Skip to main content
U.S.

Murder of Cash App creator underscores San Francisco’s crime problem

Media Landscape

MediaMiss™This story is a Media Miss by the right as only 18% of the coverage is from right leaning media. Learn more about this data
Left 33% Center 49% Right 18%
Bias Distribution Powered by Ground News

Tech entrepreneur Bob Lee, who helped launch Cash App and was most recently employed by the cryptocurrency startup MobileCoin, was stabbed to death April 4 on the streets of San Francisco. Lee had lived in the city for a number of years before reportedly relocating to Miami due to reported concerns he had about San Francisco’s rising crime, and had only returned to the area for a business trip when he was killed.

So far, police say that no arrests have been made. However, San Francisco Police Chief William Scott remains confident a breakthrough will come, saying that he was “100% sure” the perpetrator would be found and that “there’s evidence that we found that I can’t talk about because we don’t want to jeopardize this case.”

“This was a tragedy, and a crime, and it’s under investigation, you heard it from the chief,” San Francisco Police Commissioner Kevin Benedicto added. “We don’t know all the facts, the department will update the public and commission and when we do.”

Lee’s death prompted Twitter CEO Elon Musk, who’s social media company is headquartered in the city, to comment on the rise of local violent crime, calling it “horrific.” Others within San Francisco’s prominent tech industry, like Matthew Ocko, co-founder of DCVC, have also commented on the killing and its ties to the area’s crime problem.

“Bob Lee was a friend to me and multiple people in my firm. My heart goes out to his loved ones,” Ocko tweeted. “[Former San Francisco District Attorney] Chesa Boudin, and the criminal-loving city council that enabled him and a lawless [San Francisco] for years, have Bob’s literal blood on their hands. Take action.”

These remarks about San Francisco’s crime rate being responsible for tragedies like this reflect a sentiment shared by many others who reside in the city. According to a poll conducted by the San Francisco Chronicle, over the last five years, nearly half of the respondents had been a victim of property crime, and 65% reported that the quality of life in the city is worse now than when they moved there. Meanwhile, the number of reported assault cases is up by 2% and robberies are up by 14% this year, as violent crime rates have risen steadily since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Though San Francisco sees fewer annual homicides than other major cities like Los Angeles, New York City and Chicago, or even smaller cities like Minneapolis and Milwaukee, murder rates have still been increasing as of late, up more than 36% since 2019. The crime trends for the year as of April 2, 2023, have 12 homicides listed compared to 10 for that same period last year.

These trends were seemingly enough to convince San Francisco Mayor London Breed to reverse some of her policies regarding policing. Back in 2020, during the wake of George Floyd’s killing and resulting calls to defund law enforcement, Breed announced a $120 million budget cut for the city’s police and sheriff’s departments, which would instead be spent on addressing disparities in the Black community.

“With this budget, we are listening to the community and prioritizing investments in the African American community around housing, mental health and wellness, workforce development, economic justice, education, advocacy and accountability,” Breed said at the time.

However, come 2021, Breed changed her plan, pledging to be “more aggressive with law enforcement,” and the following year the San Francisco Board of Supervisors approved a $50 million increase for the police department’s budget. The mayor explained this was part of the city needing to “change course on how we handle public safety in San Francisco.” Ultimately, the San Francisco Police Department budget increased overall by 4.4% from 2019 to 2022.

“The priorities we need to make must be to protect, must be to turn things around in their neighborhood. When you are in a room full of people, I would say probably anywhere between 90 and 95% of folks could raise their hand and say that either their car has been broken into, or they’ve been a victim in some capacity or another. That is not ok,” Breed said during a press conference. “That is not acceptable. And it’s time that the reign of criminals who are destroying our city, it is time for it to come to an end.” 

This has all contributed to what some call a “doom loop” — when a domino effect of problems lends itself into making each subsequent issue worse. In San Francisco, this can in part be attributed to events like recent big tech layoffs and the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank. These types of incidents have led to fewer people occupying the city, bringing tax revenue down and causing business closures, and a surge in remote work from the tech industry has not helped matters.

The San Francisco Chronicle reported nearly three-quarters of local residents who left the city during the pandemic to work from have not returned, as office space vacancies increased by almost 300% from pre-pandemic levels. The empty streets then become a breeding ground for crime, which law enforcement and other public workers have had less resources to combat as a result of those diminished tax funds.

As the growing crime data continues to concern the citizens of San Francisco, friends and family of Bob Lee do not care much about statistics. They just want answers.

“I’m devastated that somebody would be so cruel to take away my father’s life,” Lee’s daughter said , according to NBC.

Tags: , , , , , ,

U.S.

Why North Cascades has the highest death rate among US national parks


North Cascades National Park in Washington has the highest death rate among all national parks in the U.S. According to the National Park Service, North Cascades had 3.7 deaths for every 100,000 visitors from 2007 to 2021. That’s more than three times the rate of the next deadliest site, Wrangell-St. Elias National Park Reserve in Alaska. 

“North Cascades National Park is unlike many other parks, in that you can enter the park without a park pass. You don’t need to go through a booth. A lot of people enter the park and just go hiking or backpacking or climbing, mountaineering. Even things like canyoneering and things like that, trail running. Immediately people are further away from the trailhead, or away from services than they are in a lot of other parks,” Jason Martin, executive director of the American Alpine Institute, said.

Martin has been climbing for 31 years. 

“There’s a higher number of people who are actively going into that park for more adventure recreation. The North Cascades is one of the few parks without a lot of easily accessible things for people who are visiting the park just as tourists,” Martin said. 

Between 2007 and 2021, 14 people died in North Cascades, when an average of just over 25,000 people visited annually. But 25,000 visitors is considerably less when compared to more well-known parks like Lake Mead, Yosemite or the Grand Canyon. Those had a higher number of deaths, but a lower death rate than the cascades. 

“I’ve climbed all over the Western United States but yet my two major injuries and accidents have occurred in the North Cascades so the terrain is rugged that probably plays into it quite a bit,” Steph Abegg, data analyst for LongPath, said.

Abegg has been climbing for 28 years. 

“There’s a lot of weathering in the North Cascades, it’s quite a wet climate. And so the granite there is kind of fractured and blocky and just a lot of freeze thaw and water, and so things will break off a lot easier there than most places I’ve climbed,” Abegg said.

In 2009, her climbing partner had to be rescued from a mountain after a boulder, the size of a washing machine, broke loose and broke his leg mid-climb. One year later, the same thing happened to Abegg, but she broke her ankle. 

“North Cascades, the rock quality isn’t great. I had a few other close encounters with large rocks that could have been bad and were near misses, and I ended up moving. I love climbing and I wanted to stay alive and healthy and uninjured. I ended up moving to Colorado to find a little better rock.” Abegg said.

“The more training you have, the lower the likelihood is that you will have an accident. But it can still happen. Nobody’s saying that mountain climbing is safe,” Martin said. 

Follow this series to find out the hazards every park visitor should be aware of in part three. 

Tags: , ,

KARAH RUCKER: NORTH CASCADES NATIONAL PARK IN WASHINGTON HAS THE HIGHEST DEATH RATE AMONG NATIONAL PARKS IN THE U.S. ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL PARK SERVICE, CASCADES HAD 3.7 DEATHS FOR EVERY 100,000 VISITORS FROM 2007 TO 2021. THAT’S MORE THAN THREE TIMES THE RATE OF THE NEXT DEADLIEST SITE, WRANGELL-ST. ELIAS NATIONAL PARK RESERVE IN ALASKA. 

JASON MARTIN, A CLIMBER FOR 31 YEARS, HAS EXPERIENCE IN BOTH OF THESE PARKS. 

JASON MARTIN | EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, AMERICAN ALPINE INSTITUTE:  “North Cascades National Park is unlike many other parks in that you can enter the park without a park pass. You don’t need to go through a booth. A lot of people enter the park and just go hiking or backpacking or climbing, mountaineering. Even things like canyoneering and things like that trail running. And so that immediately people are further away from the trailhead, or away from services than they are in a lot of other parks. There’s a higher number of people who are actively going into that park for more Adventure Recreation. The North Cascades is one of the few parks without a lot of easily accessible things for people who are visiting the park just as tourists.”

BETWEEN 2007 AND 2021, 14 PEOPLE DIED IN NORTH CASCADES, WHEN AN AVERAGE OF JUST OVER 25,000 PEOPLE VISITED ANNUALLY. BUT 25-THOUSAND VISITORS IS CONSIDERABLY LESS WHEN COMPARED TO  WELL KNOWN PARKS LIKE LAKE MEAD, YOSEMITE OR THE GRAND CANYON. THOSE HAD A HIGHER NUMBER OF DEATHS, BUT A LOWER DEATH RATE THAN CASCADES. 

STEPH ABEGG | DATA ANALYST, LONGPATH: “I’ve climbed all over the western United States but yet my two major injuries and accidents have occurred in the North Cascades so the trains rugged that that probably plays into it quite a bit.”

STEPH ABEGG HAS BEEN CLIMBING FOR 28 YEARS.

ABEGG: “There’s a lot of weathering in the North Cascades. It’s quite a wet climate. And so the granite there is kind of fractured and blocky and just a lot of freeze thaw and water and so things will break off a lot easier there than most places I’ve climbed.”

IN 2009, HER CLIMBING PARTNER HAD TO BE RESCUED FROM A MOUNTAIN AFTER A BOULDER – THE SIZE OF A WASHING MACHINE – BROKE LOOSE AND BROKE HIS LEG MID-CLIMB. JUST ONE YEAR LATER, THE SAME THING HAPPENED TO STEPH. 

ABEGG: “North Cascades the rocket quality isn’t great. I had a few other close encounters with large rocks that could have been bad and we near misses, and I ended up moving. I love climbing and I wanted to stay alive and healthy and uninjured. And I ended up moving to Colorado to find a little better rock.”

MARTIN: 10:05 “The more training you have, the lower the likelihood is that you will have an accident. But it can still happen. Nobody’s saying that mountain climbing is safe.”

IN PART THREE OF OUR SERIES, THE HAZARDS EVERY PARK-GOER SHOULD BE AWARE OF.


Business

Top 3 things you need to know about the looming credit crunch crisis


As the dust starts to settle following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March, economists are warning of cracks in the system that started spreading even before the failures. Under conditions of banking turmoil, some are worried credit tightening will become a credit crunch crisis.

No. 1: What is a credit crunch? And why does it matter?

A credit crunch is a decline in lending activity driven by a shortage of funds. Access to capital fuels growth in the U.S. economy and a credit crunch significantly slows expansion.

Loan activity has been trending down due to the central bank’s aggressive actions to tame inflation. Over the last 12 months, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate from near 0% to nearly 5%.

No. 2: Bank credit is the ‘lifeblood’ of small businesses, which employ most Americans

Banks were already reporting tighter credit conditions even before the banking turmoil that began in March. But smaller banks are now getting hit twice as hard as customers move deposits away from regional institutions, which could put some small businesses in further peril.

Small and medium-sized businesses are disproportionately impacted by this. According to UBS research, smaller and regional banks hold 40% of these companies’ loans and debt. Pantheon Macroeconomics’ research shows that small and medium-sized companies employ 58% of private workforce in the U.S.

