The field of contenders for the Republican Party nomination in 2024 keeps growing, as Nikki Haley has officially declared she’s running for president. Former Vice President Mike Pence and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) are expected to join the fray as well.
The road to the GOP nomination likely still goes through Mar-a-Lago and former President Donald Trump. A crowded primary helped Trump win the nomination in 2016, and it could benefit him again next year. However, it may also be exactly what the Democrats want. Straight Arrow News contributor Rashad Richey says President Joe Biden should be rooting for Trump to win the GOP nomination in 2024 because it’s his best chance to stay in the White House another four years.
Due to the fact that Republican primaries are not organized based on the normative rules of most general elections, it allows for a plurality. A plurality basically says, “We don’t do runoffs, we’re not going to care about consolidating this group or that group, every man for himself, or every woman for herself.”
As long as Donald Trump is able to basically keep the base of 25, maybe up to 33% of Republicans, he likely wins again, with the base of Republicans he can’t get being split significantly among the other candidates.
The delegate process is a process that allows for strategy. You do have to come in strong with numbers, but it’s really a game of consistently bringing out your own base. While Pence has a base, he does not have a base like Trump. Nikki Haley has a base; not a base like Trump. The only person who may actually have a base comparable to Trump is Ron DeSatan [sic]…DeSantis, possibly, alright. I don’t think he’s there yet but he could possibly get there if he wanted to run for president. But as of now, he has not announced it.
Why is this important? This is not a bad thing for Democrats. As a matter of fact, Democrats should be hoping that Donald Trump wins. And it looks like the only way he could do it is if those running against him in the Republican primary naturally split the Republican vote while he consolidates those who would support him. Democrats should be happy about this and should support that model because the only person that Joe Biden beats damn near every time a poll is done is Donald Trump. He doesn’t beat DeSantis in those same polls.
As a matter of fact, if you take away the name of the Republican and just say, “Hey, random Republican for president, Joe Biden for president,” the random Republican wins. Joe Biden does not. When you put up Trump, Trump loses, Joe Biden wins.
