[ryan robertson]
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SHIP TRACKING DATA REVEAL A SUDDEN HALT IN RUSSIAN MILITARY AND COMMERCIAL ACTIVITY AT THE STRATEGIC SYRIAN PORT OF TARTUS, FOLLOWING THE COLLAPSE OF BASHAR AL-ASSAD’S GOVERNMENT. TARTUS, A KEY HUB FOR MOSCOW’S MEDITERRANEAN OPERATIONS SINCE 1971, WAS BUSTLING WITH NAVAL AND TRADE ACTIVITY JUST DAYS EARLIER.
BEFORE ASSAD’S OUSTER–SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED FIVE RUSSIAN WARSHIPS AND A SUBMARINE DOCKED AT THE PORT, BUT WITHIN DAYS OF THE REBELS TAKING ALEPPO–, THE VESSELS WERE GONE.
TWO FRIGATES NOW LINGER OFF SYRIA’S COAST, LEAVING THEIR NEXT MOVES UNCLEAR. SOME SMALLER SYRIAN NAVAL VESSELS REMAIN AT TARTUS, THEIR PRESENCE PROVING ISRAEL DIDN’T DESTROY ALL OF SYRIA’S NAVAL FLEET–JUST MOST OF IT IN AIRSTRIKES NEAR LATAKIA. .
COMMERCIAL SHIPPING ACTIVITY AT TARTUS ALSOGROUND TO A HALT. SHIP TRACKING DATA SHOWS THERE HAVEN’T BEEN ANY SHIPS IN OR OUT OF THE PORT SINCE DECEMBER 9TH .. TWO GRAIN CARRIERS EN ROUTE TO TARTUSCHANGED COURSE AND ARE IDLING NEAR CYPRUS. REPORTS SUGGEST AN IRANIAN OIL TANKER CARRYING 750-THOUSAND BARRELS OF CRUDE TURNED BACK IN THE RED SEA AFTER ASSAD’S OUSTING.
SYRIA’S RELIANCE ON IRANIAN OIL TO SUSTAIN ITS REFINERIES ADDS TO THE URGENCY OF THE SITUATION. ANALYSTS WARN THE DISRUPTION IN SHIPMENTS COULD LEAD TO DIESEL AND GASOLINE SHORTAGES ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
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