bad bet. Deep inside the fiscal measure adopted Thursday, July 3, is a provision that limits income-tax write-offs for gambling losses.

โ€œYikes,โ€ professional poker player Phil Galford wrote on X. โ€œSenate amendment to the Big Beautiful Bill=you get taxes on more than you earned from gambling, even if you netted $0 (or less!).โ€

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โ€œPoker as we know it is under attack in America,โ€ another player, Doug Polk, said on YouTube.

โ€œIf this bill passes, it will be a gigantic step backwards for the gambling industry,โ€ Polk said. “And the majority of the people who play for a living today will not be able to do so moving forward.โ€

Taxing ‘phantom’ winnings

The gambling provision โ€“ six paragraphs in a 940-page bill โ€“ amounts to a $1.1 billion tax hike through 2034, Bloomberg reported.

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The “Big, Beautiful Bill” containing President Donald Trump’s spending priorities reduces the amount of gambling losses that are deductible for tax purposes. The change will amount to a $1.1 billion tax hike through 2034.

โ€œIt is really ugly (or, to use one of President Trumpโ€™s phrases, bigly ugly) toward gambling,โ€ Russell Fox, a poker player and licensed tax professional from Las Vegas, wrote on his blog, Taxable Talk.

Under current tax law, professional and amateur gamblers alike may deduct 100% of their losses from their winnings to determine their tax liability from wagering. However, the Senateโ€™s version of the budget bill limits those deductions to 90%. The amendment was one of numerous efforts to offset the $3.4 trillion the bill is projected to add to the federal deficit.

โ€œIโ€™ve spoken to many clients, and theyโ€™re very concerned,โ€ accountant Zachary Zimbile told Bloomberg. โ€œIf you add a 10% penalty, itโ€™s going to eat into a lot of their profit.โ€

Fox, the tax professional and poker player, says what might seem like a small change will have major tax implications for professional gamblers.

For example, he said, a gambler who won $100,000 in a year and lost an equal amount would be taxed on $10,000 in what he called โ€œphantomโ€ income.

The impact will be far greater on big-time gamblers, Galford said. He once won $1.6 million in a single day playing poker, according to Analyze Poker.

In a video posted to X, Galford said a gambler who won $5.2 million in a year and lost $5 million, for a net income of $200,000, would pay taxes on actual winnings plus 10% of the losses.

โ€œYou would make $200,000 during the year,โ€ he said. However, โ€œyou would pay tax as if you made $700,000, meaning in almost everybodyโ€™s case you would pay more tax than you made during the year. Completely untenable. You canโ€™t be a professional gambler in the U.S. if this goes through.โ€

$72 billion in bets

The change in tax policy comes amid a boom in legal gambling in the United States.

Americans placed a record-high $72 billion in bets in 2024, up 7.5% from the previous year, according to the American Gaming Association. The figure includes wagers on sporting events, bets at casinos and online gambling.

In a statement to Straight Arrow News, the association commended congressional leaders on passage of the bill and said the measure would enhance the gaming industryโ€™s ability to deliver economic benefits. The statement, however, left open the possibility for amending the new rules on deducting gambling losses.

โ€œWe look forward to President Trumpโ€™s expected signing and will work closely with Congress in the coming months to address the changes to wagering deduction losses and further modernize the tax code,โ€ an association spokesperson said.

Some industry analysts predict that heavy gamblers may shift toward illegal games where their winnings and losses are not tracked.

Gambling meccas, such as Las Vegas, are bracing for negative effects.

โ€œIt will have a big impact on gaming,โ€ Rep. Dana Titus, D-Nev., told Bloomberg. โ€œThey thought it was just a handful of professional poker players, but a lot of amateurs have come out of the woodwork to oppose it, too.โ€

Chris Field (Executive Editor), Emma Stoltzfus (Video Editor), and Lawrence Banton (Digital Producer) contributed to this report.
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Why this story matters

Changes to U.S. tax law limiting gambling loss deductions could significantly affect professional and amateur gamblers, potentially altering the gambling industry and having broader economic implications.

Tax policy changes

The new provision reducing deductible gambling losses from 100% to 90% represents a notable policy shift with direct financial implications for gamblers.

Impact on gamblers

Professional and amateur gamblers may face increased tax liabilities, which, according to individuals quoted in the article, could threaten their ability to continue gambling as a livelihood.

Gambling industry effects

Industry analysts and stakeholders predict that the change may incentivize illegal gambling and have economic repercussions for regions dependent on gaming, such as Las Vegas.

Bias comparison

  • Media outlets on the left cast the tax bill as a โ€œRepublican Tax Scam,โ€ vividly portraying it as a harmful giveaway favoring billionaires while threatening industries like Kentucky horse racingโ€”using alarmist terms like โ€œscamโ€ and โ€œkillโ€ to evoke fear and betrayal.
  • Media outlets in the center de-emphasize ideological framing, focusing instead on bipartisan efforts to amend the gambling tax provision due to its real economic impact on Nevadaโ€™s casinos.
  • Media outlets on the right frame the same legislation more defensively, disputing Congressional Budget Office deficit warnings as โ€œfake mathโ€ and portraying the bill as fiscally responsible, emphasizing economic growth without dwelling on social costs.

Media landscape

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15 total sources

Key points from the Left

  • A provision in the House Republicans' bill reduces gamblers' loss deductions from 100% to 90%, affecting their tax liabilities.
  • This change could force gamblers to pay taxes on winnings they do not have.
  • Representative Dina Titus advocated for a fix to the gambling provision in the bill, expressing concern over its impact on clientele.
  • Professional poker player Phil Galfond pointed out that earnings could be taxed even if a gambler nets $0, highlighting the unfairness of the new tax rules.

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Key points from the Center

  • President Donald Trump's 900-page budget bill includes a provision limiting gamblers' loss deductions to 90%, impacting the gaming industry nationwide.
  • This provision emerged amid efforts by Republicans to pass the bill before July 4, despite concerns it could severely harm Kentucky's billion-dollar horse racing sector.
  • Professional and amateur gamblers, including Rep. Dina Titus and casino owner Derek Stevens, unite in opposition, warning that taxed winnings might exceed actual profits.
  • Poker professional Phil Galfond pointed out that the new tax rules result in paying taxes on amounts exceeding actual gambling profits, even when the gamblerโ€™s net result is zero or negative.
  • The bill would raise the federal debt by $3.1 trillion and risk pushing gamblers to unregulated markets, while prompting political debates over its economic and social effects.

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Key points from the Right

  • Gamblers are concerned about a $1.1 billion tax hike in the Senate GOP's tax bill, which would reduce deductions for gambling losses from 100% to 90% when calculating net income.
  • Representative Dina Titus was seeking a fix for the tax measure that affects both professionals and amateurs in gambling.
  • The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill will add $3.3 trillion to the deficit over ten years, while critics claim it could weaken the economy.

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