No. 3: Small businesses were already feeling the crunch, with bankruptcy filings on the rise pre-banking crisis

This year, research shows private companies are filing for bankruptcy at rates that exceed what was seen at the height of the pandemic. According to UBS, a lot of bankruptcies are at smaller firms for now, so the impact on assets and employees is not as egregious as the sheer number of filings.

The banking crisis is just injecting more uncertainty into an economy that was already tightening credit. The latest Fed survey found roughly 44% of banks reported tightening standards for business loans in the first quarter of 2023. With the exception of the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s the highest share to say that since 2009 in the wake of the Great Recession.


RELATED REPORTS

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: NOW THAT IT’S BEEN NEARLY A MONTH, THE DUST IS STARTING TO SETTLE ON THE BANKING TURMOIL TRIGGERED BY TWO OF THE LARGEST BANK FAILURES IN U-S HISTORY.

BUT ARE WE JUST GOING FROM ONE CRISIS TO THE NEXT?

WITH THE DUST DYING DOWN, WE’RE ABLE TO SEE CRACKS IN THE SYSTEM THAT STARTED SPREADING EVEN BEFORE THE BANKS COLLAPSED.

IAN SHEPHERDSON, CHIEF ECONOMIST, PANTHEON MACROECONOMICS: I’m getting really nervous now that an economy that I thought was going to dodge recession, just, is now at much greater risk of falling into one and it could be quite severe because bank credit is the lifeblood for small businesses.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: HERE ARE TWO WORDS YOU’RE ABOUT TO HEAR COME UP A LOT.

ISAAC POOLE: IT IS LIKELY TO FOLLOW A GOOD OLE FASHION CREDIT CRUNCH PATHWAY.

RANDY WATTS: THIS IS GONNA BE EXACERBATED BY WHAT IS CLEARLY BECOMING A CREDIT CRUNCH IN THE BANKING SECTOR.

JIM CARON: IS IT A CREDIT CRUNCH LIKE IN 2008 OR IS IT A CREDIT TIGHTENING.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: CREDIT CRUNCH COULD BE THE PHRASE THAT PAYS – IF YOU’RE BETTING ON A U-S RECESSION.

WITH RISING INTEREST RATES AND NOW BANKING UPHEAVAL ON TOP OF IT, IS THE U-S ON THE VERGE OF THE NEXT CREDIT CRUNCH?

MARK ZANDI: A CREDIT CRUNCH IS THE INABILITY OF HOUSEHOLDS AND BUSINESSES TO GET THE CREDIT THAT THEY NEED.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: I’M NOT SURE I COULD SAY IT BETTER. A CREDIT CRUNCH REFERS TO A SIGNIFICANT DROP IN BANK LENDING ACTIVITY DRIVEN BY A SHORTAGE OF FUNDS.

MARK ZANDI: THE POSSIBILITY OF THE RESTRICTION OF CREDIT TO BE SO SIGNIFICANT THAT UNDER ALMOST ANY TERMS YOU CAN’T GET A LOAN THAT’S CERTAINLY A RISK OF SOMETHING THAT MAY HAPPEN. IF THAT DOES, THAT’S A CREDIT CRUNCH. WE’RE NOT THERE YET, BUT THAT’S CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY GOING FORWARD.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: A PRIME EXAMPLE IS WHAT HAPPENED IN THE WAKE OF THE 2008 FINANCIAL CRASH.

FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS WERE ON THE HOOK FOR TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN WORTHLESS SUBPRIME MORTGAGES.

BANKS THAT SURVIVED IT DIDN’T HAVE THE RESOURCES TO BE OUT THERE MAKING A LOT OF LOANS. EVEN HIGHLY-QUALIFIED FAMILIES AND BUSINESSES STRUGGLED TO GET CREDIT.

ACCESS TO CAPITAL IS WHAT FUELS GROWTH IN THE ECONOMY. SO THE CREDIT CRUNCH DRAGGED ON GROWTH FOR YEARS TO COME.

MARK ZANDI: THE ‘08, ‘09 FINANCIAL CRISIS IS IN A LEAGUE OF ITS OWN. WHAT WE’RE EXPERIENCING NOW, IT DOESN’T FEEL VERY GOOD, IT’S VERY UNCOMFORTABLE, BUT IT’S NOTHING COMPARED TO WHAT WE SUFFERED BACK IN THAT CRISIS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: LOAN ACTIVITY HAS ALREADY BEEN ON THE DECLINE BECAUSE OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE’S FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION.

WHEN INTEREST RATES ARE HIGHER, PEOPLE ARE LESS LIKELY TO TAKE OUT LOANS AND SPEND MONEY.

JEROME POWELL: SO THE KEY IS WE HAVE TO HAVE POLICIES, GOTTA BE TIGHT ENOUGH TO BRING INFLATION DOWN TO 2% OVER TIME. IT DOESN’T ALL HAVE TO COME FROM RATE HIKES. IT CAN COME FROM, YOU KNOW, FROM TIGHTER CREDIT CONDITIONS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: A POTENTIAL CREDIT CRUNCH CAN BE AN UNPREDICTABLE ALLY IN THE FED’S INFLATION FIGHT.

ON THE HEELS OF TWO OF THE BIGGEST U-S BANK FAILURES IN HISTORY…MANY EXPECT BANKS TO FURTHER LIMIT LOAN ACTIVITY.

BUT EVEN BEFORE THIS DISORDER, IT WAS ALREADY HAPPENING.

IN A FED SURVEY ABOUT 44% OF BANKS REPORTED TIGHTENING STANDARDS FOR BUSINESS LOANS THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2023.

MARK ZANDI: THERE’S A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY HERE. HOW SIGNIFICANT IS THIS CREDIT CRUNCH GOING TO BE? HOW BIG AN IMPACT IS THAT GOING TO HAVE. I’M MUCH LESS CONFIDENT IN MY OPTIMISM ABOUT AVOIDING RECESSION THAN I WAS TWO WEEKS AGO BECAUSE OF THE BANKING CRISIS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: ACHIEVING DISINFLATION WITHOUT A RECESSION WAS ALREADY A TOUGH TEST TO PASS WITH THE FED’S BLUNT TOOLS.

BUT AT LEAST THEY HAVE CONTROL OVER THOSE TOOLS. A CREDIT CRUNCH COULD BRING IN A WHOLE NEW SET OF UNKNOWNS.

CREDIT TIGHTENING WAS ALREADY ON THE TABLE ACROSS THE BOARD, BUT SMALLER BANKS ARE GETTING HIT TWICE AS HARD RIGHT NOW. AND THAT’S GOING TO HAVE AN OUTSIZED IMPACT ON SMALL BUSINESS. LET ME EXPLAIN.

IN THE WEEK FOLLOWING SILICON VALLEY BANK’S TROUBLES, CUSTOMERS YANKED DEPOSITS OUT OF SMALLER BANKS AND MOVED THE MONEY INTO BIGGER BANKS, FEELING MORE CONFIDENT THE GOVERNMENT WOULDN’T LET THOSE BANKS FAIL.

AND IT WASN’T JUST A LITTLE BIT. THE LATEST FEDERAL RESERVE DATA SHOWS THE TOP 25 BANKS IN THE COUNTRY GAINED 120 BILLION IN DEPOSITS FROM MARCH 8TH TO MARCH 15TH.

WHILE ALL THE OTHER BANKS BELOW THAT LOST NEARLY 185 BILLION. THE LARGEST WEEKLY DECLINE ON RECORD.

IAN SHEPHERDSON, CHIEF ECONOMIST, PANTHEON MACROECONOMICS: And you have bank management thinking ok how do we survive this now well we probably don’t do it by lending.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: BANKS USE DEPOSITS TO FUND LOANS. SO NOW ALL OF THESE BANKS THAT LOST DEPOSITS – ARE GOING TO TIGHTEN CREDIT EVEN MORE. AND WHO USES THESE BANKS? SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED BUSINESSES. ACCORDING TO UBS – SMALLER AND REGIONAL BANKS HOLD 40% OF THESE COMPANIES’ LOANS AND DEBT.

IAN SHEPHERDSON: Bank credit is the lifeblood of small businesses and most people work for small businesses they drive a huge amount of economic activity and they’re really gonna struggle.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: AND IN SOME WAYS – THEY ALREADY ARE.

ON TUESDAY – RICHARD BRANSON’S SATELLITE-LAUNCHING COMPANY VIRGIN ORBIT FILED FOR CHAPTER 11 BANKRUPTCY.

THE COMPANY FAILED TO FIND A FUNDING LIFELINE AND IS NOW LOOKING TO SELL ITS ASSETS.

WHEN A PUBLIC COMPANY LIKE VIRGIN ORBIT GOES BANKRUPT, THERE ARE NO SHORTAGE OF HEADLINES.

BUT THERE’S AN UNDERCURRENT HAPPENING RIGHT NOW IN THE BANKRUPTCY WORLD THAT ISN’T GETTING AS MUCH ATTENTION.

THIS YEAR, RESEARCH SHOWS PRIVATE COMPANIES ARE FILING FOR BANKRUPTCY AT RATES THAT EXCEED WHAT WE SAW AT THE HEIGHT OF THE PANDEMIC.

UBS SAYS A LOT OF THESE BANKRUPTCIES ARE AT SMALLER FIRMS FOR NOW, SO THE IMPACT ON ASSETS AND EMPLOYEES IS NOT AS EGREGIOUS AS THE SHEER NUMBER OF FILINGS.

EXPERTS SAY REAL ESTATE IS ONE PLACE THEY’RE SEEING A BANKRUPTCY BOOM, WHILE HEALTHCARE, RETAIL, CONSTRUCTION, RESTAURANT AND FINANCIAL SECTORS ARE ONES TO WATCH.

I WANT TO BRING IN THE HONORABLE KEVIN CAREY, A FORMER BANKRUPTCY JUDGE AND CURRENT PRESIDENT OF THE AMERICAN BANKRUPTCY INSTITUTE.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: If this was happening prior to the banking crisis, you said that it’s been ticking up for the past couple of months. And we knew that credit was already tightening prior to that as well. What does a potential looming credit crunch do on top of that for businesses?

KEVIN CAREY: we’ve been talking about for really a long period of time now for the recession to happen. And so a lot of the lending is on hold. You know, investors don’t want to put money into a volatile economy. When it looks like there’s uncertainty, the banking. You know, I read today that in his message to shareholders, Jamie Dimon at JPM Chase, said, you know, the banking crisis isn’t over yet. He says it’s not like it’s going to like it was in 2008. But there’s still reason to worry. Look, and it’s not just in the US, look what happened with Credit Suisse and UBS, in Europe. So that’s also I think, creating some air of uncertainty that we found out with Silicon Valley is that once a run on a bank starts, it can’t be stopped.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You’ve overseen a lot of bankruptcies and I’m wondering, with your expertise, what happens to businesses when capital is harder to come by?

KEVIN CAREY: Well, and you put your finger on it, it’s liquidity, right. Once liquidity runs out, companies are faced with very few choices. And of course, so many of the chapter elevens now are filed for the purpose of conducting the going concern sale of the business. You know, seemingly Long gone are the old traditional chapter elevens where a company would stay in for a while, restructure, fix some business problems or, you know, rehabilitate some business units, fix its balance sheet. Now, it’s so frequently said plead to get a sale. And of course, sale orders signed by a bankruptcy judge have great value for for buyers, who know they’re getting a business free of liens and other interests, which otherwise might hold the business back.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You know, we haven’t really seen much of an impact of this uptick in bankruptcies and the unemployment numbers yet, but if you consider that more than half of the privately employed workforce works in those small and medium sized businesses, what do you foresee happening this year?

