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1 million dead or wounded in Russia-Ukraine war: Report

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The protracted conflict between Russia and Ukraine, now entering its third year, has inflicted approximately 1 million casualties, both killed and wounded, according to The Wall Street Journal. This toll has significantly impacted the demographic and economic stability of both nations, already suffering from population declines prior to the conflict.

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Efforts to ascertain precise casualty numbers have been hampered by the reticence of both Moscow and Kyiv in disclosing their military losses.

Unofficial estimates reveal about 80,000 Ukrainian military deaths and 400,000 injuries. For Russia, Western intelligence sources suggest casualty figures could be as high as 200,000 dead and another 400,000 wounded.

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The demographic consequences are particularly dire for Ukraine, where the pre-war population was only about a quarter of Russia’s.

The ongoing war has not only led to a devastating loss of life but also driven mass displacement, severely straining Ukraine’s demographic fabric.

In contrast, Russia has been deploying large numbers of less-trained conscripts to sustain its offensive efforts, indicating a potential depletion of its military manpower.

President Vladimir Putin’s 2022 invasion was partially motivated by a desire to bolster Russia’s declining demographic figures by integrating Ukrainians into the Russian populace, reaffirming historical claims over Ukraine.

Moscow has implemented forceful measures in occupied Ukrainian territories, including enforced citizenship and cultural assimilation, to secure its hold on these regions.

Russia’s annexation and occupation strategies have notably decreased Ukraine’s population. Since the full-scale invasion began in February 2022, more than 6 million people have fled Ukraine, and Russia’s continued territorial encroachments have reduced the population under Kyiv’s control to between 25 and 27 million, down from 40 million at the beginning of 2022.

The war’s impact on Ukraine’s birth rate compounds these demographic challenges. In the first half of 2024 alone, there were 250,000 deaths but only 87,000 births, a 9% decrease from the previous year, underscoring the worsening population crisis. In comparison, there were over 130,000 births in 2021, the year before the invasion commenced.

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[CRAIG NIGRELLI]

THE ONGOING CONFLICT BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE, NOW IN ITS THIRD YEAR, HAS RESULTED IN APPROXIMATELY ONE MILLION CASUALTIES — KILLED OR WOUNDED — ACCORDING TO DATA FROM THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.

THE LOSSES LEADING TO SEVERE DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC STRAINS ON BOTH NATIONS, WHICH WERE ALREADY FACING POPULATION DECLINES.

PRECISE CASUALTY FIGURES ARE UNKNOWN WITH BOTH NATIONS GUARDING INFORMATION ABOUT  MILITARY LOSSES. UNOFFICIAL ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT UKRAINE HAS SUFFERED AROUND 80-THOUSAND MILITARY DEATHS AND 400-THOUSAND INJURIES. ESTIMATES FOR RUSSIAN CASUALTIES VARY, WITH SOME WESTERN INTELLIGENCE SOURCES SUGGESTING UP TO 200-THOUSAND KILLED AND ANOTHER 400-THOUSAND WOUNDED.

THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT IS PARTICULARLY SEVERE FOR UKRAINE, WITH ITS SMALLER POPULATION. THE CONFLICT HAS NOT ONLY LED TO LOSS OF LIFE BUT ALSO MASS DISPLACEMENT.

IN 2001, UKRAINE’S POPULATION STOOD AT 48 MILLION. BY EARLY 2022, BEFORE THE INVASION, THIS HAD FALLEN TO 40 MILLION. SINCE THE WAR BEGAN IN FEBRUARY 2022, MORE THAN SIX MILLION PEOPLE HAVE FLED, AND WITH RUSSIA’S ONGOING TERRITORIAL ADVANCEMENTS AND ANNEXATIONS, THE POPULATION UNDER KYIV’S CONTROL HAS DWINDLED TO BETWEEN 25 AND 27 MILLION.

PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN’S INVASION AIMED TO ASSIMILATE UKRAINIANS INTO THE RUSSIAN POPULACE. EFFORTS TO INTEGRATE OCCUPIED UKRAINIAN TERRITORIES HAVE INCLUDED ENFORCED CITIZENSHIP AND CULTURAL ASSIMILATION MEASURES.

UKRAINE’S BIRTH RATE HAS ALSO TAKEN A HIT OVER THE LAST TWO AND A HALF YEARS. IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2024, DEATHS SIGNIFICANTLY OUTNUMBERED BIRTHS, WITH 250-THOUSAND DEATHS COMPARED TO 87-THOUSAND BIRTHS.

FOR CONTEXT, IN 2021, THE YEAR BEFORE THE FULL-SCALE INVASION, THERE WERE MORE THAN 130-THOUSAND BIRTHS.

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