Computer simulations show nightmare Atlantic current shutdown less likely this century



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A new study concludes that the collapse of the Atlantic Ocean current, known as AMOC, is unlikely this century, according to scientists at the United Kingdom’s Met Office and the University of Exeter. Lead author Jonathan Baker noted that no simulation showed a total shutdown before 2100, indicating future weakening without complete collapse.


Baker warns that while this news is reassuring, it does not mean complacency, as weakened AMOC poses significant climate risks. Researchers Levke Caesar and Stefan Rahmstorf affirm that this study does not contradict their earlier concerns about potential shutdowns, maintaining the concern for severe consequences.

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