KEVIN CAREY: We’ll see that’s, you know, that’s one of those, you know, factors that kind of swirls around, you know, unemployment continues to be down. You know, there are other factors like high inflation that that are negative influences on the economy. It really, it just depends on on what a particular businesses issues are, you know, whether a business is in an industry that’s growing or not growing, and whether the business is over leveraged. So many of the businesses that find their way into chapter 11, are over levered. And businesses find themselves in a situation in which there’s just no way out. But to sell the company.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You touched on this, everybody seems to be waiting for that recession to come. You know, the Feds been walking such a tightrope trying to bring down inflation, they predict unemployment is gonna go up about another percentage point this year, they are hoping to still avoid a recession. But what is your read?

KEVIN CAREY: So I think everybody hopes to avoid a recession, except maybe those in the restructuring industry for whom that supplies work. But I, you know, look, I know a lawyer, old bankruptcy practitioner who likes to say I predicted the last three recessions seven times. So even when it seems apparent, even when it seems apparent that we’re headed in that direction. Often we don’t get there. I mean, the government’s look what the government did with Silicon Valley. I mean, it’s, it can still play a major role in affecting the economy one way or the other. And I always wonder whether if something looks like it’s going to happen, what the government will do, can be a game changer.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: The Honorable Kevin Carey, president of the American Bankruptcy Institute, thank you so much for your time today.

KEVIN CAREY: You’re very welcome, Simone.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: SPEAKING OF WHAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL DO…ON MAY FIRST, FEDERAL REGULATORS WILL RELEASE THEIR INVESTIGATION INTO THE EPIC COLLAPSE OF SILICON VALLEY BANK.

BUT CONGRESS IS KEEN ON ADDRESSING SOMETHING THAT HAPPENED JUST BEFORE REGULATORS TOOK OVER.

MERE HOURS BEFORE THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT CLOSED DOWN SILICON VALLEY BANK, THE BANK DISHED OUT EMPLOYEE BONUSES.

TO BE CLEAR, THE ANNUAL PAYOUT WAS PLANNED BEFORE THE BANK’S COLLAPSE. BUT THAT IS TIMING AT ITS WORST.

TACK ON C-E-O GREG BECKER CASHING OUT $3.6 MILLION IN BANK SHARES LESS THAN TWO WEEKS BEFORE THE FAILURE – AND YOU’VE CAUGHT THE IRE OF WASHINGTON POLITICIANS.

KYRSTEN SINEMA: IT’S OUTRAGEOUS THAT THESE PEOPLE TOOK BONUSES AND SOLD STOCK IN THE DAYS LEADING UP TO THE BANK’S FAILURE. WE SHOULD HOLD THESE EXECUTIVES ACCOUNTABLE FOR THE FULLEST EXTENT OF THE LAW AND CLAW BACK THOSE BONUSES AND STOCK SALES.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: FEDERAL REGULATORS IMMEDIATELY FIRED THE BANK’S LEADERS.

BUT SVB EXECUTIVES AND DIRECTORS STILL HAVE A CUSHION TO FALL BACK ON. SMART INSIDER SAYS THEY’VE CASHED OUT $84 MILLION WORTH OF STOCK THE PAST TWO – VERY PROFITABLE – YEARS.

NOT TO MENTION, MILLIONS PAID OUT IN EXECUTIVE SALARIES.

AND NOW THERE A BIPARTISAN PUSH TO CLAW SOME OF THAT BACK…THE NEXT TIME A BANK FAILS, THAT IS.

CO-SPONSOR SENATOR ELIZABETH WARREN SAYS IT’LL GIVE BANK LEADERSHIP THE INCENTIVE TO BE MORE CAUTIOUS, ESPECIALLY SINCE THAT CLAW COULD REACH BACK FIVE YEARS BEFORE A FAILURE.

ELIZABETH WARREN: HEY IF YOU LOAD THIS BANK UP ON RISK AND THE BANK EXPLODES, YOU’RE GOING TO LOSE THAT FANCY BONUS, YOU’RE GOING TO LOSE THAT BIG SALARY, YOU’RE GOING TO LOSE THOSE STOCK OPTIONS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: THE FDIC SAYS SVB’S COLLAPSE PUT A 20 BILLION DOLLAR HOLE IN GOVERNMENT’S DEPOSIT INSURANCE FUND. AND THAT’LL HAVE TO BE REPLENISHED WITH A SPECIAL FEE ON BANKS.

FEDERAL REGULATORS TOLD CONGRESS THEY DO HAVE SUBSTANTIAL AUTHORITY TO HOLD BANK EXECS ACCOUNTABLE…

MICHAEL BARR: POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES INCLUDE A PROHIBITION FROM BANKING CIVIL MONEY PENALTIES OR THE PAYMENT OF RESTITUTION, WE INTEND TO USE THESE AUTHORITIES TO THE FULLEST EXTENT WE ARE ABLE.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: BUT MULTIPLE BILLS PROPOSED IN THE WAKE OF THE BANK COLLAPSE ARE LOOKING TO EXTEND THAT REACH.

MARTIN GRUENBERG: IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR AN ADDITIONAL AUTHORITY SPECIFIC AUTHORITY UNDER THE FDI ACT, FOR CLAWBACKS PROBABLY WOULD HAVE SOME VALUE.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: THE BIPARTISAN NATURE OF SOME OF THESE BILLS MAKE IT APPEAR AS THOUGH IT’LL BE A SHOO IN. BUT CONGRESS HAS BEEN HERE BEFORE.

IN 2009, THE HOUSE OVERWHELMINGLY PASSED A BILL – 328 TO 93 – THAT WOULD TAX THE BONUSES OF HIGH-EARNING EMPLOYEES AT COMPANIES BAILED OUT BY THE GOVERNMENT. BUT IT NEVER WENT ANYWHERE IN THE SENATE.

THE CEO OF THE LARGEST BANK IN THE U-S IS WARNING THE GOVERNMENT TO “AVOID KNEE-JERK, WHACK-A-MOLE OR POLITICALLY MOTIVATED RESPONSES” TO THE LATEST BANK FAILURES.

IN HIS ANNUAL LETTER, JPMORGAN CHASE CEO JAMIE DIMON SAID THE LATEST BANKING RISKS WERE “HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT.”  SAYING “THIS WASN’T THE FINEST HOUR FOR MANY PLAYERS,” FROM THE BANKS THAT FAILED TO HEDGE INTEREST RATE RISK TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE.

HE ADDED THE CURRENT CRISIS IS NOT YET OVER AND THAT THERE WILL BE REPERCUSSIONS FOR YEARS TO COME. BUT THAT IT’S NOTHING LIKE WHAT HAPPENED IN 2008.

IT’S THE FIRST TIME DIMON HAS COMMENTED PUBLICLY ABOUT THE CRISIS. OVER THE PAST MONTH HE’S BEEN MEETING BEHIND THE SCENES WITH REGULATORS AND OTHER BANK CEOS.

HE ALSO LED EFFORTS TO STABILIZE FIRST REPUBLIC BANK FROM COLLAPSE – WHICH INCLUDED POOLING TOGETHER A $30 BILLION DOLLAR LIFELINE TO THE BANK.

DIMON WARNED THAT THE DEBATE MOVING FORWARD SHOULD NOT ALWAYS BE ABOUT MORE OR LESS REGULATION, BUT ABOUT WHAT MIX OF REGULATIONS WILL KEEP AMERICA’S BANKING SYSTEM ON TOP.

AND WE KNOW HE HAS THE EAR OF SOME OF WASHINGTON’S MOST POWERFUL.

THAT’S IT FOR NOW – FOLLOW THE LATEST BANKING CRISIS COVERAGE AT STRAIGHT ARROW NEWS DOT COM.


Business

Jimmy Buffett joins the billionaire club. These 5 artists got rich outside of music.


Prolific musicians have been making a killing over the last few years selling the publishing rights to their music catalogs. But the wealthiest acts are making their riches outside of the recording studio. Here are the richest artists who cashed in on their business prowess to become billionaires in this week’s Five For Friday:

#5: Dr. Dre and Kanye West

Dr. Dre and Ye (formally Kanye West) are two rappers who had their billionaire club cards revoked. Ye was worth as much as $2 billion due to his massive deal with Adidas for his Yeezy-branded sneakers. A meltdown that included antisemitic posts on social media caused Adidas to pull the plug on the partnership. Now, Ye’s only worth $400 million, according to estimates.

Dr. Dre, on the other hand, was very close to being the first billionaire in rap. The story goes, as he and record executive Jimmy Iovine were finalizing their agreement to sell Beats by Dre to Apple, Dre got a little overzealous. In a video posted on Facebook with Tyrese Gibson, he boasted that Forbes needed to get ready to change the billionaires list because of the sale. But the deal wasn’t yet public and apparently Apple CEO Tim Cook took the opportunity to shave $200 million off the price, just enough to sink Dre below the billionaire mark. After a divorce, philanthropic spending and luxuries for himself, his net worth is now around $400 million as well.

#4: Diddy

Sean “Diddy” Combs entered the three commas club in late 2022, according to a former Forbes editor who tracks these types of things. Puff Daddy has as many business ventures as he has names. He tackled fashion with Sean John, media with hip-hop-centric Revolt TV and fine liquor with partnerships with Ciroc Vodka and DeLeón Tequila. He still owns the rights to the Bad Boy Records catalog and reports indicate he doesn’t currently have any plans to sell it off.

#3: Jimmy Buffett

Forbes just identified Jimmy Buffett as a billionaire, although the beach bum refuses to confirm or deny his riches. Buffett’s career first took off around five decades ago and has a rabid following for someone so chill. He’s slapped Margaritaville branding on hotels, restaurants and cruises. He even has Margaritaville-themed “55 and better” communities in South Carolina and Florida. Talk about an artist who knows his brand and how to capitalize.

#2: Rihanna

Rihanna was the 2023 Super Bowl halftime show and got paid essentially nothing for it. But she didn’t really need it with a net worth of $1.4 billion, according to Forbes. Rihanna made nearly $100 million per tour more than a decade ago. But it’s her business ventures that have padded her bank account. Her Fenty Beauty line and 30% stake in the Savage X Fenty lingerie line highlight her portfolio. When the latter was looking to possibly go public, it was seeking a $3 billion valuation.

#1: Jay-Z

Jay-Z is worth roughly $2.5 billion, according to Forbes, making him the wealthiest artist. He turned a $56 million investment in streaming service Tidal into $350 million in just 6 years. He also bought the Armand de Brignac champagne brand after he boycotted Cristal. He later sold half of his stake in the brand to LVMH for more than $300 million. Then in 2023 he closed a multi-billion dollar deal with Bacardi for part of his stake in D’usse Cognac. On a much smaller scale, his venture capital firm invested in Stellar Pizza, a Los Angeles-based startup developing pizza-making robot trucks. He’s got so much money, there was talk of him making an offer to buy the Washington Commanders with Amazon founder Jeff Bezos. And he still has big-time music deals.

