![The U.S. has been sending Ukraine weapons not critical to its defense operations. Sending them Patriot missiles is a significant escalation.](https://san.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/image-123.jpg?w=1280)
Commentary
-
Our commentary partners will help you reach your own conclusions on complex topics.
Hey everyone, Peter Zion here coming to you from balmy New York City in Central Park, where it’s a breezy 29 degrees. Today, I wanted to talk about the possibility of the United States sending Patriot missile systems to the Ukrainians. It’s not a done deal. So I don’t want to overplay this. But if it does happen, it means a few things have changed. Now, the weapons systems that the Western world and the US in particular have been given to the Ukrainians always have to meet one of three total criteria. First, it has to be a weapon system that we don’t really need. And so if you look at everything that we have sent to this point, almost all of it except for maybe some ammo, falls into the category of something that the United States is not used with its regular forces. In fact, most of the stuff started their production runs long before the 1990s, and has been sitting in a warehouse throughout the entirety of the war on terror. So there was mostly stuff that was slated for destruction. So when you see numbers like 40 billion, in terms of the amount of aid that the Americans have given, keep in mind that it would probably cost us more than that to dispose of the equipment. So if anything, the Ukrainians are doing us a favor here. Second, it has to be technology that is old enough, that if it fell into Russian hands, it would not give them or any of their potential friends or allies around the world, a leg up in anything. So again, we’re talking about things that were developed during the 70s in the 80s, and haven’t really seen battlefield use for a while. That’s one of the reasons why the Air Force has been unable to send its older Predator drones, because even though they’re 1520 years old, they still have technologies that we really don’t want the rest of the world to get a peek at. The third big thing, it has to be something that the Ukrainians can operate themselves. The decision was made very early in the war to avoid escalation to make sure that there were not American forces or NATO forces that could be in a position where they would directly confront Russian forces. And the reason is pretty simple. If you have Western forces in Ukraine, you will then have to have Western air cover and Western ground cover. And in that sort of situation, a direct head to head fight with the Russians would obliterate the Russian positions completely, we discovered that that would happen because of the battle Kievan how battle how bad the Russians actually did in real combat. And in that sort of scenario, the Russians would have little choice but to escalate up to and including nukes. So this has kept most of our top tier technologies off the table completely these three conditions that might not any longer apply to the Patriots. Now on the surface, putting a patriot in a position to shoot down say Iranian drone seems kind of silly, it’s $4 million a shot. The Patriots were designed for nearly theater level, air defense designed to shoot down nuclear weapons, for example, you know, things where it really really matters and save sending them after a 15,000 $20,000 shot, he drone seems kind of silly. But a few things are different. Now, first of all, this is an air defense system. So it would never be on the front line, it would be designed to protect certain sites and cities across the Ukrainian space, which means the chances of the technology falling into Russian hands are negligible, they would have to have a pretty severe breakthrough in the front lines for that to even be a risk and they are all mobile. So you could just drive it away if it looked like the city was going to fall. Second, there’s a prestige issue here, not for the Americans for the Russians, because they if they found out there was a patriot defending a site, they would saturate that site with absolutely everything they could to prove that patriots don’t work or even better to potentially destroy one of them. That is something that is actually a feature, not a bug. Because if you’ve got the Russians going after a specific weapons system, then they’re not shooting it cities. So you put it in some place, that is not all that critical. And you use it as a sponge to soak up Russian ammo. So that’s a power plants don’t get taken offline. But the third reason is probably the most politically and strategically significant one. From the western point of view. The reason we don’t put Western people on the ground is to avoid escalation. But from the western point of view, that escalation has already occurred. Over the last few weeks, the Russians have been deliberately and extensively targeting civilian infrastructure throughout Ukraine, knocking out power and water in cities that have over a million people in the middle of winter, which is causing mass casualties and fatalities throughout the entire civilian population. This is the specific goal of the Russian assaults. But this accounts to multiple war crimes on a daily basis conscious war crimes not incidental, not accidental, deliberate. And in that changed political math, all of a sudden, the feeling is that, you know, we’re already seeing a degree of escalation already. So if it takes a few American troops to operate a weapon system, a defensive weapon system that the Ukrainians can’t learn right away, then maybe it’s worth it. This is not something we can just hand Over, Americans train on their newer equipment not for weeks or months, but for years. And there’s no way we can just hand this over to the Ukrainians and expect it to be operated, we will have to have advisors on the ground, several dozen per battery. But the math has changed. And I think the thing that really tipped the Americans over to seriously consider this was the discovery of torture chambers for children in KEARSON, something that serves no purpose whatsoever, except for to specifically and deliberately further a genocide. And that, apparently, is a line that the Russians have crossed, that really matters to the western countries. And so the Patriot could very well be in play very soon. All right. That’s it for me. Until next time,
-
Is the US looking for a war?
