Trump will use racism, sexism to rally voters against Harris

What happens next now that the DNC and the RNC are in the rear view mirror? Well, I think one of the parts that I don’t know if those who follow politics are ready for in this presidential race is that it is going to get very, very, very ugly. The it has become clear that while many Republicans insisted before Joe Biden dropped out, that Joe Biden just doesn’t have what it takes to run for president and shouldn’t be running for president. Once he did step aside, they were not ready to face Kamala Harris, the attacks reflexively became about how she became black after being Indian. How she’s a D, E, I hire only there due to some kind of race based affirmative action. She laughs in a way that some people don’t like. She doesn’t have biological children, having only step children. These are not strong attacks. And on the other hand, Donald Trump has been melting down daily posts, dozens of posts, the truth social seemingly increasingly depressed and sort of sedated at his campaign events. Very often it’s so boring, people are leaving. You can see them leaving at the hour mark of Trump’s speech, which, by the way, is the same speech on repeat time and time again. And I recently spoke with former Republican strategist Steve Schmidt, and he said he believes the thing Americans are really not ready for is we have an expectation, vaguely, generally, that political campaigns can be ugly and that this one probably will get ugly. Steve told me in a recent interview that he expects the absolute ugliest, often racially motivated attacks to be launched against Kamala Harris in the remaining time between now in the election. And this is informed by a number of different realities, one of which is Trump is in a complete in total panic. Number two is Trump, constitutionally doesn’t think he should have to lose to a woman, especially a woman who is not white. You, of course, should be defeating her, right? But it turns out that the momentum is increasingly behind Kamala Harris, and you put all of these factors together, combined with Trump’s ire that apparently, Last we heard, Harris has turned down the September 4 debate against Trump on Fox News, planning to go directly to the September 10 debate against Donald Trump. How dare she not do a debate. When I said I was going to do it, she should do whatever. I say. This sort of thing is likely going to lead to an incredibly ugly, ugly remaining period in the campaign. Now, there’s another aspect of this I want to talk about, with regard to what could really upend or reshape this campaign. And there’s these conventional wisdoms that often become conventional wisdoms for no really good reason, and one of them is, debates don’t matter. Well, it’s true that historically, many times debates have not mattered. But it is hard to think of a more consequential presidential debate than the one that took place on June 27 in which Joe Biden’s failed performance set the path for him, ultimately saying, You know what, I said, I was running, I’m not actually going to run, leading to Kamala Harris, leading to Trump losing his mind because of Kamala Harris. So debate certainly can matter, even if they usually don’t. And we know that this election cycle, they’ve been very consequential. The debate on September 10 between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, assuming that it is not canceled, maybe the most watched debate in American history, and it has the potential to be extraordinarily consequential. Now, my expectation, because of her youth and vigor relative to Trump, my expectation is that Kamala Harris is gonna wipe the floor with Donald Trump. Trump can’t stay on message. Trump is extremely triggered by strong women who know how to deal with him, and she’s just simply more knowledgeable and more well versed in policy, and I assume will be extraordinarily well prepared. So I expect Harris to mop the floor with Trump, which could could absolutely devastate Donald Trump in the polls. If it doesn’t go well for Trump in that debate, I have to assume Trump will either commit to no further debates or get out of any other debates he may have that they may agree to between now and then, if somehow Donald Trump is able to stay on message enough and stop the deterioration in the word salads and the verbal ink blots and keep it together and show that he can compete with Harris in any real way, then my expectation is he will try to do more debates, but that is a very significant question mark at this point in time. So what I would be bracing for is polling over the next week or two, that shows the max peak of Kamala Harris’s convention bump, followed by a partial return to the mean. The expectation is, whatever Kamala ends up gaining from the RNC, she’ll lose half of it just from things settling. And then the debate really may be a Prince maker, so I will be watching it. I want to hear from you. What do you expect that the debate? But be prepared for really ugly final couple of months of this campaign. I.