Tags: , , , , , ,

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: LATELY MUSICIANS HAVE BEEN MAKING BANK SELLING THEIR MUSIC CATALOGS FOR HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS. HEY WE EVEN HAVE A FIVE FOR FRIDAY ON IT! BUT TO GET A “B” IN FRONT OF THAT NET WORTH – FOR MOST MUSICIANS – IT’S NOT ABOUT THE MUSIC. HERE ARE THE BUSINESS VENTURES MAKING THESE ARTISTS BILLIONAIRES IN THIS WEEK’S FIVE FOR FRIDAY.

LET’S START WITH DR. DRE  AND YE, WHO BOTH GOT THEIR BILLIONAIRES CLUB CARD REVOKED. KANYE WEST WAS WORTH AROUND $2 BILL, MOSTLY BECAUSE OF HIS ADIDAS DEAL FOR YEEZY SNEAKERS. BUT YOU’VE HEARD ABOUT THE MELTDOWN AND NOW HE’S SITTING AROUND $400 MILL. DR. DRE, ON THE OTHER HAND, TANKED HIS THREE COMMA STATUS BEFORE HE GOT IT. IN 2014 HE DRUNKENLY BOASTED IN A VIDEO THAT FORBES NEEDED TO CHANGE ITS BILLIONAIRES LIST BECAUSE APPLE WAS BUYING HIS BEATS. BUT THE DEAL WASN’T YET PUBLIC, AND APPLE CEO TIM COOK USED THE SLIP TO SHAVE $200 MILLION OFF THE PRICE. JUST ENOUGH TO SINK DRE BELOW THE B MARK.

SEAN ‘DIDDY” COMBS CRACKED THE THREE COMMAS CLUB LATE LAST YEAR ACCORDING TO A FORMER FORBES EDITOR. DIDDY GOT THERE WITH AS MANY VENTURES AS HE HAS NAMES. FASHION – SEAN JOHN. MEDIA – REVOLT TV, AND LIQUOR – CIROC VODKA AND DELEON TEQUILA. PUFF DADDY ALSO HAS BAD BOY RECORDS BRINGING IN DOUGH. AND YOU KNOW, ALREADY BEING A BILLIONAIRE AND ALL, HE’S APPARENTLY IN NO RUSH TO SELL THE CATALOG.  

FORBES JUST MINTED JIMMY BUFFETT A BILLIONAIRE, ALTHOUGH WITH HIS CAREFREE LIFESTYLE HE REFUSES TO CONFIRM THAT’S THE CASE. BEACH BUM BUFFETT HAS SLAPPED MARGARITAVILLE BRANDING ON HOTELS, RESTAURANTS AND CRUISES. AND THIS IS RICH, HE EVEN HAS “55 AND BETTER” COMMUNITIES IN SOUTH CAROLINA AND FLORIDA. TALK ABOUT WASTING AWAY IN MARGARITAVILLE, AM I RIGHT? 

RIHANNA HEADLINED THE SUPER BOWL HALFTIME SHOW THIS YEAR FOR FREE. BUT SHE DOESN’T NEED THE CASH WITH AN ESTIMATED $1.4 BILLION NET WORTH, ACCORDING TO FORBES. RI RI WAS MAKING NEARLY 100 MIL PER TOUR MORE THAN A DECADE AGO. BUT IT’S HER COSMETICS LINE FENTY BEAUTY THAT’S PADDED HER POCKETS. SHE ALSO HAS A 30% STAKE IN THE SAVAGE X FENTY LINGERIE LINE WHICH COULD BE VALUED AS HIGH AS $3 BILL.

THE CROWN GOES TO JAY-Z, WORTH AROUND 2 AND A HALF BILLION. HE TURNED HIS $56 MILLION INVESTMENT IN STREAMING SERVICE TIDAL INTO 350 IN JUST 6 YEARS. HE TACKED ON 300 MORE SELLING HALF HIS STAKE IN ACE OF SPADES CHAMPAGNE. AND THIS YEAR HE CLOSED A MULTI BILLION DOLLAR DEAL WITH BACARDI FOR SOME OF HIS STAKE IN A COGNAC BRAND. FOR A MINUTE THERE WAS TALK HE’D TRY TO BUY THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS WITH JEFF BEZOS. OH, AND HE STILL HAS HUGE DEALS FOR HIS MUSIC.

SORRY, I DON’T HAVE BILLIONS, I’M JUST GONNA WASTE AWAY FOR THE WEEKEND. THAT’S FIVE FOR FRIDAY I’M SIMONE DEL ROSARIO AND IT’S JUST BUSINESS. 


U.S.

Russian, Chinese dominance of rare-earth metals threatens US security


When President Joe Biden signed the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act into law, it provided $550 billion for tens of thousands of projects across the country, such as roads, bridges and mass transit. According to the White House, this “once-in-a-generation investment in [American] infrastructure” aims to “grow the economy and enhance [the nation’s] competitiveness” through these funds.

The legislation also included investments of $7.5 billion in electric vehicle charging, $10 billion in clean transportation, and more than $7 billion in EV battery components. Additionally, it has been stipulated that all EV chargers funded through the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act must be built domestically.

However, building all these things, from infrastructure to electric vehicles, requires resources which the United States cannot currently obtain without going through foreign adversaries, like Russia or China.

“The United States will continue to rely on China, Russia and other foreign nations for our supply of raw materials and rare-earth minerals, and this is unacceptable,” Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., chairman of the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, said.

“America’s defense in the modern era increasingly demands the use of critical minerals, making it more essential by the day for our nation to have a sufficient stockpile of and reliable access to these materials,” Sen. Joni Ernst, R-Iowa, ranking member of the Senate Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities, said. “At this very moment, our enemies like China dominate the supply chain of these increasingly vital materials, and are even expanding into regions such as Africa and Afghanistan, threatening our readiness in an emergency situation and jeopardizing our national security.”

Three crucial elements needed for projects like these are known as niobium, scandium and titanium. They are used in cars, bridges, military vehicles, buildings, aircraft and wind turbines, among other things. Because of their properties that make metals both lighter and stronger, these elements have the ability to improve the fuel efficiency of automobiles and help infrastructure last longer.

The U.S. government considers niobium so important it has even purchased quantities of it to store in the National Defense Stockpile to have on hand in case of national emergencies, a distinction given only to a handful of critical strategic materials. Industry leaders also say niobium can revolutionize electric vehicles, allowing their batteries to last five to eight times longer than the current lithium ion technology, with just a 10-minute recharge time.

“The rare-earth elements are really what enables electric vehicle technology,” Scott Honan, COO of NioCorp, said. NioCorp is a U.S.-based mineral development company. “You’re going to have all these fabulous rare-earth magnets out there powering electric vehicles in a very reliable and efficient way.”

Aluminum-scandium alloys are utilized for aerospace industry components and sports equipment, while scandium oxide is used to make high intensity stadium lights. Very dilute scandium sulfate can also be used to improve the germination of seeds such as corn, peas and wheat. Titanium’s properties make it useful in aircraft, spacecraft and missiles because of its low density and ability to withstand extreme temperatures. Its ability to resist corrosion extends to seawater as well, making it critical for desalination plants and in protecting the hulls of ships, submarines and other structures exposed to the ocean.

While these rare-earth elements hold a litany of potential uses for crucial American needs, the nation faces major difficulties in acquiring them. The U.S. is 100% reliant on foreign nations for niobium and scandium, and is more than 90% reliant on foreign nations for titanium mineral concentrate, per the U.S. Geological Survey.

“We’ve got to stop relying on Chinese rare-earths in our defense industry,” Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Ariz., a member of the Senate Committee on Armed Services, said. “It’s a national security risk to us. If China decided to cut us off on those rare-earth minerals right now, this would have a serious impact on our national defense.”

“Not having the critical minerals identified and produced in this country would present a security problem and prevent us from moving ahead on multiple issues,” Rep. Ryan Zinke, R-Mont., said. Zinke serves on the House subcommittees for both Housing and Urban Development and Military Construction. “We’re vulnerable to China for very critical components of our economy.”

Meanwhile, according to the Royal Society of Chemistry, China and Russia are the No. 1 and No. 2 producers respectively of scandium, while China is the world’s top holder of titanium. In niobium’s case, 98% of the element’s active reserves worldwide are found in Brazil, but 75% alone comes from an organization called Companhia Brasileira de Metalurgia e Mineração (CBMM), which Chinese companies have bought a nearly $2 billion dollar stake in.

“Primarily, all these oxides are coming out of China,” NioCorp CEO Mark Smith said. “I’m sure the Russia-Ukraine war and certain Chinese actions that have been taken over the last six to seven months have caused a lot of this to become the new issue to talk about.”

This all presents challenges to American interests, creating a national problem which a small village of less than 100 people in the Midwest could hold the key to solving. NioCorp has a multi-billion dollar plan to construct a first-of-its-kind mine that would extract these previously untapped resources from the surrounding farmland of Elk Creek, Nebraska. This mining initiative aims to produce niobium, scandium, titanium and other rare-earth metals, as it attempts to make the U.S. competitive in this sector on the world stage.

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

Business

The banking crisis is ‘not over’ — and another crisis is already looming


As the dust starts to settle following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March, economists are warning of cracks in the system that started spreading even before the failures. Under conditions of banking turmoil, some are worried credit tightening will become a credit crunch.

“I’m getting really nervous now that an economy that I thought was going to dodge recession is now at much greater risk of falling into one and it could be quite severe because bank credit is the lifeblood for small businesses,” Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist Ian Shepherdson said during a CNBC interview.

What is a credit crunch?

A credit crunch is a decline in lending activity driven by a shortage of funds. Or, as Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi puts it, “the inability of households and businesses to get the credit that they need.” It’s a phenomenon that can have a big impact on the economy and its growth.

Following March’s Federal Open Markets Committee meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the second and third largest bank failures in U.S. history “are likely to result in tighter credit conditions for households and businesses, which would in turn affect economic outcomes.”

But the train was already on those tracks before the banks’ closures. Loan activity has been trending down due to the central bank’s aggressive actions to tame inflation. Over the last 12 months, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate from near 0% to nearly 5%.

The latest Fed survey found roughly 44% of banks reported tightening standards for business loans in the first quarter of 2023. With the exception of the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s the highest share to say that since 2009 in the wake of the Great Recession.

“The possibility of the restriction of credit to be so significant that under almost any terms you can’t get a loan, that’s certainly a risk of something that may happen,” Zandi told Reuters.

The most recent example of a credit crunch was after the 2008 financial crash. Financial institutions had trillions of dollars in subprime mortgages that were essentially worthless. Banks that were able to weather the storm didn’t have the resources or risk appetite to lend at their previous pace. Even highly-qualified individuals and businesses struggled to get approved.

Access to capital fuels growth in the U.S. economy and that credit crunch significantly slowed expansion in the years that followed.

“The ‘08, ‘09 financial crisis is in a league of its own,” Zandi said. “What we’re experiencing now, it doesn’t feel very good, it’s very uncomfortable, but it’s nothing compared to what we suffered back in that crisis.”

The Federal Reserve is monitoring how commercial banks tightening credit will affect its policies moving forward.

“The key is we have to have policies to bring inflation down to 2% over time,” Powell said in March. “It doesn’t all have to come from rate hikes. It can come from tighter credit conditions.”

Reaching the Fed’s 2% inflation target without entering a recession, known as a soft landing, was already a challenge with the central bank’s limited, blunt toolset. But at least the Fed has control over those tools. A credit crunch could bring in a whole new set of unknowns.

