[CRAIG NIGRELLI]
THE ONGOING CONFLICT BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE, NOW IN ITS THIRD YEAR, HAS RESULTED IN APPROXIMATELY ONE MILLION CASUALTIES — KILLED OR WOUNDED — ACCORDING TO DATA FROM THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
THE LOSSES LEADING TO SEVERE DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC STRAINS ON BOTH NATIONS, WHICH WERE ALREADY FACING POPULATION DECLINES.
PRECISE CASUALTY FIGURES ARE UNKNOWN WITH BOTH NATIONS GUARDING INFORMATION ABOUT MILITARY LOSSES. UNOFFICIAL ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT UKRAINE HAS SUFFERED AROUND 80-THOUSAND MILITARY DEATHS AND 400-THOUSAND INJURIES. ESTIMATES FOR RUSSIAN CASUALTIES VARY, WITH SOME WESTERN INTELLIGENCE SOURCES SUGGESTING UP TO 200-THOUSAND KILLED AND ANOTHER 400-THOUSAND WOUNDED.
THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT IS PARTICULARLY SEVERE FOR UKRAINE, WITH ITS SMALLER POPULATION. THE CONFLICT HAS NOT ONLY LED TO LOSS OF LIFE BUT ALSO MASS DISPLACEMENT.
IN 2001, UKRAINE’S POPULATION STOOD AT 48 MILLION. BY EARLY 2022, BEFORE THE INVASION, THIS HAD FALLEN TO 40 MILLION. SINCE THE WAR BEGAN IN FEBRUARY 2022, MORE THAN SIX MILLION PEOPLE HAVE FLED, AND WITH RUSSIA’S ONGOING TERRITORIAL ADVANCEMENTS AND ANNEXATIONS, THE POPULATION UNDER KYIV’S CONTROL HAS DWINDLED TO BETWEEN 25 AND 27 MILLION.
PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN’S INVASION AIMED TO ASSIMILATE UKRAINIANS INTO THE RUSSIAN POPULACE. EFFORTS TO INTEGRATE OCCUPIED UKRAINIAN TERRITORIES HAVE INCLUDED ENFORCED CITIZENSHIP AND CULTURAL ASSIMILATION MEASURES.
UKRAINE’S BIRTH RATE HAS ALSO TAKEN A HIT OVER THE LAST TWO AND A HALF YEARS. IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2024, DEATHS SIGNIFICANTLY OUTNUMBERED BIRTHS, WITH 250-THOUSAND DEATHS COMPARED TO 87-THOUSAND BIRTHS.
FOR CONTEXT, IN 2021, THE YEAR BEFORE THE FULL-SCALE INVASION, THERE WERE MORE THAN 130-THOUSAND BIRTHS.
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