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Israel may strike Iran’s nuclear sites within months, Tehran vows to rebuild

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  • U.S. intelligence reports indicate that Israel may launch a preemptive attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities within the next six months, targeting Fordow and Natanz nuclear sites. This move could temporarily delay Iran’s nuclear program, but at the cost of an increase in regional tensions.
  • Israel may use a long-range missile strike or a direct airstrike, both requiring U.S. support, including aerial refueling, surveillance and intelligence assistance.
  • A strike could escalate the conflict, with Iran threatening retaliation, and may push Iran closer to weapons-grade uranium enrichment, a red line for both Israel and the United States.

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U.S. intelligence reports indicate that Israel may launch a preemptive attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities within the next six months. The assessment, compiled by the intelligence director for the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), suggests that Iran’s Fordow and Natanz nuclear sites are potential targets.

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Intelligence analysts warn that such a strike could temporarily delay Iran’s nuclear program, but could also increase tensions in the Middle East, and raise the risk of regional conflict.

What are the possible strike scenarios?

The intelligence assessment outlines two possible attack strategies:

  • A long-range missile strike: Israeli forces would launch air-launched ballistic missiles (ALBMs) from outside Iranian airspace, targeting key nuclear facilities.
  • A direct airstrike: Israeli fighter jets would enter Iranian airspace to deploy bunker-busting BLU-109 bombs, a capability enhanced by recently approved U.S. guidance kits.

Both options would likely require U.S. support, including aerial refueling, surveillance and intelligence assistance.

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What is the U.S. government’s stance?

National Security Council spokesman Brian Hughes reaffirmed President Donald Trump’s position that the United States will not allow Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon. While Trump prefers a diplomatic solution, he has stated that negotiations will not last indefinitely.

“He will not permit Iran to get a nuclear weapon,” Hughes told reporters. “While he prefers a peaceful resolution, he will not wait indefinitely if Iran is unwilling to engage in serious negotiations.”

How has Iran responded?

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian responded to reports of a potential Israeli strike, warning that Israel can destroy nuclear facilities, but Iran’s scientists will rebuild them.

“They are threatening to strike our nuclear facilities — Natanz, or some other place,” Pezeshkian said. “Go ahead and strike if you want. Our young scientists built them, and if you destroy 100 sites, they will build 1,000 more.”

Pezeshkian also criticized U.S. sanctions and diplomatic pressure, arguing that Washington is demanding surrender, not negotiation.

Has Israel conducted preemptive strikes before?

Israeli officials have not publicly confirmed any imminent military action, but Israeli military leaders have long considered Iran’s nuclear program a direct threat. The country has a history of launching preemptive airstrikes on nuclear sites, including:

However, analysts note that Iran’s nuclear infrastructure is significantly more fortified, making a successful attack far more complex and potentially more destabilizing.

Could a strike escalate the conflict?

Iran has warned that any attack on its nuclear program would provoke a military response. Iranian officials have suggested that retaliation could come in the form of:

  • Missile strikes on Israel.
  • Increased support for proxy groups, including Hezbollah.
  • Targeting of U.S. assets in the region.

U.S. intelligence officials caution that an attack could push Iran closer to weapons-grade uranium enrichment, a red line for both Israel and the United States.

How is the Trump administration handling this?

The potential for an Israeli strike has divided Trump’s national security team.

  • National Security Adviser Michael Waltz and Secretary of State Marco Rubio support a strong response against Iran.
  • Vice President JD Vance and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard advocate for military restraint.

Trump himself has acknowledged that a strike is possible, but in a recent Fox News interview, he said: “Everyone thinks Israel, with our help, will go in and bomb the hell out of them. I would prefer that not happen.”

What happens next?

With tensions rising, global leaders are closely monitoring developments. The intelligence assessment suggests an Israeli strike could set back Iran’s nuclear program by weeks or months, but the long-term consequences remain uncertain.

For now, diplomatic efforts continue, but intelligence analysts say the window for negotiations may be closing.

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[Ryan Robertson]

U.S. INTELLIGENCE REPORTS SAY ISRAEL MAY LAUNCH A PREEMPTIVE STRIKE ON IRAN’S NUCLEAR SITES WITHIN THE NEXT SIX MONTHS. THAT’S ACCORDING TO ASSESSMENTS FROM THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF INTELLIGENCE DIRECTORATE AND THE DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE AGENCY. ISRAEL IS CONSIDERING TARGETING IRAN’S FORDOW AND NATANZ NUCLEAR FACILITIES. SUCH AN OPERATION COULD DELAY IRAN’S NUCLEAR PROGRAM BUT IN TURN RAISE REGIONAL TENSIONS, AND RISKS SPARKINGING A BROADER CONFLICT.