“I’m much less confident in my optimism about avoiding recession than I was two weeks ago because of the banking crisis,” Zandi said. “There’s a lot of uncertainty here. How significant is this credit crunch going to be? How big an impact is that going to have?”

Small business could struggle to secure its ‘lifeblood,’ bank credit

As we now know, banks were already reporting tighter credit conditions even before the banking turmoil that began in March. But smaller banks are now getting hit twice as hard as customers move deposits away from regional institutions, which could put some small businesses in further peril.

In the week following Silicon Valley Bank’s troubles, customers made a record number of withdrawals from smaller banks, feeling more confident that bigger banks would be a safer place for uninsured deposits after the second and third largest bank failures in U.S. history.

The latest Federal Reserve data shows between March 8 and March 15, the top 25 banks in the country gained $120.2 billion in deposits, while all of the other banks in the country lost $184.6 billion. In the week that followed, smaller banks failed to gain any of the deposits back, losing another billion by March 22.

“And you have bank management thinking, ‘Ok, how do we survive this now? Well, we probably don’t do it by lending,’” Shepherdson said.

Banks use deposits to fund loans, so all of the banks that lost deposits are likely to tighten credit even more in the aftermath. Small and medium-sized businesses are disproportionately impacted by this. According to UBS research, smaller and regional banks hold 40% of these companies’ loans and debt.

“Bank credit is the lifeblood of small businesses and most people work for small businesses, they drive a huge amount of economic activity and they’re really gonna struggle,” Shepherdson said.

According to Pantheon Macroeconomics research, small and medium-sized companies employ 58% of private workforce in the U.S.

Small business bankruptcy filings already on the rise pre-banking crisis

On Tuesday, April 4, Richard Branson’s satellite-launching company Virgin Orbit filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. When a public company like Virgin Orbit goes bankrupt, there is no shortage of headlines. But there’s an undercurrent happening in the bankruptcy world that isn’t getting as much attention.

This year, research shows private companies are filing for bankruptcy at rates that exceed what was seen at the height of the pandemic. According to UBS, a lot of bankruptcies are at smaller firms for now, so the impact on assets and employees is not as egregious as the sheer number of filings.

Experts say real estate is one place that is seeing a bankruptcy boom, while health care, retail, construction, restaurant and financial sectors are areas to watch.

Former bankruptcy judge and current American Bankruptcy Institute President Kevin Carey said he’s witnessed bankruptcy filings ticking up for the past couple of months.

“We’ve been talking about, for a really long period of time now, for the recession to happen,” Carey told Straight Arrow News. “And so a lot of the lending is on hold. Investors don’t want to put money into a volatile economy.”

Carey said the banking crisis is just injecting more uncertainty into an economy that was already tightening credit. The latest Fed survey found roughly 44% of banks reported tightening standards for business loans in the first quarter of 2023. With the exception of the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s the highest share to say that since 2009 in the wake of the Great Recession.

“Once liquidity runs out, companies are faced with very few choices,” he said, noting that many Chapter 11 bankruptcies he’s seeing now are seeking a sale of the business as opposed to restructuring. “So many businesses that find their way into Chapter 11 are over-levered, and businesses find themselves in a situation in which there’s just no way out but to sell the company.”

SVB paid bonuses hours before collapse. Politicians are looking for authority to claw that back.

Mere hours before the federal government seized it, Silicon Valley Bank paid out employee bonuses. In response, a bipartisan group of lawmakers have introduced legislation to recoup funds from bank executives in the event of future failures.

While the timing appeared suspicious, the SVB bonuses were a part of employees’ annual payout and planned in advance of the bank’s collapse. But paired with CEO Greg Becker cashing out $3.6 million in shares of SVB less than two weeks prior to the failure, these actions caught the attention of Washington politicians.

“It’s outrageous that these people took bonuses and sold stock in the days leading up to the bank’s failure,” Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, I-Ariz., said during a banking committee hearing featuring regulators on March 28. “We should hold these executives accountable for the fullest extent of the law and claw back those bonuses and stock sales.”

Federal regulators immediately terminated bank leadership in the wake of the collapse, but they had a cushion to fall back on. Executives and directors at SVB cashed $84 million worth of SVB stock over the past two years as the bank’s profits soared, according to Smart Insider. That’s in addition to the millions paid in executive salaries each year.

“When banks fail because of mismanagement and excessive risk taking, it should be easier for regulators to claw back compensation from executives, to impose civil penalties, and to ban executives from working in the banking industry again,” the White House said in a statement a week after SVB failed.

In various forms, Congress has answered the call. A bipartisan group of senators headlined by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., introduced “The Failed Bank Executives Clawback Act of 2023” on March 29. The bill would “claw back from bank executives all or part of the compensation they received over the five-year period preceding a bank’s insolvency or FDIC-resolution.” Republican Sens. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., and Mike Braun, R-Ind., are also co-sponsors.

Warren said the legislation would incentivize executives to act more cautiously.

“If you load this bank up on risk and the bank explodes, you’re going to lose that fancy bonus, you’re going to lose that big salary, you’re going to lose those stock options,” Warren said in an interview with CNBC on Friday, March 31.

Michael Barr, vice chair of supervision at the Federal Reserve, told senators during the week of March 26 that regulators already have some authority to hold executives accountable. He said the consequences could include a prohibition from banking, civil penalties or payment as part of restitution.

Saving depositors from SVB’s failure cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation’s deposit insurance fund $20 billion. The fund will eventually be replenished through a special fee on banks. FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg told the Senate Banking Committee that giving the FDIC explicit clawback authority “probably would have some value.”

Separate but similar legislation has been introduced in the House of Representatives as well. Despite the bipartisanship in introducing these types of bills, Congress has struggled to cross this finish line in the past.

Following the 2008 financial crisis, the House passed a bill by the wide margin of 328 to 93 that would have imposed a heavy tax on bonuses of high-earning employees at companies that were bailed out by the federal government. The legislation later stalled in the Senate.

Banking crisis ‘hiding in plain sight,’ this leading bank CEO says

The CEO of the largest bank in the U.S. is warning the government to avoid “knee-jerk, whack-a-mole or politically motivated responses,” to the latest bank failures. JPMorgan Chase leader Jamie Dimon has been meeting behind the scenes with regulators and other bank leaders over the past month but commented publicly on the banking crisis for the first time on Tuesday, April 4.

In his annual letter to shareholders, Dimon said the latest banking risks that led to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank were, “hiding in plain sight.”

“This wasn’t the finest hour for many players,” he wrote, saying that while it doesn’t absolve Silicon Valley Bank management, the Federal Reserve also made mistakes. Dimon criticized the Fed’s current model to stress test banks, noting that they never incorporated the risk of rising interest rates.

Silicon Valley Bank found itself in trouble after failing to hedge interest-rate risk when buying bonds. Over the past year, the Federal Reserve raised its interest rate from near-zero to nearly 5%, and SVB’s low-interest bearing, long-term securities lost market value.

In a notice that ended up triggering a devastating bank run, SVB management announced they were raising capital and had sold $21 billion in bonds at a $1.8 billion loss. The next day, customers attempted to withdraw 20% of the bank’s total deposits, causing the bank to collapse.

Signature Bank customers followed suit, with federal regulators taking control of both banks. Other regional banks wobbled in the aftermath of the collapse as customers pulled funds out of smaller banks, worried they could face a similar fate. Dimon led efforts to stabilize First Republic Bank from collapse, which included pooling together a $30 billion lifeline to the bank.

“The current crisis is not yet over, and even when it is behind us, there will be repercussions from it for years to come,” Dimon said. “But importantly, recent events are nothing like what occurred during the 2008 financial crisis.”

As politicians push out legislative proposals based on the banking turmoil, Dimon warned that the debate should not always be divided between more or less regulation, but about the right mix of regulations that, “will keep America’s banking system the best in the world.”

The banking upheaval did not stay within U.S. borders following the bank collapses. Switzerland’s Credit Suisse also fell in the aftermath, with the government orchestrating a buyout by the country’s largest bank, UBS Group. Meanwhile, First Citizens Bank scooped up SVB and its deposits at a $16.5 billion discount.


RELATED REPORTS

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: NOW THAT IT’S BEEN NEARLY A MONTH, THE DUST IS STARTING TO SETTLE ON THE BANKING TURMOIL TRIGGERED BY TWO OF THE LARGEST BANK FAILURES IN U-S HISTORY.

BUT ARE WE JUST GOING FROM ONE CRISIS TO THE NEXT?

WITH THE DUST DYING DOWN, WE’RE ABLE TO SEE CRACKS IN THE SYSTEM THAT STARTED SPREADING EVEN BEFORE THE BANKS COLLAPSED. 

IAN SHEPHERDSON, CHIEF ECONOMIST, PANTHEON MACROECONOMICS: I’m getting really nervous now that an economy that I thought was going to dodge recession, just, is now at much greater risk of falling into one and it could be quite severe because bank credit is the lifeblood for small businesses.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: HERE ARE TWO WORDS YOU’RE ABOUT TO HEAR COME UP A LOT.

ISAAC POOLE: IT IS LIKELY TO FOLLOW A GOOD OLE FASHION CREDIT CRUNCH PATHWAY.

RANDY WATTS: THIS IS GONNA BE EXACERBATED BY WHAT IS CLEARLY BECOMING A CREDIT CRUNCH IN THE BANKING SECTOR.

JIM CARON: IS IT A CREDIT CRUNCH LIKE IN 2008 OR IS IT A CREDIT TIGHTENING.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: CREDIT CRUNCH COULD BE THE PHRASE THAT PAYS – IF YOU’RE BETTING ON A U-S RECESSION.

WITH RISING INTEREST RATES AND NOW BANKING UPHEAVAL ON TOP OF IT, IS THE U-S ON THE VERGE OF THE NEXT CREDIT CRUNCH?

MARK ZANDI: A CREDIT CRUNCH IS THE INABILITY OF HOUSEHOLDS AND BUSINESSES TO GET THE CREDIT THAT THEY NEED.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: I’M NOT SURE I COULD SAY IT BETTER. A CREDIT CRUNCH REFERS TO A SIGNIFICANT DROP IN BANK LENDING ACTIVITY DRIVEN BY A SHORTAGE OF FUNDS.

MARK ZANDI: THE POSSIBILITY OF THE RESTRICTION OF CREDIT TO BE SO SIGNIFICANT THAT UNDER ALMOST ANY TERMS YOU CAN’T GET A LOAN THAT’S CERTAINLY A RISK OF SOMETHING THAT MAY HAPPEN. IF THAT DOES, THAT’S A CREDIT CRUNCH. WE’RE NOT THERE YET, BUT THAT’S CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY GOING FORWARD.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: A PRIME EXAMPLE IS WHAT HAPPENED IN THE WAKE OF THE 2008 FINANCIAL CRASH.

FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS WERE ON THE HOOK FOR TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS IN WORTHLESS SUBPRIME MORTGAGES.

BANKS THAT SURVIVED IT DIDN’T HAVE THE RESOURCES TO BE OUT THERE MAKING A LOT OF LOANS. EVEN HIGHLY-QUALIFIED FAMILIES AND BUSINESSES STRUGGLED TO GET CREDIT.

ACCESS TO CAPITAL IS WHAT FUELS GROWTH IN THE ECONOMY. SO THE CREDIT CRUNCH DRAGGED ON GROWTH FOR YEARS TO COME.

