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U.S. Elections

Nevada in play as swing state in upcoming presidential election


Former President Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Reno, Nevada the night of Friday, Oct. 11. His appearance underscores the importance of Nevada, with the presidential election less than one month away.

Nevada has six electoral votes and is viewed as one of just a handful of battleground states. Both the Trump campaign and backers of Kamala Harris are doing the math and trying to figure out how to get to the magic number of 270 electoral votes to win the White House.

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In 2020, Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in Nevada by less than 3 percentage points. The most recent poll in the state, conducted by Emerson College, had Harris ahead of Trump by just one point 48% to 47%.

In Nevada, the economy is the key issue for voters, largely because of a difficult labor situation. According to the national Bureau of Labor Statistics, Nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the country at 5.5%. In Las Vegas, it’s actually closer to 7%, and those who do have a job often rely on tips.

The issue of taxes on tips has come up in the presidential election and is likely very important in Nevada.

There is also an amendment on abortion rights on the state ballot. That particular hot button issue is expected to affect turnout.

Numbers of from the secretary of state’s office indicate there are about 600,000 nonpartisan registered voters in Nevada. Compare that to about 596,000 Democrats and 560,000 Republicans. The numbers could lead to a very interesting election night on Nov. 5.

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Craig Nigrelli

FORMER PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP IS SCHEDULED TO HOLD A RALLY IN RENO, NEVADA ON FRIDAY NIGHT.  HIS APPEARANCE UNDERSCORES THE IMPORTANCE OF NEVADA IN THE UPCOMING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, NOW LESS THAN A MONTH AWAY. 

NEVADA HAS SIX ELECTORAL VOTES AND IS VIEWED AS ONE OF SEVEN, PERHAPS EIGHT, BATTLEGROUND STATES.  BOTH TRUMP AND VICE PRESIDENT KAMALA HARRIS’S CAMPAIGNS ARE DOING THE MATH AND TRYING TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO GET TO THE MAGIC NUMBER OF 270 ELECTORAL VOTES TO WIN THE WHITE HOUSE. 

IN 2020, JOE BIDEN DEFEATED DONALD TRUMP IN NEVADA BY LESS THAN THREE PERCENTAGE POINTS.   THE MOST RECENT POLL IN THE STATE, WAS CONDUCTED BY EMERSON COLLEGE OF 900 LIKELY VOTERS. IT HAD KAMALA HARRIS AHEAD OF DONALD TRUMP BY JUST ONE POINT,  48%  TO 47%. 

IN NEVADA, THE ECONOMY IS A KEY ISSUE FOR VOTERS, LARGELY BECAUSE, ACCORDING TO THE BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS,  NEVADA HAS THE HIGHEST UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN THE COUNTRY AT 5-AND-A-HALF PERCENT.  IN LAS VEGAS IT’S CLOSER TO 7 %.    THOSE WHO **DO**HAVE A JOB,, OFTEN RELY ON TIPS.  SO THE ISSUE OF TAXES ON TIPS IS IMPORTANT IN NEVADA. 

AFFORDABLE HOUSING AND HEALTH CARE ARE TOP ISSUES AS WELL AND THERE IS AN AMENDMENT ON ABORTION RIGHTS, ON THE STATE BALLOT,  THAT WILL LIKELY AFFECT TURN-OUT.

ANOTHER INTERESTING FACTOR IN NEVADA, IS THE LARGE NUMBER OF REGISTERED NON-PARTISANS.   NUMBERS FROM THE SECRETARY OF STATE’S OFFICE INDICATE, THERE ARE ABOUT 637-THOUSAND NON-PARTISANS,  COMPARED TO 596-THOUSAND DEMOCRATS AND 560-THOUSAND REPUBLICANS.  AND THAT ALL ADDS UP TO AN INTERESTING ELECTION NIGHT ON NOVEMBER 5TH.  I’M CRAIG NIGRELLI, FOR MORE UNBIASED UPDATES, DOWNLOAD THE STRAIGHT ARROW NEWS APP