Ray Dalio has warned that the United States could be heading toward internal conflict, driven by mounting federal debt and growing wealth disparities. He pointed to 1937 and 1938, suggesting that the country’s current economic fragility mirrors earlier periods of turmoil.
Dalio pointed out that the national debt now exceeds $30 trillion and called it a persistent structural risk, which threatens stability.
He also emphasized the stark inequality in wealth distribution, saying the top 10 percent of earners control over two‑thirds of all wealth, while the bottom half holds less than 4 percent.
According to Dalio, those extreme disparities could fuel social tension. As the gaps in wealth and values widen, pressures build toward more intense conflict on both political and societal scales.
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