MARK ZANDI: THE ‘08, ‘09 FINANCIAL CRISIS IS IN A LEAGUE OF ITS OWN. WHAT WE’RE EXPERIENCING NOW, IT DOESN’T FEEL VERY GOOD, IT’S VERY UNCOMFORTABLE, BUT IT’S NOTHING COMPARED TO WHAT WE SUFFERED BACK IN THAT CRISIS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: LOAN ACTIVITY HAS ALREADY BEEN ON THE DECLINE BECAUSE OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE’S FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION.

WHEN INTEREST RATES ARE HIGHER, PEOPLE ARE LESS LIKELY TO TAKE OUT LOANS AND SPEND MONEY.

JEROME POWELL: SO THE KEY IS WE HAVE TO HAVE POLICIES, GOTTA BE TIGHT ENOUGH TO BRING INFLATION DOWN TO 2% OVER TIME. IT DOESN’T ALL HAVE TO COME FROM RATE HIKES. IT CAN COME FROM, YOU KNOW, FROM TIGHTER CREDIT CONDITIONS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: A POTENTIAL CREDIT CRUNCH CAN BE AN UNPREDICTABLE ALLY IN THE FED’S INFLATION FIGHT.

ON THE HEELS OF TWO OF THE BIGGEST U-S BANK FAILURES IN HISTORY…MANY EXPECT BANKS TO FURTHER LIMIT LOAN ACTIVITY.

BUT EVEN BEFORE THIS DISORDER, IT WAS ALREADY HAPPENING.

IN A FED SURVEY ABOUT 44% OF BANKS REPORTED TIGHTENING STANDARDS FOR BUSINESS LOANS THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2023.

MARK ZANDI: THERE’S A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY HERE. HOW SIGNIFICANT IS THIS CREDIT CRUNCH GOING TO BE? HOW BIG AN IMPACT IS THAT GOING TO HAVE. I’M MUCH LESS CONFIDENT IN MY OPTIMISM ABOUT AVOIDING RECESSION THAN I WAS TWO WEEKS AGO BECAUSE OF THE BANKING CRISIS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: ACHIEVING DISINFLATION WITHOUT A RECESSION WAS ALREADY A TOUGH TEST TO PASS WITH THE FED’S BLUNT TOOLS.

BUT AT LEAST THEY HAVE CONTROL OVER THOSE TOOLS. A CREDIT CRUNCH COULD BRING IN A WHOLE NEW SET OF UNKNOWNS.

CREDIT TIGHTENING WAS ALREADY ON THE TABLE ACROSS THE BOARD, BUT SMALLER BANKS ARE GETTING HIT TWICE AS HARD RIGHT NOW. AND THAT’S GOING TO HAVE AN OUTSIZED IMPACT ON SMALL BUSINESS. LET ME EXPLAIN.

IN THE WEEK FOLLOWING SILICON VALLEY BANK’S TROUBLES, CUSTOMERS YANKED DEPOSITS OUT OF SMALLER BANKS AND MOVED THE MONEY INTO BIGGER BANKS, FEELING MORE CONFIDENT THE GOVERNMENT WOULDN’T LET THOSE BANKS FAIL.

AND IT WASN’T JUST A LITTLE BIT. THE LATEST FEDERAL RESERVE DATA SHOWS THE TOP 25 BANKS IN THE COUNTRY GAINED 120 BILLION IN DEPOSITS FROM MARCH 8TH TO MARCH 15TH.

WHILE ALL THE OTHER BANKS BELOW THAT LOST NEARLY 185 BILLION. THE LARGEST WEEKLY DECLINE ON RECORD.

IAN SHEPHERDSON, CHIEF ECONOMIST, PANTHEON MACROECONOMICS: And you have bank management thinking ok how do we survive this now well we probably don’t do it by lending.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: BANKS USE DEPOSITS TO FUND LOANS. SO NOW ALL OF THESE BANKS THAT LOST DEPOSITS – ARE GOING TO TIGHTEN CREDIT EVEN MORE. AND WHO USES THESE BANKS? SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED BUSINESSES. ACCORDING TO UBS – SMALLER AND REGIONAL BANKS HOLD 40% OF THESE COMPANIES’ LOANS AND DEBT.

IAN SHEPHERDSON: Bank credit is the lifeblood of small businesses and most people work for small businesses they drive a huge amount of economic activity and they’re really gonna struggle.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: AND IN SOME WAYS – THEY ALREADY ARE.

ON TUESDAY – RICHARD BRANSON’S SATELLITE-LAUNCHING COMPANY VIRGIN ORBIT FILED FOR CHAPTER 11 BANKRUPTCY.

THE COMPANY FAILED TO FIND A FUNDING LIFELINE AND IS NOW LOOKING TO SELL ITS ASSETS.

WHEN A PUBLIC COMPANY LIKE VIRGIN ORBIT GOES BANKRUPT, THERE ARE NO SHORTAGE OF HEADLINES.

BUT THERE’S AN UNDERCURRENT HAPPENING RIGHT NOW IN THE BANKRUPTCY WORLD THAT ISN’T GETTING AS MUCH ATTENTION.

THIS YEAR, RESEARCH SHOWS PRIVATE COMPANIES ARE FILING FOR BANKRUPTCY AT RATES THAT EXCEED WHAT WE SAW AT THE HEIGHT OF THE PANDEMIC.

UBS SAYS A LOT OF THESE BANKRUPTCIES ARE AT SMALLER FIRMS FOR NOW, SO THE IMPACT ON ASSETS AND EMPLOYEES IS NOT AS EGREGIOUS AS THE SHEER NUMBER OF FILINGS.

EXPERTS SAY REAL ESTATE IS ONE PLACE THEY’RE SEEING A BANKRUPTCY BOOM, WHILE HEALTHCARE, RETAIL, CONSTRUCTION, RESTAURANT AND FINANCIAL SECTORS ARE ONES TO WATCH.

I WANT TO BRING IN THE HONORABLE KEVIN CAREY, A FORMER BANKRUPTCY JUDGE AND CURRENT PRESIDENT OF THE AMERICAN BANKRUPTCY INSTITUTE.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: If this was happening prior to the banking crisis, you said that it’s been ticking up for the past couple of months. And we knew that credit was already tightening prior to that as well. What does a potential looming credit crunch do on top of that for businesses?

KEVIN CAREY: we’ve been talking about for really a long period of time now for the recession to happen. And so a lot of the lending is on hold. You know, investors don’t want to put money into a volatile economy. When it looks like there’s uncertainty, the banking. You know, I read today that in his message to shareholders, Jamie Dimon at JPM Chase, said, you know, the banking crisis isn’t over yet. He says it’s not like it’s going to like it was in 2008. But there’s still reason to worry. Look, and it’s not just in the US, look what happened with Credit Suisse and UBS, in Europe. So that’s also I think, creating some air of uncertainty that we found out with Silicon Valley is that once a run on a bank starts, it can’t be stopped.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You’ve overseen a lot of bankruptcies and I’m wondering, with your expertise, what happens to businesses when capital is harder to come by?

KEVIN CAREY: Well, and you put your finger on it, it’s liquidity, right. Once liquidity runs out, companies are faced with very few choices. And of course, so many of the chapter elevens now are filed for the purpose of conducting the going concern sale of the business. You know, seemingly Long gone are the old traditional chapter elevens where a company would stay in for a while, restructure, fix some business problems or, you know, rehabilitate some business units, fix its balance sheet. Now, it’s so frequently said plead to get a sale. And of course, sale orders signed by a bankruptcy judge have great value for for buyers, who know they’re getting a business free of liens and other interests, which otherwise might hold the business back.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You know, we haven’t really seen much of an impact of this uptick in bankruptcies and the unemployment numbers yet, but if you consider that more than half of the privately employed workforce works in those small and medium sized businesses, what do you foresee happening this year?

KEVIN CAREY: We’ll see that’s, you know, that’s one of those, you know, factors that kind of swirls around, you know, unemployment continues to be down. You know, there are other factors like high inflation that that are negative influences on the economy. It really, it just depends on on what a particular businesses issues are, you know, whether a business is in an industry that’s growing or not growing, and whether the business is over leveraged. So many of the businesses that find their way into chapter 11, are over levered. And businesses find themselves in a situation in which there’s just no way out. But to sell the company.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You touched on this, everybody seems to be waiting for that recession to come. You know, the Feds been walking such a tightrope trying to bring down inflation, they predict unemployment is gonna go up about another percentage point this year, they are hoping to still avoid a recession. But what is your read?

KEVIN CAREY: So I think everybody hopes to avoid a recession, except maybe those in the restructuring industry for whom that supplies work. But I, you know, look, I know a lawyer, old bankruptcy practitioner who likes to say I predicted the last three recessions seven times. So even when it seems apparent, even when it seems apparent that we’re headed in that direction. Often we don’t get there. I mean, the government’s look what the government did with Silicon Valley. I mean, it’s, it can still play a major role in affecting the economy one way or the other. And I always wonder whether if something looks like it’s going to happen, what the government will do, can be a game changer.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: The Honorable Kevin Carey, president of the American Bankruptcy Institute, thank you so much for your time today.

KEVIN CAREY: You’re very welcome, Simone.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: SPEAKING OF WHAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL DO…ON MAY FIRST, FEDERAL REGULATORS WILL RELEASE THEIR INVESTIGATION INTO THE EPIC COLLAPSE OF SILICON VALLEY BANK.

BUT CONGRESS IS KEEN ON ADDRESSING SOMETHING THAT HAPPENED JUST BEFORE REGULATORS TOOK OVER.

MERE HOURS BEFORE THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT CLOSED DOWN SILICON VALLEY BANK, THE BANK DISHED OUT EMPLOYEE BONUSES.

TO BE CLEAR, THE ANNUAL PAYOUT WAS PLANNED BEFORE THE BANK’S COLLAPSE. BUT THAT IS TIMING AT ITS WORST.

TACK ON C-E-O GREG BECKER CASHING OUT $3.6 MILLION IN BANK SHARES LESS THAN TWO WEEKS BEFORE THE FAILURE – AND YOU’VE CAUGHT THE IRE OF WASHINGTON POLITICIANS.

KYRSTEN SINEMA: IT’S OUTRAGEOUS THAT THESE PEOPLE TOOK BONUSES AND SOLD STOCK IN THE DAYS LEADING UP TO THE BANK’S FAILURE. WE SHOULD HOLD THESE EXECUTIVES ACCOUNTABLE FOR THE FULLEST EXTENT OF THE LAW AND CLAW BACK THOSE BONUSES AND STOCK SALES.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: FEDERAL REGULATORS IMMEDIATELY FIRED THE BANK’S LEADERS.

BUT SVB EXECUTIVES AND DIRECTORS STILL HAVE A CUSHION TO FALL BACK ON. SMART INSIDER SAYS THEY’VE CASHED OUT $84 MILLION WORTH OF STOCK THE PAST TWO – VERY PROFITABLE – YEARS.

NOT TO MENTION, MILLIONS PAID OUT IN EXECUTIVE SALARIES.

AND NOW THERE A BIPARTISAN PUSH TO CLAW SOME OF THAT BACK…THE NEXT TIME A BANK FAILS, THAT IS.

CO-SPONSOR SENATOR ELIZABETH WARREN SAYS IT’LL GIVE BANK LEADERSHIP THE INCENTIVE TO BE MORE CAUTIOUS, ESPECIALLY SINCE THAT CLAW COULD REACH BACK FIVE YEARS BEFORE A FAILURE.

