Trump is losing in polls, betting odds and WSJ Editorial Board

By many measures, Donald Trump is currently losing the presidential race. The polls, the betting odds, and the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board are all drifting away from him and the current has grown stronger. It is a massive flip in fortune since July 20, when he was facing President Joe Biden.

The betting odds are moving in Vice President Kamala Harris’ favor, according to multiple trackers including Predictit.org. The site is a combination of a sports book and the stock market. To buy a share predicting Harris will be the next president costs 58 cents, compared to 47 for Trump.

Ever since Biden passed Harris the baton on July 21, she had been trailing. The odds switched to her favor July 31, and she has only pulled away further from there.

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British sportsbook William Hill improved Nikki Haley’s chances of winning the presidency from 250/1 to 50/1 based on the premise that Haley would replace Trump as the nominee.

Then there are the polls.

According to a new IPSOS poll that surveyed voters in the crucial battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, Harris leads Trump by two points.

The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board is also painting a bleak picture of Trump’s standing.

“Yet the political reality is that he has a ceiling of support that is below 50% because so many Americans dislike him,” the board wrote. “And now that he is in the news every day campaigning, he is reminding those voters why they didn’t vote to re-elect him in 2020.”

The board warns of consequences down ballot. 

“The former President doesn’t seem to realize he’s now in a close race that requires discipline and a consistent message to prevail,” the board said. “And his struggles are hurting GOP candidates for the House and Senate.”

There are also questions about his campaigning. 

In 2016, Trump’s campaign schedule was unceasing. In fact he credited a hastily planned Michigan rally at 1 a.m. the night before the election as a key reason for his victory in that state.

“Did you ever think you’d be hearing a major speech like at around close to 1 o’clock in the morning, are we crazy?” Trump told the crowd while looking at his watch.

Since the Republican National Convention ended July 18, Trump has held only five rallies. Kamala Harris has held more events this week. To counter her, Trump sent his running mate JD Vance. Meanwhile, Trump held a press conference from his home in Florida. Harris had been criticized for not speaking to the press.

Regardless, Trump currently has one event listed on his campaign website, a rally in Bozeman, Montana, on Friday, Aug. 9.