Commentary
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Our commentary partners will help you reach your own conclusions on complex topics.
Hello, everyone. Peter Zeihan here coming to you from Colorado.
Today we’re gonna talk about the fact that energy markets are just at the very beginning of digesting just what the scale of the problem with the Ukraine war is.
Now, one of the things that we have seen is there have been a lot of people around the world for various reasons, coming from multiple backgrounds, talking about how, if the Europeans and the Americans just choose to not use Russian energy, that there is a figurative boatload of other people who are willing to do so.
In specific, the Indians and the Chinese have been fairly aggressive about going out and booking ships to pick up crude from various Russian ports, specifically Novorossiysk on the Black Sea, and then shuttling them to another location where they can be loaded onto larger super tankers to make the trip to India and China.
And that is true. That is happening. The scale is debatable, but it’s certainly occurring.
And the United States and the European Union are, let’s just say less than enthused about it.
But today, April 4th, a new wrinkle has entered in. The Russians have begun a large scale artillery, excuse me, not artillery, missile and airstrike assault on the city of Odessa.
Now Odessa is important for a number of reasons. It’s the last major port. It is the major port. It is the commercial capital. It is on the way to Moldova and Romania. A lot of things- we’re gonna put some links at the bottom of this newsletter to give you an idea of just how important Odessa is.
But the bottom line is it’s a port, and the Russians are specifically targeting refining port and tank infrastructure, which will, how can I put this delicately, lay bare the idiocy of any plans to export oil from the Black Sea to anywhere else on the planet writ large.
Because now we have the Russians specifically, explicitly going after port infrastructure and specifically energy assets.
So if your corporate plan or your national plan is to rely on the United States and NATO to make the seaways safe so that you can import Russian energy from a war zone where the Russians are bombing energy infrastructure, you should probably get a new gut job, you’re not very good at your current one. Anyway, that’s it for me until next time. Okay.
Previous pieces mentioned in the video:
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With globalization ending, the US can and should adapt
Geopolitical experts have cautioned that the era of globalization and “off-shoring” may be ending, and a new era of regionalization and “friend-shoring” might be replacing it. These changes are especially obvious in U.S.-Chinese trade relations over the past few years, although similar observations can be made around the world. Others warn that even “friend-shoring” may… -
Deglobalization’s impact on world food exports
Globalization has strengthened the interdependence of nations through trade in technology, services, and, most notably, food. It has reshaped the global agricultural system, improving both the variety and affordability of food while also influencing its quality and nutritional value. So what would happen to countries reliant on this system if the world became less interconnected?… -
Will climate change be the death of wheat?
Wheat thrives in temperatures between 70°F and 75°F but has difficulty in temperatures above 90°F. So, what happens when climate change leads to rising heat that damages wheat crops and reduces yields? Models predict that by 2050, climate change will significantly lower global wheat production, particularly in Africa and South Asia, where food security is… -
Blue money for green energy in red states
President Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) funding, widely popular among Democrats, went mostly toward development projects in deep red Republican states, despite Republican legislators actually voting against the act. That may have generated some pushback and alarm from Democrats, but there are more complicated stories behind IRA numbers than the simple red-blue divide might suggest.… -
Tomorrow’s new world order
Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, the United States and its allies celebrated a new era of global hegemony. But in recent years, especially with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Chinese military aggression in the Pacific, that hegemony has come under attack. Meanwhile, major powers like France and Turkey are already preparing to play…
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In addition to the facts, we believe it’s vital to hear perspectives from all sides of the political spectrum. We hope these different voices will help you reach your own conclusions.
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We know it is important to hear from a diverse range of observers on the complex topics we face and believe our commentary partners will help you reach your own conclusions.
The commentaries published in this section are solely those of the contributors and do not reflect the views of Straight Arrow News.
Peter Zeihan
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