ELIZABETH WARREN: HEY IF YOU LOAD THIS BANK UP ON RISK AND THE BANK EXPLODES, YOU’RE GOING TO LOSE THAT FANCY BONUS, YOU’RE GOING TO LOSE THAT BIG SALARY, YOU’RE GOING TO LOSE THOSE STOCK OPTIONS.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: THE FDIC SAYS SVB’S COLLAPSE PUT A 20 BILLION DOLLAR HOLE IN GOVERNMENT’S DEPOSIT INSURANCE FUND. AND THAT’LL HAVE TO BE REPLENISHED WITH A SPECIAL FEE ON BANKS.

FEDERAL REGULATORS TOLD CONGRESS THEY DO HAVE SUBSTANTIAL AUTHORITY TO HOLD BANK EXECS ACCOUNTABLE…

MICHAEL BARR: POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES INCLUDE A PROHIBITION FROM BANKING CIVIL MONEY PENALTIES OR THE PAYMENT OF RESTITUTION, WE INTEND TO USE THESE AUTHORITIES TO THE FULLEST EXTENT WE ARE ABLE.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: BUT MULTIPLE BILLS PROPOSED IN THE WAKE OF THE BANK COLLAPSE ARE LOOKING TO EXTEND THAT REACH.

MARTIN GRUENBERG: IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR AN ADDITIONAL AUTHORITY SPECIFIC AUTHORITY UNDER THE FDI ACT, FOR CLAWBACKS PROBABLY WOULD HAVE SOME VALUE.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: THE BIPARTISAN NATURE OF SOME OF THESE BILLS MAKE IT APPEAR AS THOUGH IT’LL BE A SHOO IN. BUT CONGRESS HAS BEEN HERE BEFORE.

IN 2009, THE HOUSE OVERWHELMINGLY PASSED A BILL – 328 TO 93 – THAT WOULD TAX THE BONUSES OF HIGH-EARNING EMPLOYEES AT COMPANIES BAILED OUT BY THE GOVERNMENT. BUT IT NEVER WENT ANYWHERE IN THE SENATE.

THE CEO OF THE LARGEST BANK IN THE U-S IS WARNING THE GOVERNMENT TO “AVOID KNEE-JERK, WHACK-A-MOLE OR POLITICALLY MOTIVATED RESPONSES” TO THE LATEST BANK FAILURES.

IN HIS ANNUAL LETTER, JPMORGAN CHASE CEO JAMIE DIMON SAID THE LATEST BANKING RISKS WERE “HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT.”  SAYING “THIS WASN’T THE FINEST HOUR FOR MANY PLAYERS,” FROM THE BANKS THAT FAILED TO HEDGE INTEREST RATE RISK TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE.

HE ADDED THE CURRENT CRISIS IS NOT YET OVER AND THAT THERE WILL BE REPERCUSSIONS FOR YEARS TO COME. BUT THAT IT’S NOTHING LIKE WHAT HAPPENED IN 2008.

IT’S THE FIRST TIME DIMON HAS COMMENTED PUBLICLY ABOUT THE CRISIS. OVER THE PAST MONTH HE’S BEEN MEETING BEHIND THE SCENES WITH REGULATORS AND OTHER BANK CEOS.

HE ALSO LED EFFORTS TO STABILIZE FIRST REPUBLIC BANK FROM COLLAPSE – WHICH INCLUDED POOLING TOGETHER A $30 BILLION DOLLAR LIFELINE TO THE BANK.

DIMON WARNED THAT THE DEBATE MOVING FORWARD SHOULD NOT ALWAYS BE ABOUT MORE OR LESS REGULATION, BUT ABOUT WHAT MIX OF REGULATIONS WILL KEEP AMERICA’S BANKING SYSTEM ON TOP.

AND WE KNOW HE HAS THE EAR OF SOME OF WASHINGTON’S MOST POWERFUL.

THAT’S IT FOR NOW – FOLLOW THE LATEST BANKING CRISIS COVERAGE AT STRAIGHT ARROW NEWS DOT COM.


Business

Small business could struggle to get credit as banks face record withdrawals


An increasing number of banks, large and small, reported tightening credit standards to start off 2023, even before the banking turmoil that began in March. But smaller banks are now getting hit twice as hard as customers move deposits away from regional institutions, which could put some small businesses in further peril.

In the week following Silicon Valley Bank’s troubles, customers made a record number of withdrawals from smaller banks, feeling more confident that bigger banks would be a safer place for uninsured deposits after the second and third largest bank failures in U.S. history.

READ MORE: The FDIC insures up to $250,000 in bank deposits. Is it time to increase that cap?

The latest Federal Reserve data shows between March 8 and March 15, the top 25 banks in the country gained $120.2 billion in deposits, while all of the other banks in the country lost $184.6 billion. In the week that followed, smaller banks failed to gain any of the deposits back, losing another billion by March 22.

“And you have bank management thinking, ‘Ok, how do we survive this now? Well, we probably don’t do it by lending,’” Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist Ian Shepherdson said in a CNBC interview.

READ MORE: 186 banks are at risk of Silicon Valley Bank-like failure: Study

Banks use deposits to fund loans, so all of the banks that lost deposits are likely to tighten credit even more in the aftermath. Small and medium-sized businesses are disproportionately impacted by this. According to UBS research, smaller and regional banks hold 40% of these companies’ loans and debt.

The latest Fed survey found roughly 44% of banks reported tightening standards for business loans in the first quarter of 2023. With the exception of the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s the highest share to say that since 2009 in the wake of the Great Recession.

“Bank credit is the lifeblood of small businesses and most people work for small businesses, they drive a huge amount of economic activity and they’re really gonna struggle,” Shepherdson said.

According to Pantheon Macroeconomics research, small and medium-sized companies employ 58% of private workforce in the U.S.


RELATED REPORTS

Tags: , , , , ,

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: CREDIT TIGHTENING WAS ALREADY ON THE TABLE ACROSS THE BOARD, BUT SMALLER BANKS ARE GETTING HIT TWICE AS HARD RIGHT NOW. AND THAT’S GOING TO HAVE AN OUTSIZED IMPACT ON SMALL BUSINESS. LET ME EXPLAIN.

IN THE WEEK FOLLOWING SILICON VALLEY BANK’S TROUBLES, CUSTOMERS YANKED DEPOSITS OUT OF SMALLER BANKS AND MOVED THE MONEY INTO BIGGER BANKS, FEELING MORE CONFIDENT THE GOVERNMENT WOULDN’T LET THOSE BANKS FAIL.

AND IT WASN’T JUST A LITTLE BIT. THE LATEST FEDERAL RESERVE DATA SHOWS THE TOP 25 BANKS IN THE COUNTRY GAINED 120 BILLION IN DEPOSITS FROM MARCH 8TH TO MARCH 15TH.

WHILE ALL THE OTHER BANKS BELOW THAT LOST NEARLY 185 BILLION. THE LARGEST WEEKLY DECLINE ON RECORD.

IAN SHEPHERDSON, CHIEF ECONOMIST, PANTHEON MACROECONOMICS: And you have bank management thinking ok how do we survive this now well we probably don’t do it by lending.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: BANKS USE DEPOSITS TO FUND LOANS. SO NOW ALL OF THESE BANKS THAT LOST DEPOSITS – ARE GOING TO TIGHTEN CREDIT EVEN MORE. AND WHO USES THESE BANKS? SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED BUSINESSES. ACCORDING TO UBS – SMALLER AND REGIONAL BANKS HOLD 40% OF THESE COMPANIES’ LOANS AND DEBT.

IAN SHEPHERDSON: Bank credit is the lifeblood of small businesses and most people work for small businesses they drive a huge amount of economic activity and they’re really gonna struggle.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: AND IN SOME WAYS – THEY ALREADY ARE.


Business

Banking crisis ‘hiding in plain sight,’ Chase CEO Jamie Dimon says


The CEO of the largest bank in the U.S. is warning the government to avoid “knee-jerk, whack-a-mole or politically motivated responses,” to the latest bank failures. JPMorgan Chase leader Jamie Dimon has been meeting behind the scenes with regulators and other bank leaders over the past month but commented publicly on the banking crisis for the first time on Tuesday, April 4.

In his annual letter to shareholders, Dimon said the latest banking risks that led to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank were “hiding in plain sight.”

“This wasn’t the finest hour for many players,” he wrote, saying that while it doesn’t absolve Silicon Valley Bank management, the Federal Reserve also made mistakes. Dimon criticized the Fed’s current model to stress test banks, noting that they never incorporated the risk of rising interest rates.

Silicon Valley Bank found itself in trouble after failing to hedge interest-rate risk when buying bonds. Over the past year, the Federal Reserve raised its interest rate from near-zero to nearly 5%, and SVB’s low-interest bearing, long-term securities lost market value.

In a notice that ended up triggering a devastating bank run, SVB management announced they were raising capital and had sold $21 billion in bonds at a $1.8 billion loss. The next day, customers attempted to withdraw 20% of the bank’s total deposits, causing the bank to collapse.

Signature Bank customers followed suit, with federal regulators taking control of both banks. Other regional banks wobbled in the aftermath of the collapse as customers pulled funds out of smaller banks, worried they could face a similar fate. Dimon led efforts to stabilize First Republic Bank from collapse, which included pooling together a $30 billion lifeline to the bank.

“The current crisis is not yet over, and even when it is behind us, there will be repercussions from it for years to come,” Dimon said. “But importantly, recent events are nothing like what occurred during the 2008 financial crisis.”

As politicians push out legislative proposals based on the banking turmoil, Dimon warned that the debate should not always be divided between more or less regulation, but about the right mix of regulations that “will keep America’s banking system the best in the world.”

The banking upheaval did not stay within U.S. borders following the bank collapses. Switzerland’s Credit Suisse also fell in the aftermath, with the government orchestrating a buyout by the country’s largest bank, UBS Group. Meanwhile, First Citizens Bank scooped up SVB and its deposits at a $16.5 billion discount.


RELATED REPORTS

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

THE CEO OF THE LARGEST BANK IN THE U-S IS WARNING THE GOVERNMENT TO “AVOID KNEE-JERK, WHACK-A-MOLE OR POLITICALLY MOTIVATED RESPONSES” TO THE LATEST BANK FAILURES.

IN HIS ANNUAL LETTER, JPMORGAN CHASE CEO JAMIE DIMON SAID THE LATEST BANKING RISKS WERE “HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT.”  SAYING “THIS WASN’T THE FINEST HOUR FOR MANY PLAYERS,” FROM THE BANKS THAT FAILED TO HEDGE INTEREST RATE RISK TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE. 

HE ADDED THE CURRENT CRISIS IS NOT YET OVER AND THAT THERE WILL BE REPERCUSSIONS FOR YEARS TO COME. BUT THAT IT’S NOTHING LIKE WHAT HAPPENED IN 2008. 

IT’S THE FIRST TIME DIMON HAS COMMENTED PUBLICLY ABOUT THE CRISIS. OVER THE PAST MONTH HE’S BEEN MEETING BEHIND THE SCENES WITH REGULATORS AND OTHER BANK CEOS. 

HE ALSO LED EFFORTS TO STABILIZE FIRST REPUBLIC BANK FROM COLLAPSE – WHICH INCLUDED POOLING TOGETHER A $30 BILLION DOLLAR LIFELINE TO THE BANK.