THE U-S INTEL REPORT OUTLINES TWO POSSIBLE STRIKE SCENARIOS—ONE INVOLVING LONG-RANGE MISSILES LAUNCHED FROM OUTSIDE IRANIAN AIRSPACE, AND THE OTHER REQUIRES ISRAELI JETS TO ENTER IRANIAN AIRSPACE TO DROP BUNKER-BUSTING BOMBS.

THE U.S. JUST APPROVED SENDING THOUSANDS OF BOMBS AND GUIDANCE KITS TO ISRAEL.–
AND BOTH SCENARIOS WOULD LIKELY REQUIRE U.S. AERIAL REFUELING AND INTELLIGENCE SUPPORT, GIVING WASHINGTON SIGNIFICANT INFLUENCE OVER ISRAEL’S DECISION-MAKING.

THE IRANIAN PRESIDENT RESPONDED TO THE REPORTS, WARNING ISRAEL CAN DESTROY BUILDINGS, BUT IRAN’S SCIENTISTS WILL REBUILD. SPEAKING AT A MEETING IN TEHRAN, HE SAID:

MASOUD PEZESHKIAN
IRANIAN PRESIDENT
Go ahead and strike if you want. It is our young scientists’ knowledge that has built that place. If you strike 100 of the sites, they will build 1,000 others instead. You cannot eliminate them.

HE ALSO CRITICIZED U.S. SANCTIONS AND DIPLOMATIC PRESSURE, ACCUSING WASHINGTON OF WANTING IRAN TO SURRENDER, NOT NEGOTIATE.

NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SPOKESMAN BRIAN HUGHES REAFFIRMED PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP’S POSITION THAT IRAN WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO OBTAIN A NUCLEAR WEAPON. TRUMP SAYS HE PREFERS A DIPLOMATIC SOLUTION BUT WILL NOT WAIT INDEFINITELY FOR NEGOTIATIONS.

ISRAEL IS KNOWN FOR LAUNCHING PREEMPTIVE STRIKES ON NUCLEAR SITES. ISRAEL DESTROYED IRAQ’S OSIRAK REACTOR IN 1981 AND SYRIA’S AL-KIBAR FACILITY IN 2007. HOWEVER, A STRIKE ON IRAN’S FACILITIES WOULD LIKELY CARRY FAR GREATER REGIONAL CONSEQUENCES.

IRAN IS WARNING ANY DIRECT ATTACK ON ITS NUCLEAR PROGRAM WOULD PROMPT SEVERE RETALIATION, POSSIBLY THROUGH HEZBOLLAH, PROXY GROUPS, OR DIRECT MISSILE STRIKES ON ISRAELI OR U.S. ASSETS IN THE REGION. IRAN’S MILITARY CAPABILITIES WERE SEVERELY DEGRADED OVER THE LAST YEAR BECAUSE OF ISRAELI STRIKES, SO IT’S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR IF IRAN COULD ACTUALLY FOLLOW THROUGH WITH ITS THREATS—BUT SOME U.S. OFFICIALS ARE STILL URGING CAUTION, SAYING A STRIKE ON ITS NUCLEAR FACILITIES COULD PUSH IRAN TOWARD WEAPONS-GRADE URANIUM ENRICHMENT, A LONG-STANDING RED LINE FOR BOTH ISRAEL AND THE U.S.

EVEN IN THE WHITE HOUSE THERE ISN’T A CONSENSUS ON HOW TO MOVE FORWARD. NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISER MICHAEL WALTZ AND SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO ARE ADVOCATING FOR A STRONG RESPONSE, BUT VICE PRESIDENT JD VANCE AND NEWLY CONFIRMED DIRECTOR OF NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE TULSI GABBARD ARE URGING MILITARY RESTRAINT. TRUMP HIMSELF RECENTLY ACKNOWLEDGED SPECULATION THAT ISRAEL, WITH U.S. SUPPORT, COULD STRIKE IRAN, BUT AGAIN — HE SAYS HE PREFERS NEGOTIATIONS OVER MILITARY ACTION.

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