With conflicts, skirmishes and tensions simmering around the globe, and with the United States playing supporting roles in several of them, the question of whether the country getting involved directly is legitimate. The war in Ukraine, for example, has forced several European countries to reintroduce mandatory military service to confront the growing threat from Moscow.…
-
How future generations could shift US support for Israel
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed a joint meeting of Congress on July 24, calling for increased bipartisan support for Israel amid its 10-month war with Hamas. He praised President Biden’s “half century of friendship to Israel” and referred to Hamas as “sheer evil.” In the video above, Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan analyzes…
-
Why election of European Commission president is so important
Ursula von der Leyen has been reelected to another five-year term as president of the European Commission after a vote by EU lawmakers. Von der Leyen will now preside over a coalition that shifted to the right after recent European elections, where ultra-conservative parties won a record number of seats. In July, von der Leyen…
-
Protests in Bangladesh signal more trouble ahead
Public protests in Bangladesh against government hiring practices — and against the government’s military response to those protests — have left at least 174 dead and 2,500 jailed. Bangladesh’s people face an acute jobs and unemployment crisis, so public disagreements over hiring practices carry significant weight. The regime recently enforced a nationwide internet blackout as…
-
In US election, early polling doesn’t tell us anything yet
From President Joe Biden’s declining health to the attempted assassination of Donald Trump, there’s been a series of major political developments in the United States that might impact the results of the November election. These developments have led to renewed confusion, concern and debate regarding which candidate might win, and in the Democrats’ case, which…
Latest Stories
-
U.S. Department of Defense
Congress still trying to figure out how to reduce wasteful military spending
-
DVIDS
US Navy, Air Force making waves with new weapons at RIMPAC
-
Getty Images
Israeli PM Netanyahu meets with Trump at Mar-a-Lago
-
Getty Images
Growing US nuclear power resurgence reaches the nation’s heartland
-
Getty Images
Beer from the sun, other solar thermal projects get government funding
Popular Opinions
-
In addition to the facts, we believe it’s vital to hear perspectives from all sides of the political spectrum.
Latest Opinions
In addition to the facts, we believe it’s vital to hear perspectives from all sides of the political spectrum. We hope these different voices will help you reach your own conclusions.
The opinions published in this section are solely those of the contributors and do not reflect the views of Straight Arrow News.
Latest Commentary
We know it is important to hear from a diverse range of observers on the complex topics we face and believe our commentary partners will help you reach your own conclusions.
The commentaries published in this section are solely those of the contributors and do not reflect the views of Straight Arrow News.
Peter Zeihan
Geopolitical StrategistHow future generations could shift US support for Israel
Why election of European Commission president is so important
Protests in Bangladesh signal more trouble ahead
Dr. Frank Luntz
Pollster and Political Analyst‘I don’t know’: Swing voters debate who best to replace Biden
‘Mad as hell’: Americans vent anger, frustration over politics
‘On death’s door’: Undecided voters react to first debate