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Earthquake in Iran fuels online speculation of nuclear testing


Tensions between Israel and Iran have intensified amid fears that a recent earthquake in Iran was not a natural disaster, but rather the result of a secret underground nuclear test. This online speculation arises as both nations exchange warnings concerning Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

Israel views Iran’s nuclear program as an existential threat, and over the last two decades, its military has prepared for potential strikes on key facilities like Natanz and Fordow, where uranium is enriched.

However, reports indicate that Israel’s capability to execute such strikes independently, without U.S. assistance, is limited.

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While Israeli air drills have simulated these operations, officials question whether they could effectively destroy Iran’s nuclear infrastructure without specialized American “bunker-busting” bombs.

Any hopes of reviving the Iran nuclear deal are just about dead now. On Tuesday, Iran said its enriching uranium at its Fordo site to 60%.

The Biden administration has urged Israel to refrain from directly targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities, warning of the risks of a full-scale regional war.

In a recent conversation with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, President Biden emphasized the importance of proportional responses to Iranian missile strikes on Israeli territory, cautioning that any attack on nuclear or energy sites could lead to catastrophic escalation.

President Joe Biden is set to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, a day after he spoke to Congress.
Reuters

The situation has been further complicated by online speculation of a potential underground nuclear test in Iran, following a 4.5 magnitude earthquake in Semnan Province near key nuclear facilities.

The earthquake’s shallow depth and location have led to the speculation, although officials are still investigating the incident. Social media has been rife with rumors, but no official confirmation has emerged. Analysts warn that a confirmed nuclear test by Iran would significantly escalate tensions between Iran and Israel.

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RISING CONCERNS BETWEEN ISRAEL AND IRAN OVER WORRIES SURROUNDING IRAN’S NUCLEAR PROGRAM. SPECULATION IS GROWING THAT A RECENT EARTHQUAKE IN IRAN MAY NOT HAVE BEEN A NATURAL DISASTER AT ALL. 

OVER THE PAST TWO DECADES, ISRAELI FORCES HAVE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF STRIKING IRAN’S NUCLEAR FACILITIES. THESE INCLUDE THE HEAVILY FORTIFIED NATANZ AND FORDOW SITES, WHERE IRAN ENRICHES URANIUM… JUST STEPS AWAY FROM BOMB-GRADE MATERIAL.

HOWEVER, RECENT REPORTS REVEAL ISRAEL’S MILITARY CAPABILITY TO STRIKE THOSE SITES WITHOUT U-S ASSISTANCE IS LIMITED. THOUGH ISRAELI AIR DRILLS HAVE SIMULATED THE OPERATION, OFFICIALS QUESTION WHETHER THEY COULD SUCCESSFULLY DESTROY IRAN’S NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE WITHOUT AMERICAN ‘BUNKER-BUSTING’ BOMBS, DESIGNED TO PENETRATE DEEP UNDERGROUND.

THERE’S ALSO GROWING PRESSURE WITHIN ISRAEL TO ACT NOW. ISRAELI POLITICIANS ARE CALLING THIS THE PERFECT MOMENT TO CRIPPLE IRAN’S NUCLEAR PROGRAM, ESPECIALLY WHILE HEZBOLLAH AND HAMAS REMAIN WEAKENED BY RECENT CONFLICTS.

THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION URGED ISRAEL TO AVOID STRIKING IRAN’S NUCLEAR FACILITIES DIRECTLY, WARNING OF A POTENTIAL FULL-SCALE REGIONAL WAR. PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN RECENTLY SPOKE WITH ISRAELI PRIME MINISTER BENJAMIN NETANYAHU, STRESSING THE IMPORTANCE OF PROPORTIONAL RETALIATION FOLLOWING IRANIAN MISSILE STRIKES ON ISRAELI TERRITORY. BIDEN REITERATED THAT WHILE ISRAEL HAS THE RIGHT TO DEFEND ITSELF, ANY ATTACK ON NUCLEAR OR ENERGY SITES WOULD RISK CATASTROPHIC ESCALATION.

LAST WEEK, A 4.5 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE SHOOK SEMNAN PROVINCE, NOT FAR FROM KEY NUCLEAR FACILITIES. THE EARTHQUAKE’S SHALLOW DEPTH AND LOCATION HAVE LED TO SPECULATION ONLINE THAT THIS COULD HAVE BEEN AN UNDERGROUND NUCLEAR TEST, THOUGH OFFICIALS ARE STILL INVESTIGATING.

SOCIAL MEDIA EXPLODED WITH RUMORS FOLLOWING THE EARTHQUAKE, BUT NO OFFICIAL CONFIRMATION HAS BEEN MADE. ANALYSTS WARN THAT IF IRAN DID CONDUCT A NUCLEAR TEST, IT WOULD DRAMATICALLY ESCALATE THE ALREADY FRAGILE SITUATION BETWEEN IRAN AND ISRAEL.

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