Commentary
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Our commentary partners will help you reach your own conclusions on complex topics.
next few weeks. Whereas in the 2018 and 2020 elections, they undercounted potential Republican voters, this time they appear to have undercounted potential Democrat voters.
Republican advantage on the economy did not play out as expected in the suburbs. In Ohio and Pennsylvania, for example, none of the contested seats that Republicans had their eyes on, were won by them. In New York, it appears they only picked up one of the contested seats, happened to be the one that was chaired by the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. There’s some irony in there, but in general, they have not succeeded.
It appears that rather than prevail among independents, which most polls said they would, Republicans and Democrats split the independent vote about equally. Although Republicans are likely to win the overall popular vote for the house that was not translated well into large gains and seats, they likely will control the House with perhaps 228 seats, and not the 238 seats that they might have expected at the beginning of the evening. In the Senate, one of the biggest surprises was in the state of Arizona, where the polls predicted a close race and one where the Republican candidate for governor was actually somewhat ahead. In the end, the Arizona vote went rather decisively for the Democrats, with Democratic candidates winning by between 10 and 15 points. So there’s a lot to analyze about tonight’s vote. In the end, we’re going to have divided government with a very narrow edge for the Republicans in the House, not too much bigger than the edge that Nancy Pelosi had for the Democrats in the last two years. This is going to make running the house very difficult for incoming speaker McCarthy.
In addition, you’re going to have divided governments and negotiations between the Democrat in the White House and Republicans in the House of Representatives. I’m not sure what was resolved by tonight’s election, but it doesn’t look like much was instead of America’s going to go on very much like before, a very divided nation, one with not clear direction, in what types of policies to pursue. This is Larry Lindsey frustrate error News.
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Election 2024 will boil down to the Great Lakes states
Pollsters and pundits have been engaged in a long debate about how Biden or Trump might win the 2024 election, with much of their focus spent on the “swing state” electoral battlegrounds. While the winners of Alabama or California may be obvious, for instance, who wins Pennsylvania is a more difficult question. Watch the above… -
Why the Fed should consider Theory of Reflexivity when fixing policy
The Theory of Reflexivity, often used in the context of economics and financial markets, implies that investors don’t base their decisions on reality but on their perceptions of reality. This creates a feedback loop where investors’ perceptions influence economic fundamentals, which in turn alter investor perceptions. Watch the above video as Straight Arrow News contributor… -
Federal Reserve surpassed its own wildest expectations
On May 14, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the most current producer price index (PPI) report, which showed an increase of 0.5% month-over-month in April. After the report’s release, U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome “Jay” Powell said that while he believes the current policy rate is restrictive by many measures, the Fed needs… -
Polls give slight advantage to Trump in Electoral College
With the U.S. general election only six months away, leading candidates President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump appear to be engaged in a very close contest. In their 2020 race, the winner of the Electoral College was ultimately determined by a relative handful of voters in just a few swing states, even though… -
College sports is big money but not everyone benefits
March Madness has wrapped up and Caitlin Clark has emerged as a household name as well as a wealthy student athlete. Earning over $3 million throughout her college career, her success stands in stark contrast to the previous notion that collegiate athletes shouldn’t earn anything beyond their scholarship. Straight Arrow News contributor Larry Lindsey examines…
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In addition to the facts, we believe it’s vital to hear perspectives from all sides of the political spectrum. We hope these different voices will help you reach your own conclusions.
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We know it is important to hear from a diverse range of observers on the complex topics we face and believe our commentary partners will help you reach your own conclusions.
The commentaries published in this section are solely those of the contributors and do not reflect the views of Straight Arrow News.
Dr. Frank Luntz
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