Hey everybody, Peter Zeihan here coming to you from Colorado where 70 degrees and snowy because mountains. Today we’re gonna have a quick update on what’s going on in Ukraine specifically on the Eastern Front where the Russians are beginning to use a couple of new tactics at large scale. They definitely fall into the category of war crimes, but so many things that the Russians do these days are just to remind everyone that there are over 10,000 documented war crimes committed by the Russians in the conflict so far, we hit that number well over a year ago. And that’s kind of the number where I stopped paying attention. Because it’s clear, that’s just war crimes for work grams sake, at this point anyway, these two new ones kind of fall into that category as well. The first one is the use of their new glide bombs, fab 1500s, fab 1000s, five to 1000s, basically, weapons that have a metric ton or more of explosive power and sending multiples of them into specific pieces of civilian infrastructure like water treatment plants, and electricity generating facilities with the intent of simply reducing urban populations, beyond the ability to have industrial level technologies. If the Russians keep this up, and they certainly have the weaponry to do it, they will be able to make large sections of Ukraine uninhabitable for the population densities that are there now, the populations around Kharkiv, which is the third largest city in the country, are the ones most at the risk, and where that’s where the Russians have kind of started this shift to just complete obliteration of civilian infrastructure. The second one is something called a double tap. And it’s basically you send your missiles into an area where you know, there’s a civilian population, and then you wait 30 to 90 minutes, and you send another wave of missiles to the same location. So the first is designed to destroy civilian infrastructure and kill people. And the second is designed to target the repair crews and the emergency services personnel in the aid workers. The idea is, if you can destroy enough of the human capital, that allows Ukraine to recover from attacks, then their ability to fight the war might evaporate. Clearly, these are some pretty nasty attacks. The double taps is something that was inspired by Islamic Jihad and Hamas and years gone by for those of you who are middle east buff, you’ll remember that there were a lot of suicide bombs that matched this double tap strategy back in the early 2000s. Not much to say about these except for that it’s really hard to fight back against them. You really you need to have air superiority and extraordinary air defense and anti missile coverage if you’re going to prevent these sorts of attacks. And the Russians have proven that they can do these attacks at scale. So the degree to which Ukraine would need external support in order to resist these sorts of assaults is, is high.
Peter Zeihan
Geopolitical Strategist
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By Straight Arrow News
Russian forces are applying a brutal tactic in their war on Ukraine. The tactic, “double tap,” includes an initial strike on a specific civilian target of some value, followed by a second strike intentionally designed to kill the emergency first responders, medical staff, firefighters, and other key personnel dispatched to the location of the first attack.
Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan says that it’s just one more item to add to the growing list of Russian war crimes, but warns that the tactic, if successful from the Russian point of view, might eventually render large parts of Ukraine uninhabitable at current population levels.
Below is an excerpt from Peter’s April 16 “Zeihan on Geopolitics” newsletter:
The Russians are employing some new tactics in Ukraine’s eastern front that are adding to their ever-growing list of war crimes committed throughout this conflict. We’re looking at glide bombs targeting civilian infrastructure and Russia’s “double-tap” method.
The intent behind the Russian glide bombs is to make specific regions in Ukraine uninhabitable. They are achieving this by targeting critical civilian infrastructure like water treatment plants and electricity facilities.
When the glide bombs don’t prove devastating enough, the Russians are also implementing a double-tap method. This means they send an initial wave of attacks, wait until emergency services or repair crews can respond, and then send in another wave of attacks to wipe them out.
Hey everybody, Peter Zeihan here coming to you from Colorado where 70 degrees and snowy because mountains. Today we’re gonna have a quick update on what’s going on in Ukraine specifically on the Eastern Front where the Russians are beginning to use a couple of new tactics at large scale. They definitely fall into the category of war crimes, but so many things that the Russians do these days are just to remind everyone that there are over 10,000 documented war crimes committed by the Russians in the conflict so far, we hit that number well over a year ago. And that’s kind of the number where I stopped paying attention. Because it’s clear, that’s just war crimes for work grams sake, at this point anyway, these two new ones kind of fall into that category as well. The first one is the use of their new glide bombs, fab 1500s, fab 1000s, five to 1000s, basically, weapons that have a metric ton or more of explosive power and sending multiples of them into specific pieces of civilian infrastructure like water treatment plants, and electricity generating facilities with the intent of simply reducing urban populations, beyond the ability to have industrial level technologies. If the Russians keep this up, and they certainly have the weaponry to do it, they will be able to make large sections of Ukraine uninhabitable for the population densities that are there now, the populations around Kharkiv, which is the third largest city in the country, are the ones most at the risk, and where that’s where the Russians have kind of started this shift to just complete obliteration of civilian infrastructure. The second one is something called a double tap. And it’s basically you send your missiles into an area where you know, there’s a civilian population, and then you wait 30 to 90 minutes, and you send another wave of missiles to the same location. So the first is designed to destroy civilian infrastructure and kill people. And the second is designed to target the repair crews and the emergency services personnel in the aid workers. The idea is, if you can destroy enough of the human capital, that allows Ukraine to recover from attacks, then their ability to fight the war might evaporate. Clearly, these are some pretty nasty attacks. The double taps is something that was inspired by Islamic Jihad and Hamas and years gone by for those of you who are middle east buff, you’ll remember that there were a lot of suicide bombs that matched this double tap strategy back in the early 2000s. Not much to say about these except for that it’s really hard to fight back against them. You really you need to have air superiority and extraordinary air defense and anti missile coverage if you’re going to prevent these sorts of attacks. And the Russians have proven that they can do these attacks at scale. So the degree to which Ukraine would need external support in order to resist these sorts of assaults is, is high.
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