Peter Zeihan Geopolitical Strategist
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Commentary

Should freedom of speech extend to social media?

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Peter Zeihan Geopolitical Strategist
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In a growing dispute with X owner Elon Musk, Brazil’s Supreme Court has ordered the suspension of the social media platform throughout the country. Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes stated that the decision was made because Musk had not taken adequate measures to curb the spread of disinformation on the platform. Unlike in the U.S., Brazil has laws that prohibit citizens from making false public statements, and the government is now attempting to enforce those laws on X.

Watch the video above as Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan explains why he doesn’t believe Brazil will back down, using historical context to support his view. Zeihan also suggests that the European Union will be closely watching how this free speech debate unfolds, as it faces similar challenges within its own states.


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Excerpted from Peter’s Sept. 10 “Zeihan on Geopolitics” newsletter:

Should people be able to say whatever they hell they want on social media? Brazil doesn’t think so, at least when it comes to public misinformation. While most social media platforms have bent the knee, Musk and Twitter (now X) have held out.

Unlike the U.S., the Brazilian government enforces laws over public misinformation, which ultimately led the courts to shut down Twitter within the country. Most social media platforms have complied with these laws, addressing any calls for violence and falsehoods within their feeds.

This is just one example of the differing global approaches in regulating freedom of speech online. Much of Europe is keeping a close eye on Brazil right now to see how this all shakes out, since they have their own issues stacking up… including that pesky app Telegram that the Russians love so much.

Everybody. Peter Zion here coming to you from Colorado, and today, we’re going to talk about social media and truth and government and Elon Musk and the right to lie and all that good stuff. The issue of the moment is happening in Brazil, where Elon Musk and Twitter, or x if you prefer, are in a spat with the legal system, including the government and the Supreme Court in Brazil, over a lot of social media postings. The very, very, very short version is that Brazil has laws on the books that prevent you from lying in the public sphere, unlike the United States, and they are trying to enforce those laws versus Twitter. Twitter refused at Musk’s direction to play ball, and so the Brazilian courts have shut Twitter down. Now Elon Musk, being Elon Musk said, Well, I’m just going to transmit it in via Starlink. So the Brazilian government started to go through the paces of shutting Starlink down. Musk, needless to say, nemon says Bluff was called back down the court cases are continuing. Musk has called his friends at the FCC Federal Communications Commission here in the United States to work that angle versus the Brazilian government, and that is in play as well. It’s a lot of back and forth. But let’s start out with the really, really basic stuff. This isn’t unique to Twitter. There are any number of social media platforms operating in Brazil, and the issues in question the Brazilian government is taking issue with are ones that are calling for the forcible overthrow of the government, outright lies and calling for violence in schools and every single other media institution that has been Brazil long ago complied with the government orders to take this stuff down. So really, what Elon Musk is talking about when he’s saying extreme rights to free speech, he’s talking about the ability to say whatever you want, whenever you want, regardless of the consequences are now the existence of social media is new, and so the regulation of social media is new. And every time we the United States has ever gotten a new technology that deals with information transfer, we then have to build a legal structure to manage and regulate it. So if you go back to the 1800s every political party in the United States had their own newspaper. And so if you think MSNBC and Fox are bad now, it’s nothing compared to what we used to put into print, with everyone just making shit up about everybody else. Eventually that got tampered down, and you had to, actually, you know, tell the truth to a degree. Well, then we got the telegraph, and all of a sudden, you didn’t have to wait for the Morning Edition. People could just tap things out and send it across the country. And then, once again, lies, lies, lies, lies, lies. We got something called Yellow journalism, which was part of the reason the United States got involved in the Spanish American War in the first place. And to go from a wild wild west of information sharing and fabrication to something that’s a little bit more civilized, you need a degree of agreement among the various factions of society that this is okay to do so in the United States during reconstruction and the Roaring 20s, we didn’t have that but then with World War Two and the dawn of the Cold War in the 1950s we got a series of court cases out of the Supreme Court and a series of laws out of Congress that basically built this structure of libel laws and fraud laws that we know Today. What we’re struggling with in the United States right now is we have those fraud laws and we have those libel laws that regulate television and newspaper and magazine and all of that, but they do not regulate social media. Social media, instead comes under the 1996 Telecommunications Act, which says that if you are the provider of a platform, a technology platform, you are not legally liable for what anyone posts on it. And we don’t have laws to regulate what the people post. So anyone can say whatever they want, and it can be on any platform for as long as you want. And if somebody wants to regulate it, they’re doing that of the goodness of their own heart, or because the government said, Hey, this is like going to kill people. Of course, the quintessential topic of the day is Donald Trump insisting that the 2020 election was stolen from him, and after four years, Donald Trump the Republican National Committee, not a single faction supporting him anywhere in the country, has yet to present a single shred of evidence that that was indeed the case. It’s not that evidence has been produced and the courts have ruled that this is faulty or fraudulent. It’s that nothing has actually been produced at all. And if you don’t believe me, that’s fine, go to Chris Krebs. He was basically the guy in charge of maintaining election integrity under the Trump administration, and he said that the 2020, elections were the cleanest ones ever in American history. So of course, drum fired him anyway, saying this in the United States is still legal, repeating it as news is still legal because we haven’t built that legal structure, and at this moment in our country’s history, we’re kind of arguing about a few things, so getting the consensus that’s necessary to put a fresh regulation on speech probably isn’t going to happen in the next year or two. Well, that moment has already come and gone, and. Brazil. In Brazil, we had a military dictatorship back in the latter half of the last century, and when civilian rule was re established near the end of the last century, they got a new constitution. They got a new currency. They’ve had peaceful transfers of government, and they’ve come to the conclusion that for their society, outright lies and their political discourse are bad, and so they regulate them. Now the danger, of course, when you decide to regulate free speech is that somebody has to be the arbiter of truth. Someone has to be able to go in on a case by case basis, say that this is actually factually correct, and this is a flat out lie. Now in the case of Brazil, because these most recent situations involve things like calling for sedition and coups and murder in schools. It hasn’t been really hard for the Brazilians to get behind this. I mean, yes, there’s always going to be some conflicts, but these aren’t these aren’t gray areas in the free speech debate, but you still need an arbiter of truth, and the judge that is involved in this has been involved since something called the car wash scandal years ago, where, in essence, the government this one, the previous one, the one before that and the one before that have all been trying to clean up public affairs. It might be too strong to call this a bipartisan or a multi party effort, but it is something that enjoys a degree of success and support throughout society, and so the judge in question that Musk has been personally maligning has made the ruling that was appealed by musk, and then the Supreme Court got involved, and it was a unanimous decision on the part of the Supreme Court, and the executive of the Brazilian government supports it as well. So it’s difficult for me to see the Brazilians backing down on this. Now, Brazil an important country in South America, really isn’t what really matters here, because a lot of other countries are struggling with this same topic for a lot of the same reasons, and the European Union is paying very close attention to what is going on in Brazil because they have already built a Digital’s directive that gives the European Commission, that’s their equivalent of the executive branch, gives the commission the legal authority to build an arbiter of truth, to determine how to manage social media, how to punish it when they get out of line, how to handle content moderation. And they have yet to build that arbiter, but they’re now watching Brazil to see what works and what doesn’t. And it’s probably not going to be musk and Twitter that are the deciding case. Are going to be the first case for whatever this new authority is that is likely to be a different platform, something called Telegram, that comes out of Russia and that we’re going to talk about tomorrow.

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