THE SINGLE BIGGEST PIPELINE BRINGING RUSSIAN GAS TO GERMANY IS SHUT DOWN. RUSSIA SAYS NORD STREAM 1 NEEDS MAINTENANCE, BUT SOME GERMAN LEADERS SAY TO EXPECT SOME “HICCUPS” ALONG THE WAY.
THE NORD STREAM 1 PIPELINE SUPPLIES NATURAL GAS TO GERMANY. IT SHUTS DOWN ANNUALLY FOR MAINTENANCE. THIS YEAR, THE MAINTENANCE WINDOW RUNS THROUGH JULY 21ST. GERMANY IS HEAVILY RELIANT ON RUSSIA FOR ITS ENERGY NEEDS, AND TYPICALLY GETS AROUND 55 BILLION CUBIC METERS OF GAS PER YEAR THROUGH NORD STREAM 1.
BUT 2022 ISN’T YOUR TYPICAL YEAR. AFTER RUSSIA INVADED UKRAINE AND WESTERN COUNTRIES IMPOSED SANCTIONS, RUSSIA DEMANDED COUNTRIES PAY THEIR ENERGY BILLS IN RUBLES. SEVERAL COUNTRIES—LIKE POLAND, FINLAND AND THE NETHERLANDS REFUSED, SO RUSSIA STOPPED SUPPLYING THEM ENERGY.
RUSSIA ALREADY CUT CAPACITY IN THE NORD STREAM 1 DOWN TO 40% LAST MONTH, CITING THE NEED TO REPAIR A TURBINE.
NOW THE PIPELINE IS COMPLETELY SHUT DOWN AND GERMANY’S ECONOMY MINISTER SAYS THE COUNTRY SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY GAS FLOWS WILL NOT BE RESTORED AFTER THE SCHEDULED MAINTENANCE PERIOD. HE SAYS PEOPLE SHOULDN’T BE SURPRISED IF RUSSIAN AUTHORITIES “FIND” A SMALL, TECHNICAL DETAIL WHICH PREVENTS NORD STREAM 1 FROM DELIVERING FUEL AGAIN.
A KREMLIN SPOKESPERSON DESCRIBED THE SHUTDOWN AS REGULAR MAINTENANCE, AND THAT NO ONE WAS “INVENTING” REPAIRS.
IF NORD STREAM 1 REMAINS CLOSED—THE ECONOMIC IMPACT TO GERMANY WOULD BE IN THE RANGE OF 200 BILLION EUROS. GERMANY IS ALREADY IN STAGE TWO OF A THREE-TIER EMERGENCY GAS PLAN. THE NEXT STAGE WOULD INCLUDE GOVERNMENT-IMPOSED FUEL RATIONING.