Skip to main content

Peter Zeihan

Geopolitical Strategist

Share
Commentary

Peace between Israel and Iran, at least for now

Apr 23

Share

Peter Zeihan

Geopolitical Strategist

Share

A series of recent airstrikes between Israel and Iran inflamed fears of a wider regional war erupting in the Middle East. That concern now seems to have paid off, after third-party countries around the world successfully intervened and talked down military hardliners in both Israel and Iran in order to avoid such an outcome. Israel’s latest strike on Iran intentionally did very little damage, providing Iran with the option not to retaliate at all, which Iran seems to be taking.

Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan concludes that both parties, at least for now, appear to be successfully de-escalating this conflict. Zeihan also argues that this whole debacle reveals that no Middle Eastern nation actually wants to see a major regional war unfold—but warns that other malign actors, like Russia, might still wish for that to happen.

Below is an excerpt from Peter’s April 23 “Zeihan on Geopolitics” newsletter:

Tensions between Israel and Iran have been escalating since the Hamas attacks in October, but are we going to see a full blown war between these two adversaries?

Between multiple bombings by Israel and a larger scale attack carried out by Iran, things were touch and go for a bit there. However, it appears that both sides are de-escalating the situation and will let off the gas for the time being.

Although the situation appears to be stabilizing, there could be some third party interference by a country who wouldn’t mind having a broader conflict break out…

Everybody, Peter Zeihan here, coming to you from Colorado. We’re gonna close the loop on what’s going on with Israel and Iran. In the aftermath of the Hamas attacks in October, the Iranians were needling that Israel in order to just get some good PR in the Arab world and back home. Of course, the Israelis were a little sensitive about that, about everything at the moment.

 

And so when the Iranians got a little bit too punchy, the Israelis slapped them down by bombing the Iranian consulate in Damascus and killing a large number of high ranking leadership for the IRGC, that’s their Ron’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, which carries out a lot of the player of military operations in Syria and Lebanon, and interface’s Hezbollah. Basically, Israel took out the entire leadership in Iran couldn’t believe they went after diplomatic grants do it. So you know, anyway, Iran was like, wow, okay, they’re a little sensitive right now, we need to dial this back, because we were just having some fun. And clearly, they’re treating this a lot more serious than we are. So they sent all these missiles and drones and artillery rockets into Israel as retaliation, but they telegraphed their attack days ahead, and actually provided the technical specs to the Swiss Embassy, which pass it on to the United States, so that the US and the Brits and the Jordanians and the Israelis could basically just slide it all off and shoot him down, one after the other, and no one was hurt. And no meaningful damage was done.

 

The question then was what’s next? Because the American was we’re like, Alright, hey, yeah, this is great. This is a great climb down you to claim face, we get to say, coalition is working in these rallies get to say that their Iron Dome missile defense works great. Everybody wins. The only potential fly in the ointment is looking at Israel. Are you okay? And Israel decided mostly was so what happened this last Friday is Israel did a counter strike on Iran. But the only thing that they took out was the air defense at a very specific military facility and Isha Han just happens that military facility in Isfahan was right next to the primary Iranian nuclear research facility. So basically, the radiant the Israel’s like yes, we’re not bros. But we’re cool for now. But just to underline the fact that we could have done so much more, even without any help from the United States. So at the moment, everyone is backing off and at the moment, it seems that no one in the Middle East is interested in the broader conflict, with the exception of course of the Russians who would love it as a distraction.

Video Library

Latest Commentary

We know it is important to hear from a diverse range of observers on the complex topics we face and believe our commentary partners will help you reach your own conclusions.

The commentaries published in this section are solely those of the contributors and do not reflect the views of Straight Arrow News.


Latest Opinions

In addition to the facts, we believe it’s vital to hear perspectives from all sides of the political spectrum. We hope these different voices will help you reach your own conclusions.

The opinions published in this section are solely those of the contributors and do not reflect the views of Straight Arrow News.

Weekly Voices

Left Opinion Right Opinion

Tuesday

Left Opinion Right Opinion

Wednesday

Left Opinion Right Opinion

Thursday

Left Opinion Right Opinion

Friday

Left Opinion Right Opinion