Presidential candidates’ path to 270 electoral votes runs through swing states

Oct 29

Craig Nigrelli Reporter

By Craig Nigrelli (Reporter), Brock Koller (Senior Producer), Jack Henry (Video Editor )

In one week, the presidential election results will come rolling in, and both the Trump and Harris campaigns will begin doing the math. They’ll determine if their nominee has won enough states to get 270 electoral college votes and become the next president-elect.

Most political experts agree the election will come down to the outcome in seven battleground states: Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada. There are a total of 93 electoral votes up for grabs in those states.

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Pundits believe former President Donald Trump needs to garner 51 of those electoral votes to win. His largest lead in the polls is in Georgia and Arizona which together have 27 electoral votes.

If he nabs those two, he would need to find 24 more to win. If Trump wins Nevada and Pennsylvania, that gives him 25. He could also lock down two of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin to win.

For Vice President Kamala Harris to win, many experts believe she needs to win 44 of the available 93 electoral votes in the battleground states. If Harris were to win the Democrat’s so-called blue wall of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, that’s exactly 44 and she likely makes it to 270.

Harris also could lose either Michigan or Wisconsin and make up the difference by winning in North Carolina.

Either way, the one common denominator of importance for both candidates appears to be Pennsylvania and its 19 electoral votes.

Tags: Arizona, Battleground state, Democrats, Donald Trump, Early voting, Election, Electoral College, Georgia, Kamala Harris, Mail-in voting, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Presidential Campaign, Republicans, Voting, Wisconsin

[Craig Nigrelli]

ONE WEEK FROM TONIGHT, THE RESULTS OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WILL COME ROLLING IN AND BOTH THE CAMPAIGNS OF REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FORMER PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP AND DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE VICE PRESIDENT KAMALA HARRIS WILL BEGIN DOING THE MATH. THEY WILL BE FIGURING OUT IF THEIR NOMINEE HAS WON ENOUGH STATES TO GET TO 270 ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES AND BECOME THE PRESIDENT-ELECT.
ALMOST EVERY POLITICAL EXPERT AGREES THE ELECTION WILL COME DOWN TO THE OUTCOME IN SEVEN BATTLEGROUND STATES : GEORGIA, NORTH CAROLINA, PENNSYLVANIA, MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN, ARIZONA AND NEVADA. THERE ARE A TOTAL OF 93 ELECTORAL VOTES UP-FOR-GRABS IN THOSE STATES.
PUNDITS BELIEVE TRUMP NEEDS TO GARNER 51 OF THOSE ELECTORAL VOTES TO WIN.
HIS LARGEST LEAD IN THE POLLS IS IN GEORGIA AND ARIZONA, OR, FOR THE SAKE OF THIS STORY, 27 ELECTORAL VOTES.
IF HE NABS THOSE TWO, HE WOULD NEED TO FIND 24 MORE, FOR THE WIN.
IF TRUMP WINS NEVADA AND PENNSYLVANIA, THAT GIVES HIM 25.
**OR** HE WOULD NEED TO LOCK-DOWN TWO OF NORTH CAROLINA, PENNSYLVANIA, MICHIGAN AND WISCONSIN. ANY COMBINATION WOULD PUSH HIM OVER THE TOP.
FOR KAMALA HARRIS TO WIN, MANY POLITICAL WATCHERS BELIEVE SHE NEEDS TO WIN 44 OF THE AVAILABLE 93 ELECTORAL VOTES IN THE BATTLEGROUND STATES.
IF HARRIS WERE TO WIN THE SO-CALLED DEMOCRATS “BLUE WALL” OF PENNSYLVANIA, MICHIGAN AND WISCONSIN, THAT’S EXACTLY 44 AND SHE MAKES IT TO 270 **OR** HARRIS COULD LOSE EITHER MICHIGAN AND WISCONSIN AND MAKE UP THE DIFFERENCE BY WINNING IN NORTH CAROLINA.
EITHER WAY, THE ONE COMMON DENOMINATOR FOR BOTH CANDIDATES APPEARS TO BE PENNSYLVANIA AND ITS 19 ELECTORAL VOTES. MANY SCENARIOS HAVE THE WINNER, PULLING PENNSYLVANIA INTO THEIR COLUMN TO WIN THE PRESIDENCY.
THE REAL CLEAR POLITICS AVERAGE OF POLLS IN THE BATTLEGROUND STATES, HAS TRUMP UP IN EACH ONE. HOWEVER, IT’S VERY CLOSE, RANGING FROM A TENTH OF A POINT IN MICHIGAN, TO 2.3 % IN GEORGIA. FOR MORE UNBIASED UPDATES DOWNLOAD THE STRAIGHT ARROW NEWS APP