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Polls show close margins in battleground states 6 weeks before Election Day


Tuesday, Sept. 24, will mark six weeks until Election Day. Pundits and political watchers believe the race for the White House will come down to seven battleground states.

The battleground states are scattered in various parts of the country. They include Arizona and Nevada in the West, Wisconsin and Michigan in the Midwest, and to the South, the race is very close in North Carolina and Georgia. Meanwhile, Pennsylvania is the big prize on the East Coast.

Those states have a total of 93 electoral votes, while the number needed to win the presidency is 270.

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A New York Times poll shows former President Donald Trump ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona and Georgia. Joe Biden won both of those states back in 2020. The poll also has Trump ahead in North Carolina by a slim margin as the he hopes to hang on to a state that he won in 2020 and 2016.

A new CBS news poll found Harris with a 51% to 49% lead in the key battleground states. Respondents cited three major issues: the economy, inflation and the state of democracy.

RealClearPolitics starts the new week with the top seven battleground states essentially tied at 47.7% each for Trump and Harris. Their aggregate of the latest polls from various organizations shows the candidates within two points of each other in each battleground state.

Looking ahead, Harris will be campaigning in Pennsylvania later this week before heading west to Arizona and Nevada. Trump has stops planned in Pennsylvania and Georgia before going to Michigan later in the week.

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WITH SIX WEEKS UNTIL THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, MOST POLITICAL PUNDITS AND SO-CALLED EXPERTS BELIEVE THE RACE WILL COME DOWN TO SEVEN BATTLEGROUND STATES.  

THEY ARE : ARIZONA AND NEVADA OUT WEST;  NORTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA DOWN SOUTH;  MICHIGAN AND WISCONSIN IN THE MIDWEST AND PENNSYLVANIA ON THE EAST COAST.  THOSE STATES HAVE A TOTAL OF 93 ELECTORAL VOTES AND EACH STATE’S ALLOTMENT WILL BE KEY AS DONALD TRUMP AND KAMALA HARRIS,  VY TO GET TO THE MAGIC NUMBER OF 270.

A NEW YORK TIMES POLL, JUST RELEASED ON MONDAY,  SHOWS TRUMP AHEAD IN ARIZONA by five percent, A STATE WON BY JOE BIDEN IN 2020.  THE POLL ALSO HAS  TRUMP AHEAD OF  HARRIS BY FOUR POINTS IN GEORGIA, ANOTHER STATE WON BY BIDEN IN 2020.   IN NORTH CAROLINA, THE TIMES POLL HAS TRUMP AHEAD BY 2 PERCENTAGE POINTS, AS HE TRIES TO HANG-ON TO A STATE HE WON IN BOTH 2020 AND 2016.

HARRIS HAS RECENTLY CAMPAIGNED THERE AND IS TRYING TO FLIP THE 16 ELECTORAL VOTES INTO HER COLUMN.  

A NEW CBS NEWS POLL, OUT THIS PAST WEEKEND, SHOWS HARRIS WITH A 51 PERCENT TO 49 PERCENT LEAD OVER DONALD TRUMP IN THOSE KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES.  THE RESPONDENTS TO THE CBS POLL SITED THE MAJOR ISSUES AS : THE ECONOMY, INFLATION AND THE STATE OF DEMOCRACY, IN THAT ORDER. FOLLOWED BY CRIME, GUNS AND, THE SOUTHERN BORDER.

ABORTION CAME IN AS THE 7TH MAJOR FACTOR. 

DIGGING EVEN DEEPER,  REAL CLEAR POLITICS STARTS THE NEW WEEK WITH THE TOP SEVEN BATTLEGROUNDS ESSENTIALLY TIED AT 47.7 PERCENT EACH.  THEIR GATHERING, OR AGGREGATE OF THE LATEST POLLS FROM VARIOUS ORGANIZATIONS,  SHOWS HARRIS AND TRUMP WITHIN TWO POINTS IN EACH BATTLEGROUND STATE.    

AS WE LOOK AHEAD,  HARRIS WILL BE CAMPAIGNING IN PENNSYLVANIA LATER THIS WEEK BEFORE HEADING WEST TO ARIZONA AND NEVADA, WHILE TRUMP HAS STOPS PLANNED IN PENNSYLVANIA AND GEORGIA BEFORE GOING TO MICHIGAN.