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For some military experts, the Russian’s hasty retreat from Kharkiv and Kherson signaled the beginning of the end for the Ukrainian war. But in recent weeks, as winter approaches, Russian missiles and drones have been pummeling Ukraine’s infrastructure, knocking out water systems and energy plants.
The European Union is delivering 40 huge generators, each capable of powering a hospital, but the International Rescue Committee warned, “Should there be large-scale outages for long periods of time, we simply do not have the resources to provide people in need with the assistance they will need.” Ukrainian President Zelenskyy wants to prepare citizens for what he predicts will be the “most difficult winter in the whole world.” But as Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan says, the outcome of the war won’t be decided over the winter. The big battles will happen in the spring, after everything has thawed.
Excerpted from Peter’s Nov. 28 “Zeihan on Geopolitics” newsletter:
Want to know when the war in Ukraine will end and who will emerge victorious? Unfortunately, I don’t have my magic 8-ball on me, but I can give you a timeline on when we should all be able to answer those questions – May.
Before we get there, let’s not forget about the path ahead. Both sides will come face-to-face with Mother Nature in all her glory – meaning mud, rain, snow, cold…all of it. The Ukrainians will have time to fix up those shiny new toys they captured. The Russians will push more and more troops to the front lines.
As all of those pressures compound over the next 5 plus months, both sides will be ready to duke it out come May.