DIMON WARNED THAT THE DEBATE MOVING FORWARD SHOULD NOT ALWAYS BE ABOUT MORE OR LESS REGULATION, BUT ABOUT WHAT MIX OF REGULATIONS WILL KEEP AMERICA’S BANKING SYSTEM ON TOP. 

AND WE KNOW HE HAS THE EAR OF SOME OF WASHINGTON’S MOST POWERFUL.


Business

Bankruptcy filings surpassed pandemic peak even before bank crisis took hold

Media Landscape

MediaMiss™This story is a Media Miss by the right as only 19% of the coverage is from right leaning media. Learn more about this data
Left 27% Center 54% Right 19%
Bias Distribution Powered by Ground News

On Tuesday, April 4, Richard Branson’s satellite-launching company Virgin Orbit filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The company failed to find a funding lifeline following a launch failure and is now looking to sell its assets.

When a public company like Virgin Orbit goes bankrupt, there is no shortage of headlines. But there’s an undercurrent happening in the bankruptcy world that isn’t getting as much attention.

This year, research shows private companies are filing for bankruptcy at rates that exceed what was seen at the height of the pandemic. According to UBS, a lot of bankruptcies are at smaller firms for now, so the impact on assets and employees is not as egregious as the sheer number of filings.

Experts say real estate is one place that is seeing a bankruptcy boom, while health care, retail, construction, restaurant and financial sectors are areas to watch.

Former bankruptcy judge and current American Bankruptcy Institute President Kevin Carey said he’s witnessed bankruptcy filings ticking up for the past couple of months.

“We’ve been talking about, for a really long period of time now, for the recession to happen,” Carey told Straight Arrow News. “And so a lot of the lending is on hold. Investors don’t want to put money into a volatile economy.”

Carey said the banking crisis is just injecting more uncertainty into an economy that was already tightening credit. The latest Fed survey found roughly 44% of banks reported tightening standards for business loans in the first quarter of 2023. With the exception of the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s the highest share to say that since 2009 in the wake of the Great Recession.

“Once liquidity runs out, companies are faced with very few choices,” he said, noting that many Chapter 11 bankruptcies he’s seeing now are seeking a sale of the business as opposed to restructuring. “So many businesses that find their way into Chapter 11 are over-levered, and businesses find themselves in a situation in which there’s just no way out but to sell the company.”

Catch the full interview with the Honorable Kevin Carey in the video above.


RELATED REPORTS

Tags: , , , , ,

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: ON TUESDAY – RICHARD BRANSON’S SATELLITE-LAUNCHING COMPANY VIRGIN ORBIT FILED FOR CHAPTER 11 BANKRUPTCY.

THE COMPANY FAILED TO FIND A FUNDING LIFELINE AND IS NOW LOOKING TO SELL ITS ASSETS.

WHEN A PUBLIC COMPANY LIKE VIRGIN ORBIT GOES BANKRUPT, THERE ARE NO SHORTAGE OF HEADLINES.

BUT THERE’S AN UNDERCURRENT HAPPENING RIGHT NOW IN THE BANKRUPTCY WORLD THAT ISN’T GETTING AS MUCH ATTENTION.

THIS YEAR, RESEARCH SHOWS PRIVATE COMPANIES ARE FILING FOR BANKRUPTCY AT RATES THAT EXCEED WHAT WE SAW AT THE HEIGHT OF THE PANDEMIC.

UBS SAYS A LOT OF THESE BANKRUPTCIES ARE AT SMALLER FIRMS FOR NOW, SO THE IMPACT ON ASSETS AND EMPLOYEES IS NOT AS EGREGIOUS AS THE SHEER NUMBER OF FILINGS.

EXPERTS SAY REAL ESTATE IS ONE PLACE THEY’RE SEEING A BANKRUPTCY BOOM, WHILE HEALTHCARE, RETAIL, CONSTRUCTION, RESTAURANT AND FINANCIAL SECTORS ARE ONES TO WATCH.

I WANT TO BRING IN THE HONORABLE KEVIN CAREY, A FORMER BANKRUPTCY JUDGE AND CURRENT PRESIDENT OF THE AMERICAN BANKRUPTCY INSTITUTE. 

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: If this was happening prior to the banking crisis, you said that it’s been ticking up for the past couple of months. And we knew that credit was already tightening prior to that as well. What does a potential looming credit crunch do on top of that for businesses?

KEVIN CAREY: we’ve been talking about for really a long period of time now for the recession to happen. And so a lot of the lending is on hold. You know, investors don’t want to put money into a volatile economy. When it looks like there’s uncertainty, the banking. You know, I read today that in his message to shareholders, Jamie Dimon at JPM Chase, said, you know, the banking crisis isn’t over yet. He says it’s not like it’s going to like it was in 2008. But there’s still reason to worry. Look, and it’s not just in the US, look what happened with Credit Suisse and UBS, in Europe. So that’s also I think, creating some air of uncertainty that we found out with Silicon Valley is that once a run on a bank starts, it can’t be stopped.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You’ve overseen a lot of bankruptcies and I’m wondering, with your expertise, what happens to businesses when capital is harder to come by?

KEVIN CAREY: Well, and you put your finger on it, it’s liquidity, right. Once liquidity runs out, companies are faced with very few choices. And of course, so many of the chapter elevens now are filed for the purpose of conducting the going concern sale of the business. You know, seemingly Long gone are the old traditional chapter elevens where a company would stay in for a while, restructure, fix some business problems or, you know, rehabilitate some business units, fix its balance sheet. Now, it’s so frequently said plead to get a sale. And of course, sale orders signed by a bankruptcy judge have great value for for buyers, who know they’re getting a business free of liens and other interests, which otherwise might hold the business back.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You know, we haven’t really seen much of an impact of this uptick in bankruptcies and the unemployment numbers yet, but if you consider that more than half of the privately employed workforce works in those small and medium sized businesses, what do you foresee happening this year?

KEVIN CAREY: We’ll see that’s, you know, that’s one of those, you know, factors that kind of swirls around, you know, unemployment continues to be down. You know, there are other factors like high inflation that that are negative influences on the economy. It really, it just depends on on what a particular businesses issues are, you know, whether a business is in an industry that’s growing or not growing, and whether the business is over leveraged. So many of the businesses that find their way into chapter 11, are over levered. And businesses find themselves in a situation in which there’s just no way out. But to sell the company. 

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: You touched on this, everybody seems to be waiting for that recession to come. You know, the Feds been walking such a tightrope trying to bring down inflation, they predict unemployment is gonna go up about another percentage point this year, they are hoping to still avoid a recession. But what is your read?

KEVIN CAREY: So I think everybody hopes to avoid a recession, except maybe those in the restructuring industry for whom that supplies work. But I, you know, look, I know a lawyer, old bankruptcy practitioner who likes to say I predicted the last three recessions seven times. So even when it seems apparent, even when it seems apparent that we’re headed in that direction. Often we don’t get there. I mean, the government’s look what the government did with Silicon Valley. I mean, it’s, it can still play a major role in affecting the economy one way or the other. And I always wonder whether if something looks like it’s going to happen, what the government will do, can be a game changer.

SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: The Honorable Kevin Carey, president of the American Bankruptcy Institute, thank you so much for your time today. 

KEVIN CAREY: You’re very welcome, Simone.


U.S.

Jill Biden sparks controversy after NCAA women’s basketball championship

Media Landscape

MediaMiss™This story is a Media Miss by the right as only 7% of the coverage is from right leaning media. Learn more about this data
Left 25% Center 68% Right 7%
Bias Distribution Powered by Ground News

This year’s NCAA women’s basketball championship matchup between the Iowa Hawkeyes and LSU Tigers became the most-viewed women’s college basketball game of all time, with a record 9.9 million viewers on ABC and ESPN2, according to fast national numbers by Nielsen. Yet, despite the excitement surrounding the big game, comments made by First Lady Jill Biden after its conclusion have been generating some controversy.

“I know we’ll have the champions come to the White House; we always do. So, we hope LSU will come,” Biden said. “But, you know, I’m going to tell Joe I think Iowa should come too, because they played such a good game.”

Biden’s idea to have second place Iowa invited to the White House along with the championship winning LSU team has sparked backlash from the tournament’s Most Outstanding Player winner, Angel Reese. Reese took to social media to call the first lady’s proposal “a joke,” and seemed to suggest in another post that the team will now not be attending a White House visit.

The Lady Tigers All-American forward also gave praise to a tweet from teammate Alexis Morris, which asked former First Lady Michelle Obama to host the squad for a visit at her residence instead.

“I mean, [Biden] felt like [Iowa] should’ve came because of sportsmanship, right?” Reese said during an interview on an “I Am Athlete” podcast. “They can have that spotlight. We’ll go to the Obamas, we’ll see Michelle, we’ll see Barack.”

Iowa’s Wooden Award winning star Caitlin Clark has even come out to say she does not think the Hawkeyes should accompany LSU to the White House. Clark explained that though she appreciated Biden supporting woman’s basketball, a presidential visit should be “for LSU” and that “they should enjoy every single second of being the champion.”

“I don’t think runner-ups usually go to the White House,” Clark said during an appearance on ESPN. “LSU should enjoy that moment for them. And congratulations, obviously; they deserve to go there. Maybe I could go to the White House on different terms though.”

“I gratefully acknowledge the first lady’s sentiments, but a day at the White House should belong solely to the champion, LSU and [head] coach [Kim] Mulkey,” echoed Iowa women’s basketball head coach Lisa Bluder in a tweet. “We would welcome the first lady and president to come to Iowa’s ‘House’ – Carver Hawkeye Arena — anytime.”

Meanwhile, numerous sports commentators have been giving their takes on the situation after the game, with some believing Iowa’s White House invitation was either racially or politically motivated. The gesture has been criticized over both the feeling its intent was for “pandering in politics” to Iowa, as well as a perceived double-standard that it posed for white and Black athletes. 

“Now, because the people that won, the young ladies that won, look like me, and the people that lost look like [First Lady Biden], now we gonna invite the runner-up,” NFL Hall of Famer Shannon Sharpe, who is Black, said on Fox Sports 1. “Did you forget who helped put your husband in the White House? You gonna find out a very serious, hard lesson in ‘24. You’ll be like a Kentucky or Duke freshman. You’ll be one-and-done.”

“Listen, unless you’re incredibly naive, you understand that the president or first lady does not make any public statement without the political implications in mind,” ESPN host Max Kellerman said. “This is politically motivated, obviously. Why? What jumps to mind? The Iowa caucus.”

As the debate continues over whether a similar invitation would have been extended to LSU were the roles reversed, the first lady’s team has taken steps to walk back her comments. Biden’s press secretary said she meant only to applaud the historic game and all women athletes, while adding she looks forward to hosting the LSU team at the White House.

“The First Lady loved watching the NCAA women’s basketball championship game alongside young student athletes and admires how far women have advanced in sports since the passing of Title IX,” tweeted Vanessa Valdivia, press secretary for the first lady. “Her comments in Colorado were intended to applaud the historic game and all women athletes. She looks forward to celebrating the LSU Tigers on their championship win at the White House.”

However, whether or not the Tigers accept such an invite remains to be seen. When asked if LSU would ultimately visit the White House, Reese said, “We’re gonna see. I don’t know.”

Tags: ,